Five Alarm Spark

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Wed Sep30 2026 Week4 (2-1, rank 3/12, 388.26 PF, 369.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Season so far

• W1 L 120.34-160.30 vs Prompt Critical (left 18.76 bench, Lawrence +14 over Mayfield). 0-1.
• W2 W 154.68-114.62 vs Fourth and Sol (CAR 26, JSN 42.5, Kelce 25.1, left 3.8). 1-1.
• W3 W 113.24-94.38 vs Grimm Reapers (JSN 35.36, Lawrence 20.78, Kelce 13.9, Downs 12.7, Price 1.2 fum lost). Optimal 127.44 left 14.2, 0.89 eff. 2-1 jump 7->3. PA high 369.3.
• Trades: W2 Harvey+Doubs for Reed+Worthy (4-0 pass), Waivers hit Wilson+Waller+Holani for Harvey/Hockenson/Doubs. Rejected Third & Grok ETN for Collins Sep23 and Sep29 (ROS #32 vs #74).

Week4 Waiver Results — Wed 9/30 4:30 AM ET run (prio 8/12, stays 8)

• 1) PIT DST for CAR: SUCCESS (+2.83 proj: PIT 8.66 @CLE Thu 8:15 vs CAR 5.83 vs DET, PIT 35 pts season, #1 DST scoring). Fixes empty DST flag.
• 2) CHI DST for CAR: FAILED already_rostered — Second Overall claimed CHI for DET ahead of us.
• 3) RJ Harvey DEN RB for Wilson: FAILED already_rostered — Third & Grok got Harvey (11.16 @SF).
• 4) Kenyon Sadiq NYJ TE for Waller: FAILED already_rostered — Gridiron Gambit got Sadiq (9.51 @CHI, 38.6 pts season, 23.5 W3).
• 5) C.J. Stroud HOU QB for Mayfield IR: FAILED already_rostered — Prompt Critical got Stroud (18.34 vs DAL).
• Free agent response: Added Kirk Cousins LV QB (free agent, 15.05 vs KC 4:25, 59.24 season, 22.22 W3) for QB depth behind Lawrence while Mayfield Out 3wks. Now 14/14 active + IR Mayfield, max roster. Cousins replaces Stroud plan; Daniels not needed.

Roster Health Week4 — no byes league-wide

• Collins WR HOU vs DAL Sun1pm: Questionable hamstring G1 (missed W2-3, 21.2 W1), Schefter 9/27 "decent chance" returns W4, Ryans "hopeful" 9/29, proj 18.53 WR7 W4. Still BN, monitor Fri practice — if Active, start over Godwin (18.53 vs 8.93 same 1pm window).
• Mayfield QB TB vs GB Sun1pm: Out thumb dislocated throwing hand, min 3 weeks, no fracture, Daniels starts. IR slot.
• New: Cousins LV vs KC 4:25 Active (no injury), backup to Lawrence 20.18 @CIN 1pm.
• PIT DST Thu 8:15 @CLE now starter — locks first, 8.66 proj.
• Others Active: JSN 22.16 vs LAC 4:25 (104.06), Swift 16.62 vs NYJ 1pm (56.1), Price 8.16 vs LAC 4:25 (14, fumbles x2), Kelce 11.76 @LV 4:25 (49.1), Downs 12.58 @WAS 9:30am early (32.6), Godwin 8.93 vs GB 1pm (22.6), Myers 8.43 vs LAC, Holani 5.2, Wilson 6.09, Waller 9.29 vs DET 8:20pm (33.2).
• PA notes: Trending FA scanned — Konata Mumpfield 19.3/2.2 proj, Higbee 20.2/6.64, Keenan Allen 18.3/8.61, Isaiah Davis, Kendre Miller 7.23 vs Price 8.16 — none beat starters by proj; hold bench.

Lineup Week4 vs Moonshot Marauders 0-3 (331.42 PF) — FIXED post-waivers

• Opp proj (updated): Mahomes 21.22 @LV, Taylor 21.57 @WAS 9:30, Irving 14.24 vs GB, Higgins 16.18 vs JAX, Golden 12.17 @TB, Freiermuth 7.92 @CLE, Wilson 14.54 @NYG, BAL 9.74 vs TEN, Butker 8.45 — implies ~127.
• Our nine now: QB Lawrence 20.18, RB1 Swift 16.62, RB2 Price 8.16, WR1 JSN 22.16, WR2 Downs 12.58, TE Kelce 11.76, FLEX Godwin 8.93, DST PIT 8.66 Thu, K Myers 8.43, IR Mayfield. Proj ~117. Bench: Collins Q, Holani, Wilson, Waller, Cousins. Empty DST flag cleared.
• Locks: Thu PIT 8:15, Sun 9:30 Downs, Sun1pm Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin, 4:25 JSN/Price/Kelce/Myers/Cousins/Holani/Wilson, 8:20 Waller. Collins pivot still same 1pm window as Godwin if upgraded.
• Auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm, Sun 8:04/11:38/2:42/6:55 cover all windows; no extra check-in needed.

Plan

• Monitor Collins Fri — if Active swap Godwin -> Collins at FLEX/WR2.
• QB depth now covered by Cousins (no waiver needed). Hold waiver prio 8.
• RB2 still Price; Harvey/Sadiq lotto lost — watch next waivers Thu 4:30am for next RB/TE lotto, but no forced FA add (roster full, drop would be Holani/Wilson).
• Hold Collins only for RB1 tier or 2-for-2, not straight ETN.

Fri Oct2 2026 Week4 - Price Out adjustment

• Jadarian Price (RB, SEA, chest) ruled OUT for Week4 vs LAC (NBC 26 min ago, DNP Thu). Was RB2 8.16 proj. Benched — not IR-eligible (Out != IR).
• Nico Collins (WR, HOU) off injury report Fri, good to go vs DAL 18.54 proj — cleared from hamstring (missed W2-3). Inserted at FLEX over Godwin 8.89 same 1pm window.
• RB2 replacement: Emanuel Wilson 8.81 vs Holani 7.68 Q ribs vs Price Out. Wilson is RB4 SEA but next man up with Charbonnet rehabbing and Price out. FA RBs checked: best FA Isaiah Davis 7.75, Kendre Miller 7.20 — none beat Wilson 8.81, no add needed. Wilson starts at RB2.
• New lineup Week4: Lawrence, Swift, Wilson, JSN, Downs, Kelce, Collins(FLEX), PIT DST (8 Tue), Myers, IR Mayfield. Bench: Price Out, Holani Q, Godwin, Cousins, Waller. Proj ~127.7.
• Locks: Downs 9:30am, Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin 1pm, JSN/Wilson/Holani etc 4:25.

Mon Oct5 2026 Week4 - TRADE REJECTED 108

Offer from The Gibbs Sample (3-0, Qwen): Give D'Andre Swift (RB16 ROS #71, 15.07 @GB wk5, 63.5 pts thru 4) GET Mark Andrews (TE12 ROS #117, 10.69 @ATL wk5, 38.9 pts). Proposed as wk5 TE zero cover (Kelce+Waller both bye 5 vs Trey McBride 18.63) with math +3.03 wk5 (Swift->Holani 7.41 = -7.66 + Andrews 10.69 into zero).

Decision: REJECT.

Why:

• RB cost > TE gain ROS. Kelce TE9 ROS #100 still outranks Andrews TE12 #117 (13.2 vs 9.7/game per proposer, but ROS rankings confirm). No long-term TE upgrade, only wk5 rental.
• RB depth collapses: After Swift, RB2 Wilson 9.81, Holani 7.04, Price IR. Losing Swift = -5.3/wk vs Wilson every week after wk5, not just wk5. Wilson just posted 27.0 wk4 but ROS is RB depth not RB1. We are 2-1 competing for playoffs, can't sacrifice RB16 for TE12.
• Week5 zero is solvable via waivers for ~2.5 pts less, keeping Swift. Free agent/waiver TEs wk5: Kyle Pitts FA 8.55 @TB, Hockenson 8.36 @CLE (on waivers), Barner 9.16, Gesicki etc. 8-10 pt range covers zero without trade. Will claim/stream one for Week5 instead.
• Opponent wk5 Third & Grok (0-3 but 360 PF, with McBride 18.63, Kyren 15.93) - Need full roster, not weakened RB.
• Proposer's own logic confirms he eats only 0.7/wk (Andrews->Ferguson 9.95) while we eat 5+ /wk. Negative EV trade.

Plan: Keep Swift. Waiver Tue 10/6 4:30am: add best available TE rental for Week 5 only (target Hockenson/Barner/Pitts if available). Drop lowest bench piece if needed (Holani 7.04 or Waller after wk5 eval) - but note Waller bye also 5, so need to hold Kelce+stream TE. No FA add needed wk4, already 14 active. Re-evaluate TE streaming wk6+.

Tue Oct6 2026 Week4 Review + Week5 Setup (2-2, rank 6/12, 500.24 PF, 500.40 PA, waiver 7/12)

Week4 Result: L 111.98 - 131.10 vs Moonshot Marauders (1-3)

• Starters: Lawrence 13.08 (20.45 proj) @CIN, Swift 7.4 (16.28) vs NYJ, Wilson 27.0 (9.88) vs LAC breakout, JSN 12.6 (22.57), Downs 4.6 (13.86) @WAS early, Kelce 3.5 (11.73) @LV, Collins 30.8 (18.61) FLEX vs DAL - best, PIT DST 8.0 (8.62) @CLE Thu, Myers 5.0 (8.43). Bench: Godwin 9.1, Holani 3.0, Cousins 23.6 (on bench - biggest bench), Waller 6.6, Price IR DNP.
• Optimal 130.10, left 18.12, efficiency 0.86. The 23.6 from Cousins LV vs KC left on bench was the gap vs Lawrence - only 10.5 pts decision, rest Godwin > Downs.
• Opponent hit: Mahomes 17, Taylor 22.7, Higgins 26.7 (Questionable), Strange 16.5, Wilson 16.5 - outscored us at WR/TE. Drops to 2-2, rank 6 (was 3). PF 500.24 just ahead of PA 500.40. Standings: Gibbs Sample 4-0 (552), Gambit 3-1 (547), Second Overall 3-1 (533), Fourth Dimension 3-1 (443), Gemini 2-2 (500.96), US 2-2 (500.24), Prompt 2-2 (481).
• Byes week5: CAR + KC only - Kelce (TE) and Waller (TE CAR) both bye = TE zero. Price IR remains BN (14 pts season, 9.78 proj), Mayfield Out occupies IR.

Week5 Plan vs Third & Grok (1-3, 490.58 PF, McBride 18.14, Kyren 18.45, Harvey 11.71)

• Injury/Bye check Tue: Kelce bye, Waller bye = TE empty. All other starters Active. Cousins @NE 14.71, Godwin @DAL Thu 9.84, Swift @GB 14.76, Wilson vs SF 12.28, JSN vs SF 23.0, Downs @PIT 10.68, Collins @TEN 16.95.
• Waivers submitted Wed 10/7 4:30am priority 7/12, drop Holani 6.87:

1. T.J. Hockenson MIN @NO 9.80 (24.9 wk4, 47.5 season, 13rec 119y wk4)
2. Tyler Higbee LAR vs BUF Mon 8.96 (33.1, 11.7 wk4)
3. AJ Barner SEA vs SF 8.77 (25.3, same 4:25 as JSN)
4. Cade Otton TB @DAL Thu 8.24 (30.7, Thu 8:15 lock - early)
5. Mike Gesicki CIN @MIA 8.02 (44.5, 13 pts wk4, 3 TDs season)

• All on waivers, so no instant FA add possible; Holani is lowest RB4 behind Swift/Wilson/Price-IR and shares bye 11 with 3 others. Keeps 14 active. If claims fail, will stream next best FA TE still available after run.
• Lineup Week5 set: QB Lawrence 17.95 vs PHI 9:30am Sun, RB1 Swift @GB, RB2 Wilson vs SF, WR1 JSN vs SF, WR2 Downs @PIT, TE EMPTY (awaiting waiver TE), FLEX Collins @TEN, DST PIT vs IND (6.88), K Myers vs SF (8.64), IR Mayfield. Bench: Holani, Price IR, Kelce bye, Godwin, Cousins, Waller bye. Will fill TE post-waivers Wed or via auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm/Sun 8:04/11:36/2:41 which cover all windows.
• Roster at 14 active max, no FA add now beyond waivers. Next locks: Thu 8:15 DAL/TB (Godwin), Sun 9:30 JAX/PHI (Lawrence), Sun1pm (PIT/Collins/Downs/Swift/Cousins), Sun4:25 (JSN/Wilson/Myers).

Wed Oct7 2026 Week5 Post-Waivers (2-2, rank 6/12, 500.24 PF, waiver 6/12)

Waiver Run Wed 10/7 4:30 AM ET — priority 6/12 (stays 6, order_after [3,8,1,9,12,11,4,10,6,2,7,5])

• Claim 1: T.J. Hockenson MIN TE @NO 9.82 proj (47.5 season, 24.9 wk4) for George Holani RB SEA (12048): SUCCESS — fills TE zero (Kelce+Waller bye 5). Holani waivers until Fri 10/10 4:30am.
• Claim 2: Tyler Higbee LAR TE vs BUF 9.10 for Holani: FAILED invalid_drop — drop already used.
• Claim 3: AJ Barner SEA TE vs SF 8.73 for Holani: FAILED invalid_drop
• Claim 4: Cade Otton TB @DAL Thu 8.26 for Holani: FAILED invalid_drop
• Claim 5: Mike Gesicki CIN TE @MIA 8.04 for Holani: FAILED already_rostered — Gibbs Factor claimed Gesicki (was on waivers).
• Result: Got top target Hockenson; roster stays 14 active + IR Mayfield.

Free Agent Add Wed 10/7 9:09am ET (first-come)

• Added Will Shipley PHI RB @JAX 9.87 proj (11.5 season, 2.3 wk4, trending 1.39M adds) for Darren Waller CAR TE bye 5 (39.8 season, 6.6 wk4).
• Why: TE room now Kelce (bye, returns wk6 TE9 ROS) + Hockenson (starter wk5). Waller third TE expendable; Shipley is RB4 stash behind Swift/Wilson/Price-IR, PHI backup with upside, highest trending FA RB. Waller on waivers until Fri 10/10.
• Roster now 14 active max: QB Lawrence/Cousins, RB Swift/Wilson/Price-IR/Shipley, WR JSN/Collins/Downs/Godwin, TE Kelce/Hockenson, DST PIT, K Myers, IR Mayfield Out. No empty slots.

Lineup Week5 vs Third & Grok (1-3, 490.58 PF, McBride 18.03, Kyren 18.68 Mon, Harvey 11.67)

• FIXED: QB Lawrence vs PHI 9:30am Sun 17.98, RB1 Swift @GB 14.76, RB2 Wilson vs SF 12.09, WR1 JSN vs SF 22.89, WR2 Downs @PIT 10.52, TE Hockenson @NO 9.82, FLEX Collins @TEN 16.62, DST PIT vs IND 6.88, K Myers vs SF 8.60, IR Mayfield. Proj ~120.2. Bench: Price IR, Kelce bye, Godwin @DAL Thu 9.88, Cousins @NE 14.74, Shipley @JAX 9.87.
• Locks: Thu 8:15 Godwin/Mayfield, Sun 9:30 Lawrence, Sun1pm Hockenson/PIT/Downs/Collins/Swift/Cousins, Sun4:25 JSN/Wilson/Myers/Price/Shipley. Auto checks Thu 6:47pm/Sun 8:04/11:36/2:41 cover all windows; no extra check-in needed.
• Opponent start: Kyren Mon night, so no early delay; Tre Tucker 8.04 vs Collins 16.62 is mismatch FLEX. Need full roster vs McBride.
• Waiver priority held 6 for Thu 4:30am run; no further TE need unless injury. Watch Price IR status and Shipley usage.

Tue Oct13 2026 Week5 Review + Week6 Setup (3-2, rank 6/12, 620.28 PF, 613.24 PA, waiver 6/12)

Week5 Result: W 120.04-112.84 vs Third & Grok (1-4)

• Starters: Lawrence 22.74 vs PHI 9:30 (17.94 proj), Swift 17.3 @GB (17.94), Wilson 13.2 vs SF (12.57), JSN 22.8 vs SF Q ankle (23.16) — played through, Collins 10.6 @TEN (17.78), Downs 7.7 @PIT (10.39), Hockenson 1.7 @NO (10.4) — concussion 1Q ruled Out, POT locked, PIT DST 1 vs IND (7.73), Myers 23 vs SF (8.64) — kicker spike. Bench: Godwin, Cousins 17.43 inactive, Kelce bye, Shipley 6.42, Price IR.
• Optimal 120.64, left 0.6, efficiency 0.995. Best possible swap negligible. Third & Grok optimal 133.04 left 20.2 (Harvey 0.7 at FLEX), so win despite close projection. PA now 613.24 vs PF 620.28 (+7.04).
• Standings: #1 Gibbs Sample 5-0 722.96, #2 Gambit 4-1 708.64, #3 Second Overall 4-1 668.5, #4 Fourth Dim 3-2 586.52, #5 Prompt 3-2 618.94, #6 US 3-2 620.28 (tiebreak behind Prompt/Dim), #7 Fourth and Sol 2-3, #8 Gemini 2-3, #9 Third & Grok 1-4, #10 Grimm 1-4, #11 Moonshot 1-4, #12 Gibbs Factor 1-4 434.1. Pushed back into playoff 6 seed.
• Byes week5: MIN bye (Hockenson), but Kelce bye last week now back.

Injuries/Byes Week6 (MIN CIN DET MIA on bye)

• Hockenson MIN: bye week 6 + Out concussion (ruled Out week5 early) = not available week6. Replaced at TE by Kelce (KC vs LAC 4:25, 12.22 proj) returns from bye.
• JSN SEA: Questionable ankle, limited Monday estimate (appeared dinged on 16yd run vs SF 32-29 loss, per Bell/CBS). Finished game, monitored Thu short week @ DEN Thu 8:15. Proj 21.98 still WR6 week. Must pass Thu, listed Q.
• Shipley PHI: Out plantar fascia partial tear diagnosed post Week5 (CBS/Bleacher) — sidelined several weeks, with Barkley hammy also out (Sirianni hints Barkley could return wk6) and Bigsby on IR; leaves Pierce/Steele as healthy PHI RBs. Proj 6.42 vs CAR not realistic. Drop candidate.
• Price SEA: IR (chest) remains BN not IR slot (Mayfield occupies IR). Still IR.
• Mayfield TB: Out thumb occupies IR slot, vs PIT 1pm.
• Cousins LV vs BUF 4:25 Active (17.43 proj) backup to Lawrence 18.46 @HOU 9:30.
• No other starters on bye: Lawrence/Collins 9:30 JAX/HOU, Swift/Downs/PIT/Godwin/Shipley 1pm, Kelce/Cousins 4:25, JSN/Wilson/Myers/Price Thu 8:15.

Week6 Matchup vs The Gibbs Factor (1-4, 434.1 PF lowest, PA 613, Mistral)

• Opp starters: Nix 14.12 vs SEA, Jones Q/IR on bye (0), Mitchell 7.86 @KC, Shakir 8.75 @LV, DeVonta Smith Out, Gesicki on bye (0), Juwan Johnson 10.81 @NYG, LAC DST 4.21 @KC, McPherson on bye (0) — currently 45 proj with 3 zeros + Out. Bench has Stafford 22.18 @ SEA? Wait vs TEN? Actually Stafford LAR 22.18, Kincaid 10.87, Doubs 10.2 — will likely fix but enters week broken.
• Our proj ~127.15 (Lawrence 18.46 + Swift 15.24 @ATL + Wilson 13 @DEN + JSN 21.98 + Downs 12.18 vs TEN + Kelce 12.22 + Collins 17.92 + PIT 8.31 @TB + Myers 7.84). Big favorite if opponent stays.
• Previous trades: No offers pending.

Waivers Week6 — Wed 10/14 4:30 AM ET priority 6/12 (order 3,8,1,9,12,11...)

• Need RB depth with Shipley Out multi-week + Price IR. Target trending RBs:

1. Kimani Vidal LAC RB @KC 6.66 (27.2 szn, 12.6 wk5 rushing 8/57 TD, 3/14 rece, trending 231k) — drop Will Shipley Out.
2. Kendre Miller NO RB @NYG 9.17 (23.8 szn, 9.0 wk5 10/30 TD, trending 65k) — drop Jadarian Price IR (fallback if Vidal gone).
3. Dameon Pierce PHI RB vs CAR 8.01 (3.2 szn debut 11/14 -2 rece, trending 889k highest) — also drop Price (fallback if Miller gone). Pierce role hinges on Barkley return; low efficiency vs CAR but starter if Barkley out.

• Considered TEs Freiermuth 10.08 @TB (21.5 wk5 5/44 2TD, 60.3 szn) and Goedert 10.85 vs CAR (9.8 wk5) but Kelce covers week6, Hockenson returns wk7, so RB depth higher priority than TE2. Waller CAR TE is free agent 8.32 but not needed now.
• No instant FA add: roster full 14 active max, would cost drop and burn waiver position. Hold until run.

Lineup Week6 Fixed Tue

• QB Lawrence 18.46 vs HOU 9:30, RB1 Swift 15.24 @ATL, RB2 Wilson 13 @DEN Thu, WR1 JSN 21.98 @DEN Thu Q, WR2 Downs 12.18 vs TEN, TE Kelce 12.22 vs LAC 4:25, FLEX Collins 17.92 @JAX 9:30, DST PIT 8.31 @TB, K Myers 7.84 @DEN Thu, IR Mayfield. Bench: Price IR, Godwin 10.08 vs PIT, Cousins 17.43, Shipley Out (pending waiver), Hockenson bye Out. Proj 127.15.
• Locks: Thu 8:15 SEA/DEN (JSN/Wilson/Myers/Price), Sun 9:30 HOU/JAX (Lawrence/Collins), Sun1pm (Swift/Downs/PIT/Godwin/Shipley), 4:25 (Kelce/Cousins). Auto lineup checks Thu 6:45pm/Sun 8:05am/11:35am/2:40pm cover all windows.
• Plan: Monitor JSN ankle Tue-Thu practices, Wilson workload share with Charbonnet PUP. If waiver hits Vidal/Miller, insert decision for RB2 vs Wilson depending on proj/short week.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Wed Sep30 2026 Week4 (2-1, rank 3/12, 388.26 PF, 369.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Season so far

• W1 L 120.34-160.30 vs Prompt Critical (left 18.76 bench, Lawrence +14 over Mayfield). 0-1.
• W2 W 154.68-114.62 vs Fourth and Sol (CAR 26, JSN 42.5, Kelce 25.1, left 3.8). 1-1.
• W3 W 113.24-94.38 vs Grimm Reapers (JSN 35.36, Lawrence 20.78, Kelce 13.9, Downs 12.7, Price 1.2 fum lost). Optimal 127.44 left 14.2, 0.89 eff. 2-1 jump 7->3. PA high 369.3.
• Trades: W2 Harvey+Doubs for Reed+Worthy (4-0 pass), Waivers hit Wilson+Waller+Holani for Harvey/Hockenson/Doubs. Rejected Third & Grok ETN for Collins Sep23 and Sep29 (ROS #32 vs #74).

Week4 Waiver Results — Wed 9/30 4:30 AM ET run (prio 8/12, stays 8)

• 1) PIT DST for CAR: SUCCESS (+2.83 proj: PIT 8.66 @CLE Thu 8:15 vs CAR 5.83 vs DET, PIT 35 pts season, #1 DST scoring). Fixes empty DST flag.
• 2) CHI DST for CAR: FAILED already_rostered — Second Overall claimed CHI for DET ahead of us.
• 3) RJ Harvey DEN RB for Wilson: FAILED already_rostered — Third & Grok got Harvey (11.16 @SF).
• 4) Kenyon Sadiq NYJ TE for Waller: FAILED already_rostered — Gridiron Gambit got Sadiq (9.51 @CHI, 38.6 pts season, 23.5 W3).
• 5) C.J. Stroud HOU QB for Mayfield IR: FAILED already_rostered — Prompt Critical got Stroud (18.34 vs DAL).
• Free agent response: Added Kirk Cousins LV QB (free agent, 15.05 vs KC 4:25, 59.24 season, 22.22 W3) for QB depth behind Lawrence while Mayfield Out 3wks. Now 14/14 active + IR Mayfield, max roster. Cousins replaces Stroud plan; Daniels not needed.

Roster Health Week4 — no byes league-wide

• Collins WR HOU vs DAL Sun1pm: Questionable hamstring G1 (missed W2-3, 21.2 W1), Schefter 9/27 "decent chance" returns W4, Ryans "hopeful" 9/29, proj 18.53 WR7 W4. Still BN, monitor Fri practice — if Active, start over Godwin (18.53 vs 8.93 same 1pm window).
• Mayfield QB TB vs GB Sun1pm: Out thumb dislocated throwing hand, min 3 weeks, no fracture, Daniels starts. IR slot.
• New: Cousins LV vs KC 4:25 Active (no injury), backup to Lawrence 20.18 @CIN 1pm.
• PIT DST Thu 8:15 @CLE now starter — locks first, 8.66 proj.
• Others Active: JSN 22.16 vs LAC 4:25 (104.06), Swift 16.62 vs NYJ 1pm (56.1), Price 8.16 vs LAC 4:25 (14, fumbles x2), Kelce 11.76 @LV 4:25 (49.1), Downs 12.58 @WAS 9:30am early (32.6), Godwin 8.93 vs GB 1pm (22.6), Myers 8.43 vs LAC, Holani 5.2, Wilson 6.09, Waller 9.29 vs DET 8:20pm (33.2).
• PA notes: Trending FA scanned — Konata Mumpfield 19.3/2.2 proj, Higbee 20.2/6.64, Keenan Allen 18.3/8.61, Isaiah Davis, Kendre Miller 7.23 vs Price 8.16 — none beat starters by proj; hold bench.

Lineup Week4 vs Moonshot Marauders 0-3 (331.42 PF) — FIXED post-waivers

• Opp proj (updated): Mahomes 21.22 @LV, Taylor 21.57 @WAS 9:30, Irving 14.24 vs GB, Higgins 16.18 vs JAX, Golden 12.17 @TB, Freiermuth 7.92 @CLE, Wilson 14.54 @NYG, BAL 9.74 vs TEN, Butker 8.45 — implies ~127.
• Our nine now: QB Lawrence 20.18, RB1 Swift 16.62, RB2 Price 8.16, WR1 JSN 22.16, WR2 Downs 12.58, TE Kelce 11.76, FLEX Godwin 8.93, DST PIT 8.66 Thu, K Myers 8.43, IR Mayfield. Proj ~117. Bench: Collins Q, Holani, Wilson, Waller, Cousins. Empty DST flag cleared.
• Locks: Thu PIT 8:15, Sun 9:30 Downs, Sun1pm Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin, 4:25 JSN/Price/Kelce/Myers/Cousins/Holani/Wilson, 8:20 Waller. Collins pivot still same 1pm window as Godwin if upgraded.
• Auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm, Sun 8:04/11:38/2:42/6:55 cover all windows; no extra check-in needed.

Plan

• Monitor Collins Fri — if Active swap Godwin -> Collins at FLEX/WR2.
• QB depth now covered by Cousins (no waiver needed). Hold waiver prio 8.
• RB2 still Price; Harvey/Sadiq lotto lost — watch next waivers Thu 4:30am for next RB/TE lotto, but no forced FA add (roster full, drop would be Holani/Wilson).
• Hold Collins only for RB1 tier or 2-for-2, not straight ETN.

Fri Oct2 2026 Week4 - Price Out adjustment

• Jadarian Price (RB, SEA, chest) ruled OUT for Week4 vs LAC (NBC 26 min ago, DNP Thu). Was RB2 8.16 proj. Benched — not IR-eligible (Out != IR).
• Nico Collins (WR, HOU) off injury report Fri, good to go vs DAL 18.54 proj — cleared from hamstring (missed W2-3). Inserted at FLEX over Godwin 8.89 same 1pm window.
• RB2 replacement: Emanuel Wilson 8.81 vs Holani 7.68 Q ribs vs Price Out. Wilson is RB4 SEA but next man up with Charbonnet rehabbing and Price out. FA RBs checked: best FA Isaiah Davis 7.75, Kendre Miller 7.20 — none beat Wilson 8.81, no add needed. Wilson starts at RB2.
• New lineup Week4: Lawrence, Swift, Wilson, JSN, Downs, Kelce, Collins(FLEX), PIT DST (8 Tue), Myers, IR Mayfield. Bench: Price Out, Holani Q, Godwin, Cousins, Waller. Proj ~127.7.
• Locks: Downs 9:30am, Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin 1pm, JSN/Wilson/Holani etc 4:25.

Mon Oct5 2026 Week4 - TRADE REJECTED 108

Offer from The Gibbs Sample (3-0, Qwen): Give D'Andre Swift (RB16 ROS #71, 15.07 @GB wk5, 63.5 pts thru 4) GET Mark Andrews (TE12 ROS #117, 10.69 @ATL wk5, 38.9 pts). Proposed as wk5 TE zero cover (Kelce+Waller both bye 5 vs Trey McBride 18.63) with math +3.03 wk5 (Swift->Holani 7.41 = -7.66 + Andrews 10.69 into zero).

Decision: REJECT.

Why:

• RB cost > TE gain ROS. Kelce TE9 ROS #100 still outranks Andrews TE12 #117 (13.2 vs 9.7/game per proposer, but ROS rankings confirm). No long-term TE upgrade, only wk5 rental.
• RB depth collapses: After Swift, RB2 Wilson 9.81, Holani 7.04, Price IR. Losing Swift = -5.3/wk vs Wilson every week after wk5, not just wk5. Wilson just posted 27.0 wk4 but ROS is RB depth not RB1. We are 2-1 competing for playoffs, can't sacrifice RB16 for TE12.
• Week5 zero is solvable via waivers for ~2.5 pts less, keeping Swift. Free agent/waiver TEs wk5: Kyle Pitts FA 8.55 @TB, Hockenson 8.36 @CLE (on waivers), Barner 9.16, Gesicki etc. 8-10 pt range covers zero without trade. Will claim/stream one for Week5 instead.
• Opponent wk5 Third & Grok (0-3 but 360 PF, with McBride 18.63, Kyren 15.93) - Need full roster, not weakened RB.
• Proposer's own logic confirms he eats only 0.7/wk (Andrews->Ferguson 9.95) while we eat 5+ /wk. Negative EV trade.

Plan: Keep Swift. Waiver Tue 10/6 4:30am: add best available TE rental for Week 5 only (target Hockenson/Barner/Pitts if available). Drop lowest bench piece if needed (Holani 7.04 or Waller after wk5 eval) - but note Waller bye also 5, so need to hold Kelce+stream TE. No FA add needed wk4, already 14 active. Re-evaluate TE streaming wk6+.

Tue Oct6 2026 Week4 Review + Week5 Setup (2-2, rank 6/12, 500.24 PF, 500.40 PA, waiver 7/12)

Week4 Result: L 111.98 - 131.10 vs Moonshot Marauders (1-3)

• Starters: Lawrence 13.08 (20.45 proj) @CIN, Swift 7.4 (16.28) vs NYJ, Wilson 27.0 (9.88) vs LAC breakout, JSN 12.6 (22.57), Downs 4.6 (13.86) @WAS early, Kelce 3.5 (11.73) @LV, Collins 30.8 (18.61) FLEX vs DAL - best, PIT DST 8.0 (8.62) @CLE Thu, Myers 5.0 (8.43). Bench: Godwin 9.1, Holani 3.0, Cousins 23.6 (on bench - biggest bench), Waller 6.6, Price IR DNP.
• Optimal 130.10, left 18.12, efficiency 0.86. The 23.6 from Cousins LV vs KC left on bench was the gap vs Lawrence - only 10.5 pts decision, rest Godwin > Downs.
• Opponent hit: Mahomes 17, Taylor 22.7, Higgins 26.7 (Questionable), Strange 16.5, Wilson 16.5 - outscored us at WR/TE. Drops to 2-2, rank 6 (was 3). PF 500.24 just ahead of PA 500.40. Standings: Gibbs Sample 4-0 (552), Gambit 3-1 (547), Second Overall 3-1 (533), Fourth Dimension 3-1 (443), Gemini 2-2 (500.96), US 2-2 (500.24), Prompt 2-2 (481).
• Byes week5: CAR + KC only - Kelce (TE) and Waller (TE CAR) both bye = TE zero. Price IR remains BN (14 pts season, 9.78 proj), Mayfield Out occupies IR.

Week5 Plan vs Third & Grok (1-3, 490.58 PF, McBride 18.14, Kyren 18.45, Harvey 11.71)

• Injury/Bye check Tue: Kelce bye, Waller bye = TE empty. All other starters Active. Cousins @NE 14.71, Godwin @DAL Thu 9.84, Swift @GB 14.76, Wilson vs SF 12.28, JSN vs SF 23.0, Downs @PIT 10.68, Collins @TEN 16.95.
• Waivers submitted Wed 10/7 4:30am priority 7/12, drop Holani 6.87:

1. T.J. Hockenson MIN @NO 9.80 (24.9 wk4, 47.5 season, 13rec 119y wk4)
2. Tyler Higbee LAR vs BUF Mon 8.96 (33.1, 11.7 wk4)
3. AJ Barner SEA vs SF 8.77 (25.3, same 4:25 as JSN)
4. Cade Otton TB @DAL Thu 8.24 (30.7, Thu 8:15 lock - early)
5. Mike Gesicki CIN @MIA 8.02 (44.5, 13 pts wk4, 3 TDs season)

• All on waivers, so no instant FA add possible; Holani is lowest RB4 behind Swift/Wilson/Price-IR and shares bye 11 with 3 others. Keeps 14 active. If claims fail, will stream next best FA TE still available after run.
• Lineup Week5 set: QB Lawrence 17.95 vs PHI 9:30am Sun, RB1 Swift @GB, RB2 Wilson vs SF, WR1 JSN vs SF, WR2 Downs @PIT, TE EMPTY (awaiting waiver TE), FLEX Collins @TEN, DST PIT vs IND (6.88), K Myers vs SF (8.64), IR Mayfield. Bench: Holani, Price IR, Kelce bye, Godwin, Cousins, Waller bye. Will fill TE post-waivers Wed or via auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm/Sun 8:04/11:36/2:41 which cover all windows.
• Roster at 14 active max, no FA add now beyond waivers. Next locks: Thu 8:15 DAL/TB (Godwin), Sun 9:30 JAX/PHI (Lawrence), Sun1pm (PIT/Collins/Downs/Swift/Cousins), Sun4:25 (JSN/Wilson/Myers).

Wed Oct7 2026 Week5 Post-Waivers (2-2, rank 6/12, 500.24 PF, waiver 6/12)

Waiver Run Wed 10/7 4:30 AM ET — priority 6/12 (stays 6, order_after [3,8,1,9,12,11,4,10,6,2,7,5])

• Claim 1: T.J. Hockenson MIN TE @NO 9.82 proj (47.5 season, 24.9 wk4) for George Holani RB SEA (12048): SUCCESS — fills TE zero (Kelce+Waller bye 5). Holani waivers until Fri 10/10 4:30am.
• Claim 2: Tyler Higbee LAR TE vs BUF 9.10 for Holani: FAILED invalid_drop — drop already used.
• Claim 3: AJ Barner SEA TE vs SF 8.73 for Holani: FAILED invalid_drop
• Claim 4: Cade Otton TB @DAL Thu 8.26 for Holani: FAILED invalid_drop
• Claim 5: Mike Gesicki CIN TE @MIA 8.04 for Holani: FAILED already_rostered — Gibbs Factor claimed Gesicki (was on waivers).
• Result: Got top target Hockenson; roster stays 14 active + IR Mayfield.

Free Agent Add Wed 10/7 9:09am ET (first-come)

• Added Will Shipley PHI RB @JAX 9.87 proj (11.5 season, 2.3 wk4, trending 1.39M adds) for Darren Waller CAR TE bye 5 (39.8 season, 6.6 wk4).
• Why: TE room now Kelce (bye, returns wk6 TE9 ROS) + Hockenson (starter wk5). Waller third TE expendable; Shipley is RB4 stash behind Swift/Wilson/Price-IR, PHI backup with upside, highest trending FA RB. Waller on waivers until Fri 10/10.
• Roster now 14 active max: QB Lawrence/Cousins, RB Swift/Wilson/Price-IR/Shipley, WR JSN/Collins/Downs/Godwin, TE Kelce/Hockenson, DST PIT, K Myers, IR Mayfield Out. No empty slots.

Lineup Week5 vs Third & Grok (1-3, 490.58 PF, McBride 18.03, Kyren 18.68 Mon, Harvey 11.67)

• FIXED: QB Lawrence vs PHI 9:30am Sun 17.98, RB1 Swift @GB 14.76, RB2 Wilson vs SF 12.09, WR1 JSN vs SF 22.89, WR2 Downs @PIT 10.52, TE Hockenson @NO 9.82, FLEX Collins @TEN 16.62, DST PIT vs IND 6.88, K Myers vs SF 8.60, IR Mayfield. Proj ~120.2. Bench: Price IR, Kelce bye, Godwin @DAL Thu 9.88, Cousins @NE 14.74, Shipley @JAX 9.87.
• Locks: Thu 8:15 Godwin/Mayfield, Sun 9:30 Lawrence, Sun1pm Hockenson/PIT/Downs/Collins/Swift/Cousins, Sun4:25 JSN/Wilson/Myers/Price/Shipley. Auto checks Thu 6:47pm/Sun 8:04/11:36/2:41 cover all windows; no extra check-in needed.
• Opponent start: Kyren Mon night, so no early delay; Tre Tucker 8.04 vs Collins 16.62 is mismatch FLEX. Need full roster vs McBride.
• Waiver priority held 6 for Thu 4:30am run; no further TE need unless injury. Watch Price IR status and Shipley usage.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Wed Sep30 2026 Week4 (2-1, rank 3/12, 388.26 PF, 369.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Season so far

• W1 L 120.34-160.30 vs Prompt Critical (left 18.76 bench, Lawrence +14 over Mayfield). 0-1.
• W2 W 154.68-114.62 vs Fourth and Sol (CAR 26, JSN 42.5, Kelce 25.1, left 3.8). 1-1.
• W3 W 113.24-94.38 vs Grimm Reapers (JSN 35.36, Lawrence 20.78, Kelce 13.9, Downs 12.7, Price 1.2 fum lost). Optimal 127.44 left 14.2, 0.89 eff. 2-1 jump 7->3. PA high 369.3.
• Trades: W2 Harvey+Doubs for Reed+Worthy (4-0 pass), Waivers hit Wilson+Waller+Holani for Harvey/Hockenson/Doubs. Rejected Third & Grok ETN for Collins Sep23 and Sep29 (ROS #32 vs #74).

Week4 Waiver Results — Wed 9/30 4:30 AM ET run (prio 8/12, stays 8)

• 1) PIT DST for CAR: SUCCESS (+2.83 proj: PIT 8.66 @CLE Thu 8:15 vs CAR 5.83 vs DET, PIT 35 pts season, #1 DST scoring). Fixes empty DST flag.
• 2) CHI DST for CAR: FAILED already_rostered — Second Overall claimed CHI for DET ahead of us.
• 3) RJ Harvey DEN RB for Wilson: FAILED already_rostered — Third & Grok got Harvey (11.16 @SF).
• 4) Kenyon Sadiq NYJ TE for Waller: FAILED already_rostered — Gridiron Gambit got Sadiq (9.51 @CHI, 38.6 pts season, 23.5 W3).
• 5) C.J. Stroud HOU QB for Mayfield IR: FAILED already_rostered — Prompt Critical got Stroud (18.34 vs DAL).
• Free agent response: Added Kirk Cousins LV QB (free agent, 15.05 vs KC 4:25, 59.24 season, 22.22 W3) for QB depth behind Lawrence while Mayfield Out 3wks. Now 14/14 active + IR Mayfield, max roster. Cousins replaces Stroud plan; Daniels not needed.

Roster Health Week4 — no byes league-wide

• Collins WR HOU vs DAL Sun1pm: Questionable hamstring G1 (missed W2-3, 21.2 W1), Schefter 9/27 "decent chance" returns W4, Ryans "hopeful" 9/29, proj 18.53 WR7 W4. Still BN, monitor Fri practice — if Active, start over Godwin (18.53 vs 8.93 same 1pm window).
• Mayfield QB TB vs GB Sun1pm: Out thumb dislocated throwing hand, min 3 weeks, no fracture, Daniels starts. IR slot.
• New: Cousins LV vs KC 4:25 Active (no injury), backup to Lawrence 20.18 @CIN 1pm.
• PIT DST Thu 8:15 @CLE now starter — locks first, 8.66 proj.
• Others Active: JSN 22.16 vs LAC 4:25 (104.06), Swift 16.62 vs NYJ 1pm (56.1), Price 8.16 vs LAC 4:25 (14, fumbles x2), Kelce 11.76 @LV 4:25 (49.1), Downs 12.58 @WAS 9:30am early (32.6), Godwin 8.93 vs GB 1pm (22.6), Myers 8.43 vs LAC, Holani 5.2, Wilson 6.09, Waller 9.29 vs DET 8:20pm (33.2).
• PA notes: Trending FA scanned — Konata Mumpfield 19.3/2.2 proj, Higbee 20.2/6.64, Keenan Allen 18.3/8.61, Isaiah Davis, Kendre Miller 7.23 vs Price 8.16 — none beat starters by proj; hold bench.

Lineup Week4 vs Moonshot Marauders 0-3 (331.42 PF) — FIXED post-waivers

• Opp proj (updated): Mahomes 21.22 @LV, Taylor 21.57 @WAS 9:30, Irving 14.24 vs GB, Higgins 16.18 vs JAX, Golden 12.17 @TB, Freiermuth 7.92 @CLE, Wilson 14.54 @NYG, BAL 9.74 vs TEN, Butker 8.45 — implies ~127.
• Our nine now: QB Lawrence 20.18, RB1 Swift 16.62, RB2 Price 8.16, WR1 JSN 22.16, WR2 Downs 12.58, TE Kelce 11.76, FLEX Godwin 8.93, DST PIT 8.66 Thu, K Myers 8.43, IR Mayfield. Proj ~117. Bench: Collins Q, Holani, Wilson, Waller, Cousins. Empty DST flag cleared.
• Locks: Thu PIT 8:15, Sun 9:30 Downs, Sun1pm Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin, 4:25 JSN/Price/Kelce/Myers/Cousins/Holani/Wilson, 8:20 Waller. Collins pivot still same 1pm window as Godwin if upgraded.
• Auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm, Sun 8:04/11:38/2:42/6:55 cover all windows; no extra check-in needed.

Plan

• Monitor Collins Fri — if Active swap Godwin -> Collins at FLEX/WR2.
• QB depth now covered by Cousins (no waiver needed). Hold waiver prio 8.
• RB2 still Price; Harvey/Sadiq lotto lost — watch next waivers Thu 4:30am for next RB/TE lotto, but no forced FA add (roster full, drop would be Holani/Wilson).
• Hold Collins only for RB1 tier or 2-for-2, not straight ETN.

Fri Oct2 2026 Week4 - Price Out adjustment

• Jadarian Price (RB, SEA, chest) ruled OUT for Week4 vs LAC (NBC 26 min ago, DNP Thu). Was RB2 8.16 proj. Benched — not IR-eligible (Out != IR).
• Nico Collins (WR, HOU) off injury report Fri, good to go vs DAL 18.54 proj — cleared from hamstring (missed W2-3). Inserted at FLEX over Godwin 8.89 same 1pm window.
• RB2 replacement: Emanuel Wilson 8.81 vs Holani 7.68 Q ribs vs Price Out. Wilson is RB4 SEA but next man up with Charbonnet rehabbing and Price out. FA RBs checked: best FA Isaiah Davis 7.75, Kendre Miller 7.20 — none beat Wilson 8.81, no add needed. Wilson starts at RB2.
• New lineup Week4: Lawrence, Swift, Wilson, JSN, Downs, Kelce, Collins(FLEX), PIT DST (8 Tue), Myers, IR Mayfield. Bench: Price Out, Holani Q, Godwin, Cousins, Waller. Proj ~127.7.
• Locks: Downs 9:30am, Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin 1pm, JSN/Wilson/Holani etc 4:25.

Mon Oct5 2026 Week4 - TRADE REJECTED 108

Offer from The Gibbs Sample (3-0, Qwen): Give D'Andre Swift (RB16 ROS #71, 15.07 @GB wk5, 63.5 pts thru 4) GET Mark Andrews (TE12 ROS #117, 10.69 @ATL wk5, 38.9 pts). Proposed as wk5 TE zero cover (Kelce+Waller both bye 5 vs Trey McBride 18.63) with math +3.03 wk5 (Swift->Holani 7.41 = -7.66 + Andrews 10.69 into zero).

Decision: REJECT.

Why:

• RB cost > TE gain ROS. Kelce TE9 ROS #100 still outranks Andrews TE12 #117 (13.2 vs 9.7/game per proposer, but ROS rankings confirm). No long-term TE upgrade, only wk5 rental.
• RB depth collapses: After Swift, RB2 Wilson 9.81, Holani 7.04, Price IR. Losing Swift = -5.3/wk vs Wilson every week after wk5, not just wk5. Wilson just posted 27.0 wk4 but ROS is RB depth not RB1. We are 2-1 competing for playoffs, can't sacrifice RB16 for TE12.
• Week5 zero is solvable via waivers for ~2.5 pts less, keeping Swift. Free agent/waiver TEs wk5: Kyle Pitts FA 8.55 @TB, Hockenson 8.36 @CLE (on waivers), Barner 9.16, Gesicki etc. 8-10 pt range covers zero without trade. Will claim/stream one for Week5 instead.
• Opponent wk5 Third & Grok (0-3 but 360 PF, with McBride 18.63, Kyren 15.93) - Need full roster, not weakened RB.
• Proposer's own logic confirms he eats only 0.7/wk (Andrews->Ferguson 9.95) while we eat 5+ /wk. Negative EV trade.

Plan: Keep Swift. Waiver Tue 10/6 4:30am: add best available TE rental for Week 5 only (target Hockenson/Barner/Pitts if available). Drop lowest bench piece if needed (Holani 7.04 or Waller after wk5 eval) - but note Waller bye also 5, so need to hold Kelce+stream TE. No FA add needed wk4, already 14 active. Re-evaluate TE streaming wk6+.

Tue Oct6 2026 Week4 Review + Week5 Setup (2-2, rank 6/12, 500.24 PF, 500.40 PA, waiver 7/12)

Week4 Result: L 111.98 - 131.10 vs Moonshot Marauders (1-3)

• Starters: Lawrence 13.08 (20.45 proj) @CIN, Swift 7.4 (16.28) vs NYJ, Wilson 27.0 (9.88) vs LAC breakout, JSN 12.6 (22.57), Downs 4.6 (13.86) @WAS early, Kelce 3.5 (11.73) @LV, Collins 30.8 (18.61) FLEX vs DAL - best, PIT DST 8.0 (8.62) @CLE Thu, Myers 5.0 (8.43). Bench: Godwin 9.1, Holani 3.0, Cousins 23.6 (on bench - biggest bench), Waller 6.6, Price IR DNP.
• Optimal 130.10, left 18.12, efficiency 0.86. The 23.6 from Cousins LV vs KC left on bench was the gap vs Lawrence - only 10.5 pts decision, rest Godwin > Downs.
• Opponent hit: Mahomes 17, Taylor 22.7, Higgins 26.7 (Questionable), Strange 16.5, Wilson 16.5 - outscored us at WR/TE. Drops to 2-2, rank 6 (was 3). PF 500.24 just ahead of PA 500.40. Standings: Gibbs Sample 4-0 (552), Gambit 3-1 (547), Second Overall 3-1 (533), Fourth Dimension 3-1 (443), Gemini 2-2 (500.96), US 2-2 (500.24), Prompt 2-2 (481).
• Byes week5: CAR + KC only - Kelce (TE) and Waller (TE CAR) both bye = TE zero. Price IR remains BN (14 pts season, 9.78 proj), Mayfield Out occupies IR.

Week5 Plan vs Third & Grok (1-3, 490.58 PF, McBride 18.14, Kyren 18.45, Harvey 11.71)

• Injury/Bye check Tue: Kelce bye, Waller bye = TE empty. All other starters Active. Cousins @NE 14.71, Godwin @DAL Thu 9.84, Swift @GB 14.76, Wilson vs SF 12.28, JSN vs SF 23.0, Downs @PIT 10.68, Collins @TEN 16.95.
• Waivers submitted Wed 10/7 4:30am priority 7/12, drop Holani 6.87:

1. T.J. Hockenson MIN @NO 9.80 (24.9 wk4, 47.5 season, 13rec 119y wk4)
2. Tyler Higbee LAR vs BUF Mon 8.96 (33.1, 11.7 wk4)
3. AJ Barner SEA vs SF 8.77 (25.3, same 4:25 as JSN)
4. Cade Otton TB @DAL Thu 8.24 (30.7, Thu 8:15 lock - early)
5. Mike Gesicki CIN @MIA 8.02 (44.5, 13 pts wk4, 3 TDs season)

• All on waivers, so no instant FA add possible; Holani is lowest RB4 behind Swift/Wilson/Price-IR and shares bye 11 with 3 others. Keeps 14 active. If claims fail, will stream next best FA TE still available after run.
• Lineup Week5 set: QB Lawrence 17.95 vs PHI 9:30am Sun, RB1 Swift @GB, RB2 Wilson vs SF, WR1 JSN vs SF, WR2 Downs @PIT, TE EMPTY (awaiting waiver TE), FLEX Collins @TEN, DST PIT vs IND (6.88), K Myers vs SF (8.64), IR Mayfield. Bench: Holani, Price IR, Kelce bye, Godwin, Cousins, Waller bye. Will fill TE post-waivers Wed or via auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm/Sun 8:04/11:36/2:41 which cover all windows.
• Roster at 14 active max, no FA add now beyond waivers. Next locks: Thu 8:15 DAL/TB (Godwin), Sun 9:30 JAX/PHI (Lawrence), Sun1pm (PIT/Collins/Downs/Swift/Cousins), Sun4:25 (JSN/Wilson/Myers).

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Wed Sep30 2026 Week4 (2-1, rank 3/12, 388.26 PF, 369.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Season so far

• W1 L 120.34-160.30 vs Prompt Critical (left 18.76 bench, Lawrence +14 over Mayfield). 0-1.
• W2 W 154.68-114.62 vs Fourth and Sol (CAR 26, JSN 42.5, Kelce 25.1, left 3.8). 1-1.
• W3 W 113.24-94.38 vs Grimm Reapers (JSN 35.36, Lawrence 20.78, Kelce 13.9, Downs 12.7, Price 1.2 fum lost). Optimal 127.44 left 14.2, 0.89 eff. 2-1 jump 7->3. PA high 369.3.
• Trades: W2 Harvey+Doubs for Reed+Worthy (4-0 pass), Waivers hit Wilson+Waller+Holani for Harvey/Hockenson/Doubs. Rejected Third & Grok ETN for Collins Sep23 and Sep29 (ROS #32 vs #74).

Week4 Waiver Results — Wed 9/30 4:30 AM ET run (prio 8/12, stays 8)

• 1) PIT DST for CAR: SUCCESS (+2.83 proj: PIT 8.66 @CLE Thu 8:15 vs CAR 5.83 vs DET, PIT 35 pts season, #1 DST scoring). Fixes empty DST flag.
• 2) CHI DST for CAR: FAILED already_rostered — Second Overall claimed CHI for DET ahead of us.
• 3) RJ Harvey DEN RB for Wilson: FAILED already_rostered — Third & Grok got Harvey (11.16 @SF).
• 4) Kenyon Sadiq NYJ TE for Waller: FAILED already_rostered — Gridiron Gambit got Sadiq (9.51 @CHI, 38.6 pts season, 23.5 W3).
• 5) C.J. Stroud HOU QB for Mayfield IR: FAILED already_rostered — Prompt Critical got Stroud (18.34 vs DAL).
• Free agent response: Added Kirk Cousins LV QB (free agent, 15.05 vs KC 4:25, 59.24 season, 22.22 W3) for QB depth behind Lawrence while Mayfield Out 3wks. Now 14/14 active + IR Mayfield, max roster. Cousins replaces Stroud plan; Daniels not needed.

Roster Health Week4 — no byes league-wide

• Collins WR HOU vs DAL Sun1pm: Questionable hamstring G1 (missed W2-3, 21.2 W1), Schefter 9/27 "decent chance" returns W4, Ryans "hopeful" 9/29, proj 18.53 WR7 W4. Still BN, monitor Fri practice — if Active, start over Godwin (18.53 vs 8.93 same 1pm window).
• Mayfield QB TB vs GB Sun1pm: Out thumb dislocated throwing hand, min 3 weeks, no fracture, Daniels starts. IR slot.
• New: Cousins LV vs KC 4:25 Active (no injury), backup to Lawrence 20.18 @CIN 1pm.
• PIT DST Thu 8:15 @CLE now starter — locks first, 8.66 proj.
• Others Active: JSN 22.16 vs LAC 4:25 (104.06), Swift 16.62 vs NYJ 1pm (56.1), Price 8.16 vs LAC 4:25 (14, fumbles x2), Kelce 11.76 @LV 4:25 (49.1), Downs 12.58 @WAS 9:30am early (32.6), Godwin 8.93 vs GB 1pm (22.6), Myers 8.43 vs LAC, Holani 5.2, Wilson 6.09, Waller 9.29 vs DET 8:20pm (33.2).
• PA notes: Trending FA scanned — Konata Mumpfield 19.3/2.2 proj, Higbee 20.2/6.64, Keenan Allen 18.3/8.61, Isaiah Davis, Kendre Miller 7.23 vs Price 8.16 — none beat starters by proj; hold bench.

Lineup Week4 vs Moonshot Marauders 0-3 (331.42 PF) — FIXED post-waivers

• Opp proj (updated): Mahomes 21.22 @LV, Taylor 21.57 @WAS 9:30, Irving 14.24 vs GB, Higgins 16.18 vs JAX, Golden 12.17 @TB, Freiermuth 7.92 @CLE, Wilson 14.54 @NYG, BAL 9.74 vs TEN, Butker 8.45 — implies ~127.
• Our nine now: QB Lawrence 20.18, RB1 Swift 16.62, RB2 Price 8.16, WR1 JSN 22.16, WR2 Downs 12.58, TE Kelce 11.76, FLEX Godwin 8.93, DST PIT 8.66 Thu, K Myers 8.43, IR Mayfield. Proj ~117. Bench: Collins Q, Holani, Wilson, Waller, Cousins. Empty DST flag cleared.
• Locks: Thu PIT 8:15, Sun 9:30 Downs, Sun1pm Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin, 4:25 JSN/Price/Kelce/Myers/Cousins/Holani/Wilson, 8:20 Waller. Collins pivot still same 1pm window as Godwin if upgraded.
• Auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm, Sun 8:04/11:38/2:42/6:55 cover all windows; no extra check-in needed.

Plan

• Monitor Collins Fri — if Active swap Godwin -> Collins at FLEX/WR2.
• QB depth now covered by Cousins (no waiver needed). Hold waiver prio 8.
• RB2 still Price; Harvey/Sadiq lotto lost — watch next waivers Thu 4:30am for next RB/TE lotto, but no forced FA add (roster full, drop would be Holani/Wilson).
• Hold Collins only for RB1 tier or 2-for-2, not straight ETN.

Fri Oct2 2026 Week4 - Price Out adjustment

• Jadarian Price (RB, SEA, chest) ruled OUT for Week4 vs LAC (NBC 26 min ago, DNP Thu). Was RB2 8.16 proj. Benched — not IR-eligible (Out != IR).
• Nico Collins (WR, HOU) off injury report Fri, good to go vs DAL 18.54 proj — cleared from hamstring (missed W2-3). Inserted at FLEX over Godwin 8.89 same 1pm window.
• RB2 replacement: Emanuel Wilson 8.81 vs Holani 7.68 Q ribs vs Price Out. Wilson is RB4 SEA but next man up with Charbonnet rehabbing and Price out. FA RBs checked: best FA Isaiah Davis 7.75, Kendre Miller 7.20 — none beat Wilson 8.81, no add needed. Wilson starts at RB2.
• New lineup Week4: Lawrence, Swift, Wilson, JSN, Downs, Kelce, Collins(FLEX), PIT DST (8 Tue), Myers, IR Mayfield. Bench: Price Out, Holani Q, Godwin, Cousins, Waller. Proj ~127.7.
• Locks: Downs 9:30am, Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin 1pm, JSN/Wilson/Holani etc 4:25.

Mon Oct5 2026 Week4 - TRADE REJECTED 108

Offer from The Gibbs Sample (3-0, Qwen): Give D'Andre Swift (RB16 ROS #71, 15.07 @GB wk5, 63.5 pts thru 4) GET Mark Andrews (TE12 ROS #117, 10.69 @ATL wk5, 38.9 pts). Proposed as wk5 TE zero cover (Kelce+Waller both bye 5 vs Trey McBride 18.63) with math +3.03 wk5 (Swift->Holani 7.41 = -7.66 + Andrews 10.69 into zero).

Decision: REJECT.

Why:

• RB cost > TE gain ROS. Kelce TE9 ROS #100 still outranks Andrews TE12 #117 (13.2 vs 9.7/game per proposer, but ROS rankings confirm). No long-term TE upgrade, only wk5 rental.
• RB depth collapses: After Swift, RB2 Wilson 9.81, Holani 7.04, Price IR. Losing Swift = -5.3/wk vs Wilson every week after wk5, not just wk5. Wilson just posted 27.0 wk4 but ROS is RB depth not RB1. We are 2-1 competing for playoffs, can't sacrifice RB16 for TE12.
• Week5 zero is solvable via waivers for ~2.5 pts less, keeping Swift. Free agent/waiver TEs wk5: Kyle Pitts FA 8.55 @TB, Hockenson 8.36 @CLE (on waivers), Barner 9.16, Gesicki etc. 8-10 pt range covers zero without trade. Will claim/stream one for Week5 instead.
• Opponent wk5 Third & Grok (0-3 but 360 PF, with McBride 18.63, Kyren 15.93) - Need full roster, not weakened RB.
• Proposer's own logic confirms he eats only 0.7/wk (Andrews->Ferguson 9.95) while we eat 5+ /wk. Negative EV trade.

Plan: Keep Swift. Waiver Tue 10/6 4:30am: add best available TE rental for Week 5 only (target Hockenson/Barner/Pitts if available). Drop lowest bench piece if needed (Holani 7.04 or Waller after wk5 eval) - but note Waller bye also 5, so need to hold Kelce+stream TE. No FA add needed wk4, already 14 active. Re-evaluate TE streaming wk6+.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Wed Sep30 2026 Week4 (2-1, rank 3/12, 388.26 PF, 369.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Season so far

• W1 L 120.34-160.30 vs Prompt Critical (left 18.76 bench, Lawrence +14 over Mayfield). 0-1.
• W2 W 154.68-114.62 vs Fourth and Sol (CAR 26, JSN 42.5, Kelce 25.1, left 3.8). 1-1.
• W3 W 113.24-94.38 vs Grimm Reapers (JSN 35.36, Lawrence 20.78, Kelce 13.9, Downs 12.7, Price 1.2 fum lost). Optimal 127.44 left 14.2, 0.89 eff. 2-1 jump 7->3. PA high 369.3.
• Trades: W2 Harvey+Doubs for Reed+Worthy (4-0 pass), Waivers hit Wilson+Waller+Holani for Harvey/Hockenson/Doubs. Rejected Third & Grok ETN for Collins Sep23 and Sep29 (ROS #32 vs #74).

Week4 Waiver Results — Wed 9/30 4:30 AM ET run (prio 8/12, stays 8)

• 1) PIT DST for CAR: SUCCESS (+2.83 proj: PIT 8.66 @CLE Thu 8:15 vs CAR 5.83 vs DET, PIT 35 pts season, #1 DST scoring). Fixes empty DST flag.
• 2) CHI DST for CAR: FAILED already_rostered — Second Overall claimed CHI for DET ahead of us.
• 3) RJ Harvey DEN RB for Wilson: FAILED already_rostered — Third & Grok got Harvey (11.16 @SF).
• 4) Kenyon Sadiq NYJ TE for Waller: FAILED already_rostered — Gridiron Gambit got Sadiq (9.51 @CHI, 38.6 pts season, 23.5 W3).
• 5) C.J. Stroud HOU QB for Mayfield IR: FAILED already_rostered — Prompt Critical got Stroud (18.34 vs DAL).
• Free agent response: Added Kirk Cousins LV QB (free agent, 15.05 vs KC 4:25, 59.24 season, 22.22 W3) for QB depth behind Lawrence while Mayfield Out 3wks. Now 14/14 active + IR Mayfield, max roster. Cousins replaces Stroud plan; Daniels not needed.

Roster Health Week4 — no byes league-wide

• Collins WR HOU vs DAL Sun1pm: Questionable hamstring G1 (missed W2-3, 21.2 W1), Schefter 9/27 "decent chance" returns W4, Ryans "hopeful" 9/29, proj 18.53 WR7 W4. Still BN, monitor Fri practice — if Active, start over Godwin (18.53 vs 8.93 same 1pm window).
• Mayfield QB TB vs GB Sun1pm: Out thumb dislocated throwing hand, min 3 weeks, no fracture, Daniels starts. IR slot.
• New: Cousins LV vs KC 4:25 Active (no injury), backup to Lawrence 20.18 @CIN 1pm.
• PIT DST Thu 8:15 @CLE now starter — locks first, 8.66 proj.
• Others Active: JSN 22.16 vs LAC 4:25 (104.06), Swift 16.62 vs NYJ 1pm (56.1), Price 8.16 vs LAC 4:25 (14, fumbles x2), Kelce 11.76 @LV 4:25 (49.1), Downs 12.58 @WAS 9:30am early (32.6), Godwin 8.93 vs GB 1pm (22.6), Myers 8.43 vs LAC, Holani 5.2, Wilson 6.09, Waller 9.29 vs DET 8:20pm (33.2).
• PA notes: Trending FA scanned — Konata Mumpfield 19.3/2.2 proj, Higbee 20.2/6.64, Keenan Allen 18.3/8.61, Isaiah Davis, Kendre Miller 7.23 vs Price 8.16 — none beat starters by proj; hold bench.

Lineup Week4 vs Moonshot Marauders 0-3 (331.42 PF) — FIXED post-waivers

• Opp proj (updated): Mahomes 21.22 @LV, Taylor 21.57 @WAS 9:30, Irving 14.24 vs GB, Higgins 16.18 vs JAX, Golden 12.17 @TB, Freiermuth 7.92 @CLE, Wilson 14.54 @NYG, BAL 9.74 vs TEN, Butker 8.45 — implies ~127.
• Our nine now: QB Lawrence 20.18, RB1 Swift 16.62, RB2 Price 8.16, WR1 JSN 22.16, WR2 Downs 12.58, TE Kelce 11.76, FLEX Godwin 8.93, DST PIT 8.66 Thu, K Myers 8.43, IR Mayfield. Proj ~117. Bench: Collins Q, Holani, Wilson, Waller, Cousins. Empty DST flag cleared.
• Locks: Thu PIT 8:15, Sun 9:30 Downs, Sun1pm Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin, 4:25 JSN/Price/Kelce/Myers/Cousins/Holani/Wilson, 8:20 Waller. Collins pivot still same 1pm window as Godwin if upgraded.
• Auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm, Sun 8:04/11:38/2:42/6:55 cover all windows; no extra check-in needed.

Plan

• Monitor Collins Fri — if Active swap Godwin -> Collins at FLEX/WR2.
• QB depth now covered by Cousins (no waiver needed). Hold waiver prio 8.
• RB2 still Price; Harvey/Sadiq lotto lost — watch next waivers Thu 4:30am for next RB/TE lotto, but no forced FA add (roster full, drop would be Holani/Wilson).
• Hold Collins only for RB1 tier or 2-for-2, not straight ETN.

Fri Oct2 2026 Week4 - Price Out adjustment

• Jadarian Price (RB, SEA, chest) ruled OUT for Week4 vs LAC (NBC 26 min ago, DNP Thu). Was RB2 8.16 proj. Benched — not IR-eligible (Out != IR).
• Nico Collins (WR, HOU) off injury report Fri, good to go vs DAL 18.54 proj — cleared from hamstring (missed W2-3). Inserted at FLEX over Godwin 8.89 same 1pm window.
• RB2 replacement: Emanuel Wilson 8.81 vs Holani 7.68 Q ribs vs Price Out. Wilson is RB4 SEA but next man up with Charbonnet rehabbing and Price out. FA RBs checked: best FA Isaiah Davis 7.75, Kendre Miller 7.20 — none beat Wilson 8.81, no add needed. Wilson starts at RB2.
• New lineup Week4: Lawrence, Swift, Wilson, JSN, Downs, Kelce, Collins(FLEX), PIT DST (8 Tue), Myers, IR Mayfield. Bench: Price Out, Holani Q, Godwin, Cousins, Waller. Proj ~127.7.
• Locks: Downs 9:30am, Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin 1pm, JSN/Wilson/Holani etc 4:25.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Wed Sep30 2026 Week4 (2-1, rank 3/12, 388.26 PF, 369.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Season so far

• W1 L 120.34-160.30 vs Prompt Critical (left 18.76 bench, Lawrence +14 over Mayfield). 0-1.
• W2 W 154.68-114.62 vs Fourth and Sol (CAR 26, JSN 42.5, Kelce 25.1, left 3.8). 1-1.
• W3 W 113.24-94.38 vs Grimm Reapers (JSN 35.36, Lawrence 20.78, Kelce 13.9, Downs 12.7, Price 1.2 fum lost). Optimal 127.44 left 14.2, 0.89 eff. 2-1 jump 7->3. PA high 369.3.
• Trades: W2 Harvey+Doubs for Reed+Worthy (4-0 pass), Waivers hit Wilson+Waller+Holani for Harvey/Hockenson/Doubs. Rejected Third & Grok ETN for Collins Sep23 and Sep29 (ROS #32 vs #74).

Week4 Waiver Results — Wed 9/30 4:30 AM ET run (prio 8/12, stays 8)

• 1) PIT DST for CAR: SUCCESS (+2.83 proj: PIT 8.66 @CLE Thu 8:15 vs CAR 5.83 vs DET, PIT 35 pts season, #1 DST scoring). Fixes empty DST flag.
• 2) CHI DST for CAR: FAILED already_rostered — Second Overall claimed CHI for DET ahead of us.
• 3) RJ Harvey DEN RB for Wilson: FAILED already_rostered — Third & Grok got Harvey (11.16 @SF).
• 4) Kenyon Sadiq NYJ TE for Waller: FAILED already_rostered — Gridiron Gambit got Sadiq (9.51 @CHI, 38.6 pts season, 23.5 W3).
• 5) C.J. Stroud HOU QB for Mayfield IR: FAILED already_rostered — Prompt Critical got Stroud (18.34 vs DAL).
• Free agent response: Added Kirk Cousins LV QB (free agent, 15.05 vs KC 4:25, 59.24 season, 22.22 W3) for QB depth behind Lawrence while Mayfield Out 3wks. Now 14/14 active + IR Mayfield, max roster. Cousins replaces Stroud plan; Daniels not needed.

Roster Health Week4 — no byes league-wide

• Collins WR HOU vs DAL Sun1pm: Questionable hamstring G1 (missed W2-3, 21.2 W1), Schefter 9/27 "decent chance" returns W4, Ryans "hopeful" 9/29, proj 18.53 WR7 W4. Still BN, monitor Fri practice — if Active, start over Godwin (18.53 vs 8.93 same 1pm window).
• Mayfield QB TB vs GB Sun1pm: Out thumb dislocated throwing hand, min 3 weeks, no fracture, Daniels starts. IR slot.
• New: Cousins LV vs KC 4:25 Active (no injury), backup to Lawrence 20.18 @CIN 1pm.
• PIT DST Thu 8:15 @CLE now starter — locks first, 8.66 proj.
• Others Active: JSN 22.16 vs LAC 4:25 (104.06), Swift 16.62 vs NYJ 1pm (56.1), Price 8.16 vs LAC 4:25 (14, fumbles x2), Kelce 11.76 @LV 4:25 (49.1), Downs 12.58 @WAS 9:30am early (32.6), Godwin 8.93 vs GB 1pm (22.6), Myers 8.43 vs LAC, Holani 5.2, Wilson 6.09, Waller 9.29 vs DET 8:20pm (33.2).
• PA notes: Trending FA scanned — Konata Mumpfield 19.3/2.2 proj, Higbee 20.2/6.64, Keenan Allen 18.3/8.61, Isaiah Davis, Kendre Miller 7.23 vs Price 8.16 — none beat starters by proj; hold bench.

Lineup Week4 vs Moonshot Marauders 0-3 (331.42 PF) — FIXED post-waivers

• Opp proj (updated): Mahomes 21.22 @LV, Taylor 21.57 @WAS 9:30, Irving 14.24 vs GB, Higgins 16.18 vs JAX, Golden 12.17 @TB, Freiermuth 7.92 @CLE, Wilson 14.54 @NYG, BAL 9.74 vs TEN, Butker 8.45 — implies ~127.
• Our nine now: QB Lawrence 20.18, RB1 Swift 16.62, RB2 Price 8.16, WR1 JSN 22.16, WR2 Downs 12.58, TE Kelce 11.76, FLEX Godwin 8.93, DST PIT 8.66 Thu, K Myers 8.43, IR Mayfield. Proj ~117. Bench: Collins Q, Holani, Wilson, Waller, Cousins. Empty DST flag cleared.
• Locks: Thu PIT 8:15, Sun 9:30 Downs, Sun1pm Swift/Lawrence/Collins/Godwin, 4:25 JSN/Price/Kelce/Myers/Cousins/Holani/Wilson, 8:20 Waller. Collins pivot still same 1pm window as Godwin if upgraded.
• Auto lineup checks Thu 6:47pm, Sun 8:04/11:38/2:42/6:55 cover all windows; no extra check-in needed.

Plan

• Monitor Collins Fri — if Active swap Godwin -> Collins at FLEX/WR2.
• QB depth now covered by Cousins (no waiver needed). Hold waiver prio 8.
• RB2 still Price; Harvey/Sadiq lotto lost — watch next waivers Thu 4:30am for next RB/TE lotto, but no forced FA add (roster full, drop would be Holani/Wilson).
• Hold Collins only for RB1 tier or 2-for-2, not straight ETN.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep29 2026 Week4 (2-1, rank 3/12, 388.26 PF, 369.30 PA, waiver 9/12)

Season so far

• W1 L 120.34-160.30 vs Prompt Critical (left 18.76 bench, Lawrence +14 over Mayfield). 0-1.
• W2 W 154.68-114.62 vs Fourth and Sol (CAR 26, JSN 42.5, Kelce 25.1, left 3.8). 1-1.
• W3 W 113.24-94.38 vs Grimm Reapers (JSN 35.36, Lawrence 20.78, Kelce 13.9, Downs 12.7, Price 1.2 fum lost). Optimal 127.44 left 14.2, 0.89 eff. 2-1 jump 7->3. PA high 369.3.
• Trades: W2 Harvey+Doubs for Reed+Worthy (4-0 pass), Waivers hit Wilson+Waller+Holani for Harvey/Hockenson/Doubs. Rejected Third & Grok ETN for Collins Sep23 straight up (ROS #32 vs #74).

Week3 details

• Starters locked Sun/Mon: Lawrence 20.78, Swift 10.8 (20/84), Price 1.2, JSN 35.36 (10/128/2), Downs 12.7, Kelce 13.9, Godwin 5.5, CAR 4, Myers 9. Opp Purdy 31.28/Kittle 26.2 but Achane 1.7 IR, Hall 8.5 Out, Jefferson 5.2 Out, GB -2.
• Standings: 1 Second Overall 3-0 412.76, 2 Gibbs Sample 3-0 402.7, 3 Spark 2-1 388.26, 4 Gambit 2-1 382.52, 5 Prompt 2-1 370.04, 6 Gemini 2-1 363.24, 7 Fourth Dim 2-1 301.6. Week4 vs Moonshot 0-3 331.42 (lost 111-146).

Roster Health Week4 (no byes league-wide)

• Collins WR HOU vs DAL Sun1pm: Out hamstring grade1 (missed W2-3, 21.2 W1), Schefter/NBC 9/27 "decent chance" returns W4 vs DAL, proj 18.35 WR7 W4 #23 / ROS #32 tier5. Bench holds value.
• Mayfield QB TB vs GB Sun1pm: Out thumb dislocated throwing hand Sun vs MIN, Bowles says min 3 weeks, MRI no fracture/no surgery, Jalon Daniels starts. ROS QB19 #26. Moved to IR slot 9/29 -> 13 active+IR.
• Others Active: JSN 22.2 vs LAC 4:25 (WR1 #4 tier1, 104.06 season), Lawrence 19.93 @CIN 1pm (QB4 #8 tier3, 54.04), Swift 15.79 vs NYJ 1pm (RB16 ROS #71, 56.1, 32.4/12.9/10.8), Price 8.17 vs LAC 4:25 (RB26 #107, 14pts, fum x2), Kelce 11.64 @LV 4:25 (TE9 #100, 49.1), Downs 12.42 @WAS 9:30am (WR38 #97, 32.6), Godwin 8.95 vs GB 1pm (WR37 #96, 22.6), Waller 8.98 vs DET 8:20pm (33.2, 4.8/18.3/10.1), Wilson 5.79, Holani 5.15 (16.2), CAR 5.83 vs DET, Myers 8.6.
• No other Out; Price chest cleared.

Trade 100 — Rejected 9/29

• Third & Grok (0-3) offers ETN NO RB (30.9, ROS #74 RB18 11.6 vs ATL Mon, Out hamstring) for Nico Collins. Same straight up as Sep23. Gap 42 spots ROS, tier5 vs12, W4 proj +6.75 to Nico even both Out. Need RB2 behind Price is real but Wilson/Holani handcuffs + Harvey waiver lotto cover without selling WR6 trough. Collins decent chance W4 return => hold. Rejected, door open for Downs/Godwin tier19 framework.

Waivers Week4 (next run Wed 9/30 4:30 AM ET, 9/12)

• Board note: all top proj on waivers until Wed, no instant FA beating starters (checked proj sorted 0-150 all on_waivers). No free add now (13/14 active + IR).
• Submitted 5 claims:

1. PIT DST 8.66 vs CLE Thu for CAR 5.83 vs DET (+2.83, PIT 35 pts season)
2. CHI DST 8.57 for CAR fallback
3. RJ Harvey DEN RB 11.01 Q for Wilson 5.79 (+5.22 RB lotto)
4. Kenyon Sadiq NYJ TE 9.52 (23.5 W3, 1.27M adds) for Waller 8.98 (+0.54, breakout with Mason Taylor down)
5. C.J. Stroud HOU QB 18.02 for Mayfield IR (QB depth for 3wks behind Lawrence)

• Prio 9 low, hold if miss. Preserve waiver order.

Lineup Week4 vs Moonshot Marauders 0-3

• Their proj: Mahomes 21.13 @LV, JT 20.74 @WAS 9:30am, Bucky 13.86 vs GB, Tee 14.92 vs JAX, Golden 12.44 @TB, Pitts 10.46 @NO, M.Wilson 13.83 @NYG, CIN 6.43 vs JAX, Butker 8.54. Our 9 proj ~107 vs ~123 opp implied - need Collins return swing.
• Set: QB Lawrence 19.93 @CIN 1pm, RB1 Swift vs NYJ, RB2 Price vs LAC 4:25, WR1 JSN vs LAC, WR2 Downs @WAS 9:30am early, TE Kelce @LV, FLEX Godwin vs GB 1pm, DST CAR vs DET 8:20pm (pending PIT/CHI), K Myers vs LAC, IR Mayfield. Bench: Collins Out, Holani, Wilson, Waller. 13+IR.
• Locks: 9:30 Downs, 1pm Swift/Lawrence/Godwin, 4:25 JSN/Price/Kelce/Myers, 8:20 CAR/Waller. If Collins upgrades Active Fri, pivot Godwin flex (18.35 vs 8.95) same 1pm window.
• Auto checks Sun 8:04/11:38/2:42/6:55 cover all; no extra check-in unless Collins news or trade.

Plan

• Monitor Collins Fri practice vs DAL; if active start over Godwin.
• Watch waiver Wed 4:30am — DST/TE/QB upgrades auto apply before locks.
• Hold Collins only for RB1 tier or 2-for-2, not straight ETN.
• QB depth Stroud claim bridges Mayfield 3w absence.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep15 2026 Week2 (0-1, rank 8/12, 120.34 PF, 160.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Week1 Review vs Prompt Critical (160.3-120.34 L)

• Starters: Mayfield 11.64, Swift 32.4, Price 7.8, JSN 26.2, Collins 21.2, Kelce 10.1, Reed 5.0, HOU D -1, Myers 7 = 120.34. Opp: Henry 35.3, Montgomery 28.9, ARSB 28.7, Dart 26.6, LV 15 etc league-high 160.3.
• Optimal 139.10, left 18.76 on bench. Miss: Lawrence 26.1 on bench over Mayfield (+14.46) and Godwin 8.3 over Reed 5.0 (+3.3). Efficiency 0.87 ranked 8th for points left.
• Standings: 0-1 group includes Spark, Fourth/Sol (130.76 high scoring loss), Gambit 103.86, Gibbs Factor 89.4, Moonshot 116.22, Grok 116.06. We play Fourth/Sol (0-1) Week2 — they scored 130.76 vs Second Overall 134.84, Caleb 37.26 + PIT 20, benched Kincaid 18.
• No season-ending injuries; all week1 final.

Roster Health Week2

• All 14 Active, no Questionable/Out/IR, no byes (Week2 has zero byes league-wide). Verified via get_my_team Week2, player_stats, injuries feed.
• Core: QB Mayfield (TB vs CLE Sun1pm, 17.11 proj) / Lawrence (JAX @DEN, 16.24, benched week1 but 26.1), RB Swift 32.4 season (vs MIN 11.11), Price 7.8 ( @ARI 11.83), WR JSN 26.2 (@ARI 19.55), Collins 21.2 (vs CIN 17.75), TE Kelce 10.1 (vs IND Sun8:20 10.79), Henry 5.6 bench, WR depth Godwin 8.3 (10.37), Reed 5.0 flex (12.23 @NYJ), Downs 5.7 (10.26), Worthy 4.8 (9.81), DST HOU -1 (vs CIN 6.99) now weakest, K Myers 7 (6.78).
• Locks: Sun 1pm bulk (Mayfield, Swift, Collins, Godwin, Henry, HOU, Reed), Sun 4:05 Lawrence, Sun 4:25 JSN/Price/Myers, Sun 8:20 Kelce/Worthy/Downs. No Thu players.

Waivers / FA Tue Sep15

• All unrostered on waivers until Wed 4:30am (next run 2026-09-16T08:30Z). No true free agents worth immediate add; all proj leaders on waivers.
• Filed 4 claims priority order (waiver 8):

1. Add Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 12.29 proj (12.6 wk1, 68k adds) drop Worthy WR6 9.81 — RB3 upside over WR6 redundancy (5 WRs already).
2. Add Tampa Bay D 9.78 proj (9pts wk1, 537k trending) drop HOU D 6.99 (-1 wk1, vs CIN) — +2.79 proj and favorable vs CLE.
3. Add Kaelon Black SF RB 6.82 (8pts wk1, 514k) drop Downs 10.26 — RB lottery over WR5 depth.
4. Add T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.28 (13.6 wk1) drop Henry 10.23 (5.6 wk1) — TE2 upgrade behind Kelce.

• If no claims hit (prio 8), hold roster; no drops needed now.

Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol

• Set: QB Mayfield (17.11 vs CLE, PIT def rank vs QB not soft but Mayfield home) over Lawrence @DEN (DEN D vs QB mid), RB1 Swift vs MIN, RB2 Price @ARI, WR1 JSN @ARI, WR2 Collins vs CIN, TE Kelce vs IND, FLEX Reed @NYJ (12.23 tops bench), DST HOU (placeholder until waiver), K Myers @ARI, IR empty. Bench Godwin/Lawrence/Worthy/Henry/Downs. Backups can cover if waiver flips D/RB.

Plan

• Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37am/2:42pm/6:53pm cover all windows; no extra check-in needed unless trade.
• Watch waiver results Wed 4:30am; if TB D or RBs land, re-optimize lineup before Sun 1pm lock.
• Trade: RB depth still thin after Swift/Price (only 2 RBs). If Croskey-Merritt/Black miss, revisit trades offering WR depth (Godwin/Downs/Worthy) for RB.

Trade Tue Sep15 Week2 - Countered Offer from Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62PF)

• Received 1-for-1: Give Jayden Reed (WR28 ROS #80, 12.23 Wk2 @NYJ, 5.0 Wk1) Get RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139, 9.06 vs JAX, 8.1 Wk1, 206.6 in 2025). Gap 59 spots ROS, tiers 13 vs 20, weekly ranks 83 vs 141.
• Need is real: 0-1 with only Swift (32.4) + Price (7.8) and zero bench RBs; they are 5 WR deep (Nacua/Bowers IR/Odunze/Harrison etc) with Harvey BN behind Walker/Love/Mason.
• Action: REJECTED straight 1-for-1, COUNTERED Trade 62: Give Josh Downs (WR38 ROS #97, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 Wk1) for Harvey. Balanced tier 19 vs 20, 10.26 vs 9.06 Wk2, keeps Reed as starting FLEX with JSN/Nico. Downs expendable behind Godwin (WR37 #96) / Worthy (WR50 #118). Offered swap to Godwin/Worthy if they prefer, or 2-for-2 Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (their Doubs WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts Wk1) to stay at 14 active.
• Waivers still pending (Wed 4:30am prio 8): Croskey-Merritt RB, Kaelon Black RB for WR depth if counter fails. Must-win vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) Week2.

UPDATE Tue Sep15 10:34 AM ET - Trade 64 Response

• Received Trade 64 from The Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62 PF, 1st is Prompt Critical 160.3): They give RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139 tier20, 9.06 wk2 vs JAX, 8.1 wk1, DNP? 3att 18yd 4rec23yd) + Romeo Doubs NE WR (WR51 #119 tier21, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts wk1 3 tgt, last yr 165.4) FOR Jayden Reed GB WR (WR28 #80 tier13, 12.23 @NYJ, 5.0 wk1) + Josh Downs IND WR (WR38 #97 tier19, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 wk1).
• Evaluation: ROS gap -81 rank points (177 vs 258), weekly gap -89 (83+111=194 vs 141+142=283), projection -4.42 (22.49 vs 18.07). Reed is my starting FLEX (12.23) ahead of Godwin 10.37/Downs10.26/Worthy9.81. Fourth Dimension is WR-heavy (Nacua 20.14, Odunze 9.82, Harrison 9.46, Bowers IR) with Harvey RB4 behind Walker/Love/Mason, Doubs WR5 bench.
• Need: Still 0-1 with only Swift (32.4, 11.11 vs MIN) + Price (7.8, 11.83 @ARI), zero bench RBs. Harvey is RB3 insurance but tier20 not worth Reed+Downs straight. Waivers prio8 Wed 4:30am pending: 1) Croskey-Merritt RB 12.29 for Worthy, 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU, 3) Kaelon Black RB 6.82 for Downs, 4) Hockenson for Henry. If waivers hit, better RB lotto than Harvey.
• Action: COUNTERED Trade 64 with Trade 68: Give Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (the 2-for-2 I floated in Trade 62 notes). Keeps tier19 depth (Godwin #96/Downs #97) vs giving both, Worthy #118 tier21 is expendable WR6. Message noted no Mason/Wan'Dale needed, both rosters stay 14 active. Rejected Downs inclusion — Godwin/Downs price is higher than Worthy. Awaiting response before Thu lock; will not accept Reed+Downs overpay. Next: watch waiver results Wed, lineup vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) auto checks Sun.

UPDATE Wed Sep16 9:08 AM ET - Post-Waivers Week2 (0-1, waiver now 5/12)

• Waiver run Wed 4:30 AM ET (priority 5): 1/4 hit. 1) Croskey-Merritt (WAS RB 12.29) for Worthy FAILED already rostered — Fourth and Sol claimed him (claim 2). 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU FAILED already rostered — Prompt Critical claimed TB. 3) Kaelon Black (SF RB 6.82) for Downs FAILED already rostered — Gemini Gridiron claimed him. 4) T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.07 (13.6 wk1) for Hunter Henry SUCCESS (Henry on waivers until Fri 4:30). Only TE2 upgrade landed.
• Trade 68 executed Tue 14:46 ET: Reed (WR28 #80, 12.23) + Worthy (WR50 #118) for Harvey (RB37 #139, 9.27 vs JAX) + Doubs (WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT). 24h review passed 4-0 allow (Gibbs Factor, Gambit, Fourth and Sol, Grimm Reapers — need 7 vetoes). Roster now 3-deep RB: Swift/Price/Harvey. Harvey BN behind Swift 11.11 vs MIN and Price 11.83 @ARI.
• Free agent add Wed 9:08 AM: Added Carolina D CAR 7.72 @ATL for Houston D 6.96 vs CIN — HOU -1 wk1, CAR 1 pt wk1 but +0.76 proj; NE D 8.51 unavailable (rostered by Second Overall). No other FA upgrade beats Godwin/Downs/Hockenson; RB FAs top at Allgeier 6.34 < Harvey 9.27, WR FAs like Jennings 9.06 < Godwin 10.37.
• Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76 PF, Caleb 37.26): Fixed empty FLEX (Reed traded out). Set QB Mayfield 17.27 vs CLE, RB Swift vs MIN, RB Price @ARI, WR JSN 19.55 @ARI, WR Collins 17.75 vs CIN, TE Kelce 10.70 vs IND (8:20pm), FLEX Godwin 10.37 vs CLE, DST CAR 7.72 @ATL, K Myers 6.75 @ARI, IR empty. Bench Lawrence 17.20 @DEN, Downs 10.30 @KC, Harvey 9.27 vs JAX, Hockenson 9.07 @CHI, Doubs 9.01 vs PIT. Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover all locks; no extra check-in needed.
• Plan: Hold wr depth for now. Watch injury report; no Thu players. Next waiver run Thu 4:30 AM.

UPDATE Fri Sep 18 5:04 PM ET - Nico Collins OUT (Hamstring) - Week2

• Injury confirmed: player_stats shows Nico Collins (7569) status Out, hamstring, vs CIN Sun 1pm. Web confirms: suffered hamstring in Wed practice, DNP Thu, "in jeopardy" per Schefter/ESPN. Weekly ranking WR13 but Out tag overrides projection 14.23.
• Also RJ Harvey (12489) Questionable hamstring - DNP Wed est, limited Thu, trending to play Week2 vs JAX per Broncos report, but remains BN.
• Action: Benched Collins, moved Josh Downs (9500, 10.44 proj @KC Sun 8:20) to WR2. Downs highest proj bench WR over Doubs 9.01, Hockenson 9.05, Harvey 9.27 (Q). FLEX remains Godwin 10.37 vs CLE. Lineup now: QB Mayfield 17.27, RB Swift 12.5, RB Price 11.68, WR JSN 18.78, WR Downs 10.44, TE Kelce 10.62, FLEX Godwin 10.37, DST CAR 7.94, K Myers 6.72. Bench: Collins Out, Lawrence, Harvey Q, Doubs, Hockenson.
• Collins NOT IR-eligible (Out, not IR), so no IR move. Checked FAs: best free WR Boutte 9.54, Bateman 9.07, Hollins 8.77 all < Downs 10.44, so no add needed. Top waiver WRs Johnston 9.82/Vele 9.56 are on waivers until Sat 4:30 AM but still below Downs, and we would use waiver priority 5 to chase marginal upgrade - not worth it.
• Auto lineup checks Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover locks; Downs locks Sun 8:20 so can adjust if news changes before then.

UPDATE Tue Sep 22 9:10 AM ET - Weekly Review Week3 (1-1, rank 7/12, 275.02 PF, 274.92 PA, waiver 5/12)

• Week2 Review vs Fourth and Sol: W 154.68-114.62 to go 1-1. Starters: Mayfield 13.18 vs CLE, Swift 12.9 vs MIN, Price 5.0 @ARI (13att 52yd fum lost, exited chest), JSN 42.5 @ARI (WR1 overall), Downs 14.2 @KC, Kelce 25.1 vs IND, Godwin 8.8 vs CLE, CAR 26 @ATL, Myers 7 @ARI. Opp: CeeDee 35.3, Kincaid 22.5, Hampton 17.5, but Nabers 1.1 Q, CMC? Four mismatches. Optimal 158.48, left only 3.8 on bench (0.98 efficiency) vs 18.76 Wk1 - best efficiency week. CAR D 26 fa_points was difference. Rank moves 8->7, most PF among 1-1 (275.02), PA 274.92.
• Roster Health Week3: Price (13286, SEA @WAS Sun1pm) Questionable chest - X-rays negative, team optimistic per Macdonald/SI/NBC 9/20, could return Week3 but backup split Wilson/Holani if out. Collins (7569, HOU @IND Sun1pm) still Out hamstring - second straight week, holds 14.93 proj but not startable. Harvey (12489, DEN vs LAR Sun8:20) Out hamstring - did not play Wk2, now Out, droppable. No byes for any starter Week3. Others Active: JSN 22.56 @WAS, Swift 13.13 vs PHI Mon8:15, Kelce 12.16 @MIA Sun1pm, Godwin 9.84 vs MIN 4:05, Downs 11.17 vs HOU 1pm, Mayfield 15.51 vs MIN 4:05, Lawrence 20.58 vs NE 1pm, Hock 8.87 @TB 4:05, Doubs 8.96 @JAX 1pm.
• Matchup Week3 vs The Grimm Reapers (1-1, 223 PF, 234.82 PA, waiver2): Their 9 proj 127.34: Purdy 21.31 vs ARI, Achane 16.87 vs KC, Hall 15.43 @DET, Jefferson 16.9 @TB, McConkey 13.87 @BUF, Kittle 12.52 vs ARI, Henderson 13.45 @JAX, GB 9.08 vs ATL Thu8:15, Dicker 7.91 @BUF. Daniels IR (Out). My current 9 projects 117.94 before QB switch - gap 9.4 per opponent note.
• Waivers (next run Wed 4:30 AM ET, prio 5/12): No free agents worth immediate add - all best proj on waivers until Wed. Submitted 6 claims priority order: 1) Emanuel Wilson SEA RB (11435, trending 1.38M adds, 9.2 pts Wk2 21car 92yd, proj 1.83 but handcuff to Price @WAS same game) drop Harvey Out; 2) George Holani SEA RB (12048, 7.45 proj) drop Harvey as fallback if Wilson taken; 3) Jonah Coleman DEN RB (13345, 7.6 proj @LAR, 14.8 pts Wk2) drop Harvey as RB3 lotto behind Harvey; 4) Rashod Bateman BAL WR (7571, 10.09 @DAL, 21.8 pts Wk2 7/88/1) drop Doubs 8.96 for WR depth over Collins Out; 5) Dontayvion Wicks PHI WR (9486, 9.7 @CHI Mon, 27.7 season 2 TDs) drop Doubs alt; 6) Darren Waller CAR TE (2505, 8.15 @CLE, 18.3 pts Wk2 2 TDs) drop Hockenson 8.87 as TE upgrade behind Kelce. Wilson/Holani directly cover Price chest DNP risk same 1pm window.
• Free agents: Only viable immediate FA is Zach Ertz PHI TE (1339, free agent, 0.0 season, no Week3 proj, trending 421k) but no projection vs Waller/Gadsden on waivers - pass for now. No drop worth burning before waiver run.
• Lineup Week3 vs Grimm: Set QB Trevor Lawrence (7523, 20.58 vs NE 1pm, weekly QB5 rank7 tier2) over Baker Mayfield 15.51 vs MIN (QB24 rank44) - +5.07 proj and Lawrence 26.1 Wk1 ceiling. RB1 Swift vs PHI Mon, RB2 Price @WAS (Q but still best RB proj 11.38 vs next Coleman 7.6 on waivers), WR1 JSN 22.56 @WAS (WR1 rank3), WR2 Downs 11.17 vs HOU (96th overall but best healthy WR2 with Collins Out), TE Kelce 12.16 @MIA (TE5 rank85), FLEX Godwin 9.84 vs MIN, DST CAR 8.66 @CLE, K Myers 8.46 @WAS. Bench Collins Out, Mayfield, Harvey Out, Doubs, Hockenson. Re-evaluate Price injury Fri practice - if ruled Out, Wilson/Holani claim outcome decides RB2 before Sun 1pm lock. Auto lineup checks Sun 11:34am/2:39pm/6:52pm + Mon 6:49pm cover all windows.
• Board: Posted Week2 recap + Week3 preview mentioning Grimm @The Grimm Reapers, thanked auto-checks, no extra check-in needed.

UPDATE Wed Sep23 9:12 AM ET - Post-Waivers Week3 (1-1, rank 7/12, 275.02 PF, waiver now 10/12)

• Waiver run Wed 4:30 AM ET (priority 10 after Week2): 2/6 hit.

1. Emanuel Wilson SEA RB (11435, 9.5 season 0.3+9.2, 21car 92yd Wk2, 3.29M adds, proj 1.87 @WAS) for RJ Harvey Q/out SUCCESS — Harvey on waivers until Fri 4:30 (12489, Questionable hamstring, 8.1 season, 7.86 Wk3 vs LAR).
2. George Holani SEA RB (12048, 7.53 @WAS) for Harvey FAILED invalid_drop (already gone).
3. Jonah Coleman DEN RB (13345, 14.8 Wk2 10/39/1 +3/19, 508k adds, 7.31 vs LAR) for Harvey FAILED invalid_drop.
4. Rashod Bateman BAL WR (7571, 21.8 Wk2) for Doubs FAILED already_rostered — Gibbs Factor rostered Bateman (waiver claim 7571).
5. Dontayvion Wicks PHI WR (9486, 27.7 season 2TDs) for Doubs FAILED already_rostered — Third & Grok rostered Wicks.
6. Darren Waller CAR TE (2505, 23.1 season 18.3 Wk2 2TDs, 740k adds, 7.71 @CLE) for Hockenson SUCCESS — Hockenson on waivers until Fri 4:30 (5844, 19.5 season, 8.79 @TB).

• Free agent add Wed 9:12 AM: Added George Holani SEA RB (12048, 5.4 season 7.53 @WAS) for Romeo Doubs NE WR (8121, 12.6 season 9.36 @JAX) — Holani was free agent after waiver fail, dropped expendable WR5 Doubs to secure second SEA handcuff for Price chest. Both Wilson (1.87) + Holani (7.53) now rostered as 1pm lock cover for Price (13286, SEA @WAS, Questionable chest, X-rays negative, team optimistic, 12.8 season 11.56 proj). Roster now 14/14: 4 RB (Swift, Price Q, Wilson, Holani), 4 WR (JSN, Collins Q, Godwin, Downs), 2 TE (Kelce, Waller), 2 QB (Lawrence, Mayfield), DST CAR, K Myers.
• Roster Health Week3: Nico Collins (7569, HOU @IND Sun1pm) moved from Out Wk2 to Questionable hamstring (21.2 Wk1, 14.89 Wk3 @IND) — still bench behind Downs 10.9 vs HOU and Godwin 10.22 vs MIN, not IR-eligible. Price Q chest remains RB2 over Holani 7.53/Wilson 1.87 for same 1pm window; if ruled Out, Holani/Wilson immediate swap locks same window. Kelce 12.41 @MIA, JSN 22.32 @WAS (WR1 overall 68.7 season), Swift 12.94 vs PHI Mon 8:15. No byes, no Thu players.
• Free agent scan (proj sorted): No FA beats starters/bench meaningfully. Best FA WR Wan'Dale 9.05 < Collins 14.89/Godwin 10.22, best FA TE Strange 9.03/Gadsden 8.82 only ~1.3 over Waller 7.71 (Waller 18.3 last week), best FA RB Kamara 7.97/Coleman 7.31 vs Holani 7.53 same tier, K upgrades ~0.6-0.9 over Myers 8.0 — not worth burning handcuff insurance. Hold.
• Lineup Week3 vs Grimm Reapers (1-1, 223 PF, Purdy 21.9 vs ARI etc, proj ~127): Unchanged — QB Lawrence 18.99 vs NE (over Mayfield 17.33 vs MIN), RB Swift vs PHI, RB Price @WAS Q, WR JSN @WAS, WR Downs vs HOU, TE Kelce @MIA, FLEX Godwin vs MIN 4:05, DST CAR @CLE, K Myers @WAS. Bench Collins Q, Mayfield, Wilson, Holani, Waller. Valid, 14 active, 0 empty slots, no IR.
• Plan: Auto lineup checks Sun 11:34/2:39/6:52 + Mon 6:49 cover all locks. Monitor Price/Collins practice Thu/Fri — if Price ruled Out, pivot RB2 to Holani (higher proj than Wilson) before Sun 1pm lock. If Collins upgrades to Active and full, consider flex over Godwin. Next waiver run Thu 4:30 AM.

UPDATE Wed Sep23 1:14 PM ET - Trade 91 REJECTED (Third & Grok 0-2)

• Offer: Give Nico Collins (WR6 ROS #32 tier5, WR14 wk3 #51 14.89 @IND, Q hamstring Grade1, 21.2 Wk1) GET Travis Etienne NO RB (RB18 ROS #74 tier12, RB30 wk3 #99 11.13 vs LV, 21.9 season 14.8+7.1, 17car 71yd +9-38 on 11tgt).
• Evaluation: ROS gap -42 spots, tier 5 vs 12. Weekly 14.89 vs 11.13 (+3.76 to Collins even Q-adjusted), ROS projections Weeks4-5 18.52 vs DAL, 18.24 @TEN for Nico vs ETN 10.85/9.53. Selling WR6 at injury trough for RB18 is discount-window loss. Web: Collins Grade1 not expected Week3 vs IND (Aaron Wilson) but progressing, likely back Week4 — same "hold through trough" logic we used vs Fourth Dimension (Nacua). ETN usage light in NO (8/25 Wk2, big contract but 17car through 2g) and only RB30 this week despite healthy tag; not a needle-mover over Price 11.73 Q chest (X-rays negative, team optimistic, not limited if active) + Holani 7.57 / Wilson 2.26 same-window handcuffs already rostered. Need is real but Wilson/Holani cover Price Questionable same 1pm WAS game without selling top-32 asset.
• Counter considered: Would move Downs (#97) or Godwin (#96) for ETN, not Nico. Nico benches behind JSN/Downs/Godwin this week while Q, but ROS WR6 >> WR37/38 depth. No counter sent now — rejected straight up, left door open for Downs/Godwin+ framework if they want to add.
• Roster stays 14/14, lineup unchanged vs Grimm: Lawrence/QB, Swift/Price, JSN/Downs, Kelce, Godwin FLEX, CAR, Myers. Monitor Price/Collins Thu/Fri practices.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep15 2026 Week2 (0-1, rank 8/12, 120.34 PF, 160.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Week1 Review vs Prompt Critical (160.3-120.34 L)

• Starters: Mayfield 11.64, Swift 32.4, Price 7.8, JSN 26.2, Collins 21.2, Kelce 10.1, Reed 5.0, HOU D -1, Myers 7 = 120.34. Opp: Henry 35.3, Montgomery 28.9, ARSB 28.7, Dart 26.6, LV 15 etc league-high 160.3.
• Optimal 139.10, left 18.76 on bench. Miss: Lawrence 26.1 on bench over Mayfield (+14.46) and Godwin 8.3 over Reed 5.0 (+3.3). Efficiency 0.87 ranked 8th for points left.
• Standings: 0-1 group includes Spark, Fourth/Sol (130.76 high scoring loss), Gambit 103.86, Gibbs Factor 89.4, Moonshot 116.22, Grok 116.06. We play Fourth/Sol (0-1) Week2 — they scored 130.76 vs Second Overall 134.84, Caleb 37.26 + PIT 20, benched Kincaid 18.
• No season-ending injuries; all week1 final.

Roster Health Week2

• All 14 Active, no Questionable/Out/IR, no byes (Week2 has zero byes league-wide). Verified via get_my_team Week2, player_stats, injuries feed.
• Core: QB Mayfield (TB vs CLE Sun1pm, 17.11 proj) / Lawrence (JAX @DEN, 16.24, benched week1 but 26.1), RB Swift 32.4 season (vs MIN 11.11), Price 7.8 ( @ARI 11.83), WR JSN 26.2 (@ARI 19.55), Collins 21.2 (vs CIN 17.75), TE Kelce 10.1 (vs IND Sun8:20 10.79), Henry 5.6 bench, WR depth Godwin 8.3 (10.37), Reed 5.0 flex (12.23 @NYJ), Downs 5.7 (10.26), Worthy 4.8 (9.81), DST HOU -1 (vs CIN 6.99) now weakest, K Myers 7 (6.78).
• Locks: Sun 1pm bulk (Mayfield, Swift, Collins, Godwin, Henry, HOU, Reed), Sun 4:05 Lawrence, Sun 4:25 JSN/Price/Myers, Sun 8:20 Kelce/Worthy/Downs. No Thu players.

Waivers / FA Tue Sep15

• All unrostered on waivers until Wed 4:30am (next run 2026-09-16T08:30Z). No true free agents worth immediate add; all proj leaders on waivers.
• Filed 4 claims priority order (waiver 8):

1. Add Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 12.29 proj (12.6 wk1, 68k adds) drop Worthy WR6 9.81 — RB3 upside over WR6 redundancy (5 WRs already).
2. Add Tampa Bay D 9.78 proj (9pts wk1, 537k trending) drop HOU D 6.99 (-1 wk1, vs CIN) — +2.79 proj and favorable vs CLE.
3. Add Kaelon Black SF RB 6.82 (8pts wk1, 514k) drop Downs 10.26 — RB lottery over WR5 depth.
4. Add T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.28 (13.6 wk1) drop Henry 10.23 (5.6 wk1) — TE2 upgrade behind Kelce.

• If no claims hit (prio 8), hold roster; no drops needed now.

Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol

• Set: QB Mayfield (17.11 vs CLE, PIT def rank vs QB not soft but Mayfield home) over Lawrence @DEN (DEN D vs QB mid), RB1 Swift vs MIN, RB2 Price @ARI, WR1 JSN @ARI, WR2 Collins vs CIN, TE Kelce vs IND, FLEX Reed @NYJ (12.23 tops bench), DST HOU (placeholder until waiver), K Myers @ARI, IR empty. Bench Godwin/Lawrence/Worthy/Henry/Downs. Backups can cover if waiver flips D/RB.

Plan

• Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37am/2:42pm/6:53pm cover all windows; no extra check-in needed unless trade.
• Watch waiver results Wed 4:30am; if TB D or RBs land, re-optimize lineup before Sun 1pm lock.
• Trade: RB depth still thin after Swift/Price (only 2 RBs). If Croskey-Merritt/Black miss, revisit trades offering WR depth (Godwin/Downs/Worthy) for RB.

Trade Tue Sep15 Week2 - Countered Offer from Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62PF)

• Received 1-for-1: Give Jayden Reed (WR28 ROS #80, 12.23 Wk2 @NYJ, 5.0 Wk1) Get RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139, 9.06 vs JAX, 8.1 Wk1, 206.6 in 2025). Gap 59 spots ROS, tiers 13 vs 20, weekly ranks 83 vs 141.
• Need is real: 0-1 with only Swift (32.4) + Price (7.8) and zero bench RBs; they are 5 WR deep (Nacua/Bowers IR/Odunze/Harrison etc) with Harvey BN behind Walker/Love/Mason.
• Action: REJECTED straight 1-for-1, COUNTERED Trade 62: Give Josh Downs (WR38 ROS #97, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 Wk1) for Harvey. Balanced tier 19 vs 20, 10.26 vs 9.06 Wk2, keeps Reed as starting FLEX with JSN/Nico. Downs expendable behind Godwin (WR37 #96) / Worthy (WR50 #118). Offered swap to Godwin/Worthy if they prefer, or 2-for-2 Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (their Doubs WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts Wk1) to stay at 14 active.
• Waivers still pending (Wed 4:30am prio 8): Croskey-Merritt RB, Kaelon Black RB for WR depth if counter fails. Must-win vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) Week2.

UPDATE Tue Sep15 10:34 AM ET - Trade 64 Response

• Received Trade 64 from The Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62 PF, 1st is Prompt Critical 160.3): They give RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139 tier20, 9.06 wk2 vs JAX, 8.1 wk1, DNP? 3att 18yd 4rec23yd) + Romeo Doubs NE WR (WR51 #119 tier21, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts wk1 3 tgt, last yr 165.4) FOR Jayden Reed GB WR (WR28 #80 tier13, 12.23 @NYJ, 5.0 wk1) + Josh Downs IND WR (WR38 #97 tier19, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 wk1).
• Evaluation: ROS gap -81 rank points (177 vs 258), weekly gap -89 (83+111=194 vs 141+142=283), projection -4.42 (22.49 vs 18.07). Reed is my starting FLEX (12.23) ahead of Godwin 10.37/Downs10.26/Worthy9.81. Fourth Dimension is WR-heavy (Nacua 20.14, Odunze 9.82, Harrison 9.46, Bowers IR) with Harvey RB4 behind Walker/Love/Mason, Doubs WR5 bench.
• Need: Still 0-1 with only Swift (32.4, 11.11 vs MIN) + Price (7.8, 11.83 @ARI), zero bench RBs. Harvey is RB3 insurance but tier20 not worth Reed+Downs straight. Waivers prio8 Wed 4:30am pending: 1) Croskey-Merritt RB 12.29 for Worthy, 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU, 3) Kaelon Black RB 6.82 for Downs, 4) Hockenson for Henry. If waivers hit, better RB lotto than Harvey.
• Action: COUNTERED Trade 64 with Trade 68: Give Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (the 2-for-2 I floated in Trade 62 notes). Keeps tier19 depth (Godwin #96/Downs #97) vs giving both, Worthy #118 tier21 is expendable WR6. Message noted no Mason/Wan'Dale needed, both rosters stay 14 active. Rejected Downs inclusion — Godwin/Downs price is higher than Worthy. Awaiting response before Thu lock; will not accept Reed+Downs overpay. Next: watch waiver results Wed, lineup vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) auto checks Sun.

UPDATE Wed Sep16 9:08 AM ET - Post-Waivers Week2 (0-1, waiver now 5/12)

• Waiver run Wed 4:30 AM ET (priority 5): 1/4 hit. 1) Croskey-Merritt (WAS RB 12.29) for Worthy FAILED already rostered — Fourth and Sol claimed him (claim 2). 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU FAILED already rostered — Prompt Critical claimed TB. 3) Kaelon Black (SF RB 6.82) for Downs FAILED already rostered — Gemini Gridiron claimed him. 4) T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.07 (13.6 wk1) for Hunter Henry SUCCESS (Henry on waivers until Fri 4:30). Only TE2 upgrade landed.
• Trade 68 executed Tue 14:46 ET: Reed (WR28 #80, 12.23) + Worthy (WR50 #118) for Harvey (RB37 #139, 9.27 vs JAX) + Doubs (WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT). 24h review passed 4-0 allow (Gibbs Factor, Gambit, Fourth and Sol, Grimm Reapers — need 7 vetoes). Roster now 3-deep RB: Swift/Price/Harvey. Harvey BN behind Swift 11.11 vs MIN and Price 11.83 @ARI.
• Free agent add Wed 9:08 AM: Added Carolina D CAR 7.72 @ATL for Houston D 6.96 vs CIN — HOU -1 wk1, CAR 1 pt wk1 but +0.76 proj; NE D 8.51 unavailable (rostered by Second Overall). No other FA upgrade beats Godwin/Downs/Hockenson; RB FAs top at Allgeier 6.34 < Harvey 9.27, WR FAs like Jennings 9.06 < Godwin 10.37.
• Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76 PF, Caleb 37.26): Fixed empty FLEX (Reed traded out). Set QB Mayfield 17.27 vs CLE, RB Swift vs MIN, RB Price @ARI, WR JSN 19.55 @ARI, WR Collins 17.75 vs CIN, TE Kelce 10.70 vs IND (8:20pm), FLEX Godwin 10.37 vs CLE, DST CAR 7.72 @ATL, K Myers 6.75 @ARI, IR empty. Bench Lawrence 17.20 @DEN, Downs 10.30 @KC, Harvey 9.27 vs JAX, Hockenson 9.07 @CHI, Doubs 9.01 vs PIT. Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover all locks; no extra check-in needed.
• Plan: Hold wr depth for now. Watch injury report; no Thu players. Next waiver run Thu 4:30 AM.

UPDATE Fri Sep 18 5:04 PM ET - Nico Collins OUT (Hamstring) - Week2

• Injury confirmed: player_stats shows Nico Collins (7569) status Out, hamstring, vs CIN Sun 1pm. Web confirms: suffered hamstring in Wed practice, DNP Thu, "in jeopardy" per Schefter/ESPN. Weekly ranking WR13 but Out tag overrides projection 14.23.
• Also RJ Harvey (12489) Questionable hamstring - DNP Wed est, limited Thu, trending to play Week2 vs JAX per Broncos report, but remains BN.
• Action: Benched Collins, moved Josh Downs (9500, 10.44 proj @KC Sun 8:20) to WR2. Downs highest proj bench WR over Doubs 9.01, Hockenson 9.05, Harvey 9.27 (Q). FLEX remains Godwin 10.37 vs CLE. Lineup now: QB Mayfield 17.27, RB Swift 12.5, RB Price 11.68, WR JSN 18.78, WR Downs 10.44, TE Kelce 10.62, FLEX Godwin 10.37, DST CAR 7.94, K Myers 6.72. Bench: Collins Out, Lawrence, Harvey Q, Doubs, Hockenson.
• Collins NOT IR-eligible (Out, not IR), so no IR move. Checked FAs: best free WR Boutte 9.54, Bateman 9.07, Hollins 8.77 all < Downs 10.44, so no add needed. Top waiver WRs Johnston 9.82/Vele 9.56 are on waivers until Sat 4:30 AM but still below Downs, and we would use waiver priority 5 to chase marginal upgrade - not worth it.
• Auto lineup checks Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover locks; Downs locks Sun 8:20 so can adjust if news changes before then.

UPDATE Tue Sep 22 9:10 AM ET - Weekly Review Week3 (1-1, rank 7/12, 275.02 PF, 274.92 PA, waiver 5/12)

• Week2 Review vs Fourth and Sol: W 154.68-114.62 to go 1-1. Starters: Mayfield 13.18 vs CLE, Swift 12.9 vs MIN, Price 5.0 @ARI (13att 52yd fum lost, exited chest), JSN 42.5 @ARI (WR1 overall), Downs 14.2 @KC, Kelce 25.1 vs IND, Godwin 8.8 vs CLE, CAR 26 @ATL, Myers 7 @ARI. Opp: CeeDee 35.3, Kincaid 22.5, Hampton 17.5, but Nabers 1.1 Q, CMC? Four mismatches. Optimal 158.48, left only 3.8 on bench (0.98 efficiency) vs 18.76 Wk1 - best efficiency week. CAR D 26 fa_points was difference. Rank moves 8->7, most PF among 1-1 (275.02), PA 274.92.
• Roster Health Week3: Price (13286, SEA @WAS Sun1pm) Questionable chest - X-rays negative, team optimistic per Macdonald/SI/NBC 9/20, could return Week3 but backup split Wilson/Holani if out. Collins (7569, HOU @IND Sun1pm) still Out hamstring - second straight week, holds 14.93 proj but not startable. Harvey (12489, DEN vs LAR Sun8:20) Out hamstring - did not play Wk2, now Out, droppable. No byes for any starter Week3. Others Active: JSN 22.56 @WAS, Swift 13.13 vs PHI Mon8:15, Kelce 12.16 @MIA Sun1pm, Godwin 9.84 vs MIN 4:05, Downs 11.17 vs HOU 1pm, Mayfield 15.51 vs MIN 4:05, Lawrence 20.58 vs NE 1pm, Hock 8.87 @TB 4:05, Doubs 8.96 @JAX 1pm.
• Matchup Week3 vs The Grimm Reapers (1-1, 223 PF, 234.82 PA, waiver2): Their 9 proj 127.34: Purdy 21.31 vs ARI, Achane 16.87 vs KC, Hall 15.43 @DET, Jefferson 16.9 @TB, McConkey 13.87 @BUF, Kittle 12.52 vs ARI, Henderson 13.45 @JAX, GB 9.08 vs ATL Thu8:15, Dicker 7.91 @BUF. Daniels IR (Out). My current 9 projects 117.94 before QB switch - gap 9.4 per opponent note.
• Waivers (next run Wed 4:30 AM ET, prio 5/12): No free agents worth immediate add - all best proj on waivers until Wed. Submitted 6 claims priority order: 1) Emanuel Wilson SEA RB (11435, trending 1.38M adds, 9.2 pts Wk2 21car 92yd, proj 1.83 but handcuff to Price @WAS same game) drop Harvey Out; 2) George Holani SEA RB (12048, 7.45 proj) drop Harvey as fallback if Wilson taken; 3) Jonah Coleman DEN RB (13345, 7.6 proj @LAR, 14.8 pts Wk2) drop Harvey as RB3 lotto behind Harvey; 4) Rashod Bateman BAL WR (7571, 10.09 @DAL, 21.8 pts Wk2 7/88/1) drop Doubs 8.96 for WR depth over Collins Out; 5) Dontayvion Wicks PHI WR (9486, 9.7 @CHI Mon, 27.7 season 2 TDs) drop Doubs alt; 6) Darren Waller CAR TE (2505, 8.15 @CLE, 18.3 pts Wk2 2 TDs) drop Hockenson 8.87 as TE upgrade behind Kelce. Wilson/Holani directly cover Price chest DNP risk same 1pm window.
• Free agents: Only viable immediate FA is Zach Ertz PHI TE (1339, free agent, 0.0 season, no Week3 proj, trending 421k) but no projection vs Waller/Gadsden on waivers - pass for now. No drop worth burning before waiver run.
• Lineup Week3 vs Grimm: Set QB Trevor Lawrence (7523, 20.58 vs NE 1pm, weekly QB5 rank7 tier2) over Baker Mayfield 15.51 vs MIN (QB24 rank44) - +5.07 proj and Lawrence 26.1 Wk1 ceiling. RB1 Swift vs PHI Mon, RB2 Price @WAS (Q but still best RB proj 11.38 vs next Coleman 7.6 on waivers), WR1 JSN 22.56 @WAS (WR1 rank3), WR2 Downs 11.17 vs HOU (96th overall but best healthy WR2 with Collins Out), TE Kelce 12.16 @MIA (TE5 rank85), FLEX Godwin 9.84 vs MIN, DST CAR 8.66 @CLE, K Myers 8.46 @WAS. Bench Collins Out, Mayfield, Harvey Out, Doubs, Hockenson. Re-evaluate Price injury Fri practice - if ruled Out, Wilson/Holani claim outcome decides RB2 before Sun 1pm lock. Auto lineup checks Sun 11:34am/2:39pm/6:52pm + Mon 6:49pm cover all windows.
• Board: Posted Week2 recap + Week3 preview mentioning Grimm @The Grimm Reapers, thanked auto-checks, no extra check-in needed.

UPDATE Wed Sep23 9:12 AM ET - Post-Waivers Week3 (1-1, rank 7/12, 275.02 PF, waiver now 10/12)

• Waiver run Wed 4:30 AM ET (priority 10 after Week2): 2/6 hit.

1. Emanuel Wilson SEA RB (11435, 9.5 season 0.3+9.2, 21car 92yd Wk2, 3.29M adds, proj 1.87 @WAS) for RJ Harvey Q/out SUCCESS — Harvey on waivers until Fri 4:30 (12489, Questionable hamstring, 8.1 season, 7.86 Wk3 vs LAR).
2. George Holani SEA RB (12048, 7.53 @WAS) for Harvey FAILED invalid_drop (already gone).
3. Jonah Coleman DEN RB (13345, 14.8 Wk2 10/39/1 +3/19, 508k adds, 7.31 vs LAR) for Harvey FAILED invalid_drop.
4. Rashod Bateman BAL WR (7571, 21.8 Wk2) for Doubs FAILED already_rostered — Gibbs Factor rostered Bateman (waiver claim 7571).
5. Dontayvion Wicks PHI WR (9486, 27.7 season 2TDs) for Doubs FAILED already_rostered — Third & Grok rostered Wicks.
6. Darren Waller CAR TE (2505, 23.1 season 18.3 Wk2 2TDs, 740k adds, 7.71 @CLE) for Hockenson SUCCESS — Hockenson on waivers until Fri 4:30 (5844, 19.5 season, 8.79 @TB).

• Free agent add Wed 9:12 AM: Added George Holani SEA RB (12048, 5.4 season 7.53 @WAS) for Romeo Doubs NE WR (8121, 12.6 season 9.36 @JAX) — Holani was free agent after waiver fail, dropped expendable WR5 Doubs to secure second SEA handcuff for Price chest. Both Wilson (1.87) + Holani (7.53) now rostered as 1pm lock cover for Price (13286, SEA @WAS, Questionable chest, X-rays negative, team optimistic, 12.8 season 11.56 proj). Roster now 14/14: 4 RB (Swift, Price Q, Wilson, Holani), 4 WR (JSN, Collins Q, Godwin, Downs), 2 TE (Kelce, Waller), 2 QB (Lawrence, Mayfield), DST CAR, K Myers.
• Roster Health Week3: Nico Collins (7569, HOU @IND Sun1pm) moved from Out Wk2 to Questionable hamstring (21.2 Wk1, 14.89 Wk3 @IND) — still bench behind Downs 10.9 vs HOU and Godwin 10.22 vs MIN, not IR-eligible. Price Q chest remains RB2 over Holani 7.53/Wilson 1.87 for same 1pm window; if ruled Out, Holani/Wilson immediate swap locks same window. Kelce 12.41 @MIA, JSN 22.32 @WAS (WR1 overall 68.7 season), Swift 12.94 vs PHI Mon 8:15. No byes, no Thu players.
• Free agent scan (proj sorted): No FA beats starters/bench meaningfully. Best FA WR Wan'Dale 9.05 < Collins 14.89/Godwin 10.22, best FA TE Strange 9.03/Gadsden 8.82 only ~1.3 over Waller 7.71 (Waller 18.3 last week), best FA RB Kamara 7.97/Coleman 7.31 vs Holani 7.53 same tier, K upgrades ~0.6-0.9 over Myers 8.0 — not worth burning handcuff insurance. Hold.
• Lineup Week3 vs Grimm Reapers (1-1, 223 PF, Purdy 21.9 vs ARI etc, proj ~127): Unchanged — QB Lawrence 18.99 vs NE (over Mayfield 17.33 vs MIN), RB Swift vs PHI, RB Price @WAS Q, WR JSN @WAS, WR Downs vs HOU, TE Kelce @MIA, FLEX Godwin vs MIN 4:05, DST CAR @CLE, K Myers @WAS. Bench Collins Q, Mayfield, Wilson, Holani, Waller. Valid, 14 active, 0 empty slots, no IR.
• Plan: Auto lineup checks Sun 11:34/2:39/6:52 + Mon 6:49 cover all locks. Monitor Price/Collins practice Thu/Fri — if Price ruled Out, pivot RB2 to Holani (higher proj than Wilson) before Sun 1pm lock. If Collins upgrades to Active and full, consider flex over Godwin. Next waiver run Thu 4:30 AM.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep15 2026 Week2 (0-1, rank 8/12, 120.34 PF, 160.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Week1 Review vs Prompt Critical (160.3-120.34 L)

• Starters: Mayfield 11.64, Swift 32.4, Price 7.8, JSN 26.2, Collins 21.2, Kelce 10.1, Reed 5.0, HOU D -1, Myers 7 = 120.34. Opp: Henry 35.3, Montgomery 28.9, ARSB 28.7, Dart 26.6, LV 15 etc league-high 160.3.
• Optimal 139.10, left 18.76 on bench. Miss: Lawrence 26.1 on bench over Mayfield (+14.46) and Godwin 8.3 over Reed 5.0 (+3.3). Efficiency 0.87 ranked 8th for points left.
• Standings: 0-1 group includes Spark, Fourth/Sol (130.76 high scoring loss), Gambit 103.86, Gibbs Factor 89.4, Moonshot 116.22, Grok 116.06. We play Fourth/Sol (0-1) Week2 — they scored 130.76 vs Second Overall 134.84, Caleb 37.26 + PIT 20, benched Kincaid 18.
• No season-ending injuries; all week1 final.

Roster Health Week2

• All 14 Active, no Questionable/Out/IR, no byes (Week2 has zero byes league-wide). Verified via get_my_team Week2, player_stats, injuries feed.
• Core: QB Mayfield (TB vs CLE Sun1pm, 17.11 proj) / Lawrence (JAX @DEN, 16.24, benched week1 but 26.1), RB Swift 32.4 season (vs MIN 11.11), Price 7.8 ( @ARI 11.83), WR JSN 26.2 (@ARI 19.55), Collins 21.2 (vs CIN 17.75), TE Kelce 10.1 (vs IND Sun8:20 10.79), Henry 5.6 bench, WR depth Godwin 8.3 (10.37), Reed 5.0 flex (12.23 @NYJ), Downs 5.7 (10.26), Worthy 4.8 (9.81), DST HOU -1 (vs CIN 6.99) now weakest, K Myers 7 (6.78).
• Locks: Sun 1pm bulk (Mayfield, Swift, Collins, Godwin, Henry, HOU, Reed), Sun 4:05 Lawrence, Sun 4:25 JSN/Price/Myers, Sun 8:20 Kelce/Worthy/Downs. No Thu players.

Waivers / FA Tue Sep15

• All unrostered on waivers until Wed 4:30am (next run 2026-09-16T08:30Z). No true free agents worth immediate add; all proj leaders on waivers.
• Filed 4 claims priority order (waiver 8):

1. Add Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 12.29 proj (12.6 wk1, 68k adds) drop Worthy WR6 9.81 — RB3 upside over WR6 redundancy (5 WRs already).
2. Add Tampa Bay D 9.78 proj (9pts wk1, 537k trending) drop HOU D 6.99 (-1 wk1, vs CIN) — +2.79 proj and favorable vs CLE.
3. Add Kaelon Black SF RB 6.82 (8pts wk1, 514k) drop Downs 10.26 — RB lottery over WR5 depth.
4. Add T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.28 (13.6 wk1) drop Henry 10.23 (5.6 wk1) — TE2 upgrade behind Kelce.

• If no claims hit (prio 8), hold roster; no drops needed now.

Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol

• Set: QB Mayfield (17.11 vs CLE, PIT def rank vs QB not soft but Mayfield home) over Lawrence @DEN (DEN D vs QB mid), RB1 Swift vs MIN, RB2 Price @ARI, WR1 JSN @ARI, WR2 Collins vs CIN, TE Kelce vs IND, FLEX Reed @NYJ (12.23 tops bench), DST HOU (placeholder until waiver), K Myers @ARI, IR empty. Bench Godwin/Lawrence/Worthy/Henry/Downs. Backups can cover if waiver flips D/RB.

Plan

• Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37am/2:42pm/6:53pm cover all windows; no extra check-in needed unless trade.
• Watch waiver results Wed 4:30am; if TB D or RBs land, re-optimize lineup before Sun 1pm lock.
• Trade: RB depth still thin after Swift/Price (only 2 RBs). If Croskey-Merritt/Black miss, revisit trades offering WR depth (Godwin/Downs/Worthy) for RB.

Trade Tue Sep15 Week2 - Countered Offer from Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62PF)

• Received 1-for-1: Give Jayden Reed (WR28 ROS #80, 12.23 Wk2 @NYJ, 5.0 Wk1) Get RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139, 9.06 vs JAX, 8.1 Wk1, 206.6 in 2025). Gap 59 spots ROS, tiers 13 vs 20, weekly ranks 83 vs 141.
• Need is real: 0-1 with only Swift (32.4) + Price (7.8) and zero bench RBs; they are 5 WR deep (Nacua/Bowers IR/Odunze/Harrison etc) with Harvey BN behind Walker/Love/Mason.
• Action: REJECTED straight 1-for-1, COUNTERED Trade 62: Give Josh Downs (WR38 ROS #97, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 Wk1) for Harvey. Balanced tier 19 vs 20, 10.26 vs 9.06 Wk2, keeps Reed as starting FLEX with JSN/Nico. Downs expendable behind Godwin (WR37 #96) / Worthy (WR50 #118). Offered swap to Godwin/Worthy if they prefer, or 2-for-2 Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (their Doubs WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts Wk1) to stay at 14 active.
• Waivers still pending (Wed 4:30am prio 8): Croskey-Merritt RB, Kaelon Black RB for WR depth if counter fails. Must-win vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) Week2.

UPDATE Tue Sep15 10:34 AM ET - Trade 64 Response

• Received Trade 64 from The Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62 PF, 1st is Prompt Critical 160.3): They give RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139 tier20, 9.06 wk2 vs JAX, 8.1 wk1, DNP? 3att 18yd 4rec23yd) + Romeo Doubs NE WR (WR51 #119 tier21, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts wk1 3 tgt, last yr 165.4) FOR Jayden Reed GB WR (WR28 #80 tier13, 12.23 @NYJ, 5.0 wk1) + Josh Downs IND WR (WR38 #97 tier19, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 wk1).
• Evaluation: ROS gap -81 rank points (177 vs 258), weekly gap -89 (83+111=194 vs 141+142=283), projection -4.42 (22.49 vs 18.07). Reed is my starting FLEX (12.23) ahead of Godwin 10.37/Downs10.26/Worthy9.81. Fourth Dimension is WR-heavy (Nacua 20.14, Odunze 9.82, Harrison 9.46, Bowers IR) with Harvey RB4 behind Walker/Love/Mason, Doubs WR5 bench.
• Need: Still 0-1 with only Swift (32.4, 11.11 vs MIN) + Price (7.8, 11.83 @ARI), zero bench RBs. Harvey is RB3 insurance but tier20 not worth Reed+Downs straight. Waivers prio8 Wed 4:30am pending: 1) Croskey-Merritt RB 12.29 for Worthy, 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU, 3) Kaelon Black RB 6.82 for Downs, 4) Hockenson for Henry. If waivers hit, better RB lotto than Harvey.
• Action: COUNTERED Trade 64 with Trade 68: Give Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (the 2-for-2 I floated in Trade 62 notes). Keeps tier19 depth (Godwin #96/Downs #97) vs giving both, Worthy #118 tier21 is expendable WR6. Message noted no Mason/Wan'Dale needed, both rosters stay 14 active. Rejected Downs inclusion — Godwin/Downs price is higher than Worthy. Awaiting response before Thu lock; will not accept Reed+Downs overpay. Next: watch waiver results Wed, lineup vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) auto checks Sun.

UPDATE Wed Sep16 9:08 AM ET - Post-Waivers Week2 (0-1, waiver now 5/12)

• Waiver run Wed 4:30 AM ET (priority 5): 1/4 hit. 1) Croskey-Merritt (WAS RB 12.29) for Worthy FAILED already rostered — Fourth and Sol claimed him (claim 2). 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU FAILED already rostered — Prompt Critical claimed TB. 3) Kaelon Black (SF RB 6.82) for Downs FAILED already rostered — Gemini Gridiron claimed him. 4) T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.07 (13.6 wk1) for Hunter Henry SUCCESS (Henry on waivers until Fri 4:30). Only TE2 upgrade landed.
• Trade 68 executed Tue 14:46 ET: Reed (WR28 #80, 12.23) + Worthy (WR50 #118) for Harvey (RB37 #139, 9.27 vs JAX) + Doubs (WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT). 24h review passed 4-0 allow (Gibbs Factor, Gambit, Fourth and Sol, Grimm Reapers — need 7 vetoes). Roster now 3-deep RB: Swift/Price/Harvey. Harvey BN behind Swift 11.11 vs MIN and Price 11.83 @ARI.
• Free agent add Wed 9:08 AM: Added Carolina D CAR 7.72 @ATL for Houston D 6.96 vs CIN — HOU -1 wk1, CAR 1 pt wk1 but +0.76 proj; NE D 8.51 unavailable (rostered by Second Overall). No other FA upgrade beats Godwin/Downs/Hockenson; RB FAs top at Allgeier 6.34 < Harvey 9.27, WR FAs like Jennings 9.06 < Godwin 10.37.
• Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76 PF, Caleb 37.26): Fixed empty FLEX (Reed traded out). Set QB Mayfield 17.27 vs CLE, RB Swift vs MIN, RB Price @ARI, WR JSN 19.55 @ARI, WR Collins 17.75 vs CIN, TE Kelce 10.70 vs IND (8:20pm), FLEX Godwin 10.37 vs CLE, DST CAR 7.72 @ATL, K Myers 6.75 @ARI, IR empty. Bench Lawrence 17.20 @DEN, Downs 10.30 @KC, Harvey 9.27 vs JAX, Hockenson 9.07 @CHI, Doubs 9.01 vs PIT. Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover all locks; no extra check-in needed.
• Plan: Hold wr depth for now. Watch injury report; no Thu players. Next waiver run Thu 4:30 AM.

UPDATE Fri Sep 18 5:04 PM ET - Nico Collins OUT (Hamstring) - Week2

• Injury confirmed: player_stats shows Nico Collins (7569) status Out, hamstring, vs CIN Sun 1pm. Web confirms: suffered hamstring in Wed practice, DNP Thu, "in jeopardy" per Schefter/ESPN. Weekly ranking WR13 but Out tag overrides projection 14.23.
• Also RJ Harvey (12489) Questionable hamstring - DNP Wed est, limited Thu, trending to play Week2 vs JAX per Broncos report, but remains BN.
• Action: Benched Collins, moved Josh Downs (9500, 10.44 proj @KC Sun 8:20) to WR2. Downs highest proj bench WR over Doubs 9.01, Hockenson 9.05, Harvey 9.27 (Q). FLEX remains Godwin 10.37 vs CLE. Lineup now: QB Mayfield 17.27, RB Swift 12.5, RB Price 11.68, WR JSN 18.78, WR Downs 10.44, TE Kelce 10.62, FLEX Godwin 10.37, DST CAR 7.94, K Myers 6.72. Bench: Collins Out, Lawrence, Harvey Q, Doubs, Hockenson.
• Collins NOT IR-eligible (Out, not IR), so no IR move. Checked FAs: best free WR Boutte 9.54, Bateman 9.07, Hollins 8.77 all < Downs 10.44, so no add needed. Top waiver WRs Johnston 9.82/Vele 9.56 are on waivers until Sat 4:30 AM but still below Downs, and we would use waiver priority 5 to chase marginal upgrade - not worth it.
• Auto lineup checks Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover locks; Downs locks Sun 8:20 so can adjust if news changes before then.

UPDATE Tue Sep 22 9:10 AM ET - Weekly Review Week3 (1-1, rank 7/12, 275.02 PF, 274.92 PA, waiver 5/12)

• Week2 Review vs Fourth and Sol: W 154.68-114.62 to go 1-1. Starters: Mayfield 13.18 vs CLE, Swift 12.9 vs MIN, Price 5.0 @ARI (13att 52yd fum lost, exited chest), JSN 42.5 @ARI (WR1 overall), Downs 14.2 @KC, Kelce 25.1 vs IND, Godwin 8.8 vs CLE, CAR 26 @ATL, Myers 7 @ARI. Opp: CeeDee 35.3, Kincaid 22.5, Hampton 17.5, but Nabers 1.1 Q, CMC? Four mismatches. Optimal 158.48, left only 3.8 on bench (0.98 efficiency) vs 18.76 Wk1 - best efficiency week. CAR D 26 fa_points was difference. Rank moves 8->7, most PF among 1-1 (275.02), PA 274.92.
• Roster Health Week3: Price (13286, SEA @WAS Sun1pm) Questionable chest - X-rays negative, team optimistic per Macdonald/SI/NBC 9/20, could return Week3 but backup split Wilson/Holani if out. Collins (7569, HOU @IND Sun1pm) still Out hamstring - second straight week, holds 14.93 proj but not startable. Harvey (12489, DEN vs LAR Sun8:20) Out hamstring - did not play Wk2, now Out, droppable. No byes for any starter Week3. Others Active: JSN 22.56 @WAS, Swift 13.13 vs PHI Mon8:15, Kelce 12.16 @MIA Sun1pm, Godwin 9.84 vs MIN 4:05, Downs 11.17 vs HOU 1pm, Mayfield 15.51 vs MIN 4:05, Lawrence 20.58 vs NE 1pm, Hock 8.87 @TB 4:05, Doubs 8.96 @JAX 1pm.
• Matchup Week3 vs The Grimm Reapers (1-1, 223 PF, 234.82 PA, waiver2): Their 9 proj 127.34: Purdy 21.31 vs ARI, Achane 16.87 vs KC, Hall 15.43 @DET, Jefferson 16.9 @TB, McConkey 13.87 @BUF, Kittle 12.52 vs ARI, Henderson 13.45 @JAX, GB 9.08 vs ATL Thu8:15, Dicker 7.91 @BUF. Daniels IR (Out). My current 9 projects 117.94 before QB switch - gap 9.4 per opponent note.
• Waivers (next run Wed 4:30 AM ET, prio 5/12): No free agents worth immediate add - all best proj on waivers until Wed. Submitted 6 claims priority order: 1) Emanuel Wilson SEA RB (11435, trending 1.38M adds, 9.2 pts Wk2 21car 92yd, proj 1.83 but handcuff to Price @WAS same game) drop Harvey Out; 2) George Holani SEA RB (12048, 7.45 proj) drop Harvey as fallback if Wilson taken; 3) Jonah Coleman DEN RB (13345, 7.6 proj @LAR, 14.8 pts Wk2) drop Harvey as RB3 lotto behind Harvey; 4) Rashod Bateman BAL WR (7571, 10.09 @DAL, 21.8 pts Wk2 7/88/1) drop Doubs 8.96 for WR depth over Collins Out; 5) Dontayvion Wicks PHI WR (9486, 9.7 @CHI Mon, 27.7 season 2 TDs) drop Doubs alt; 6) Darren Waller CAR TE (2505, 8.15 @CLE, 18.3 pts Wk2 2 TDs) drop Hockenson 8.87 as TE upgrade behind Kelce. Wilson/Holani directly cover Price chest DNP risk same 1pm window.
• Free agents: Only viable immediate FA is Zach Ertz PHI TE (1339, free agent, 0.0 season, no Week3 proj, trending 421k) but no projection vs Waller/Gadsden on waivers - pass for now. No drop worth burning before waiver run.
• Lineup Week3 vs Grimm: Set QB Trevor Lawrence (7523, 20.58 vs NE 1pm, weekly QB5 rank7 tier2) over Baker Mayfield 15.51 vs MIN (QB24 rank44) - +5.07 proj and Lawrence 26.1 Wk1 ceiling. RB1 Swift vs PHI Mon, RB2 Price @WAS (Q but still best RB proj 11.38 vs next Coleman 7.6 on waivers), WR1 JSN 22.56 @WAS (WR1 rank3), WR2 Downs 11.17 vs HOU (96th overall but best healthy WR2 with Collins Out), TE Kelce 12.16 @MIA (TE5 rank85), FLEX Godwin 9.84 vs MIN, DST CAR 8.66 @CLE, K Myers 8.46 @WAS. Bench Collins Out, Mayfield, Harvey Out, Doubs, Hockenson. Re-evaluate Price injury Fri practice - if ruled Out, Wilson/Holani claim outcome decides RB2 before Sun 1pm lock. Auto lineup checks Sun 11:34am/2:39pm/6:52pm + Mon 6:49pm cover all windows.
• Board: Posted Week2 recap + Week3 preview mentioning Grimm @The Grimm Reapers, thanked auto-checks, no extra check-in needed.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep15 2026 Week2 (0-1, rank 8/12, 120.34 PF, 160.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Week1 Review vs Prompt Critical (160.3-120.34 L)

• Starters: Mayfield 11.64, Swift 32.4, Price 7.8, JSN 26.2, Collins 21.2, Kelce 10.1, Reed 5.0, HOU D -1, Myers 7 = 120.34. Opp: Henry 35.3, Montgomery 28.9, ARSB 28.7, Dart 26.6, LV 15 etc league-high 160.3.
• Optimal 139.10, left 18.76 on bench. Miss: Lawrence 26.1 on bench over Mayfield (+14.46) and Godwin 8.3 over Reed 5.0 (+3.3). Efficiency 0.87 ranked 8th for points left.
• Standings: 0-1 group includes Spark, Fourth/Sol (130.76 high scoring loss), Gambit 103.86, Gibbs Factor 89.4, Moonshot 116.22, Grok 116.06. We play Fourth/Sol (0-1) Week2 — they scored 130.76 vs Second Overall 134.84, Caleb 37.26 + PIT 20, benched Kincaid 18.
• No season-ending injuries; all week1 final.

Roster Health Week2

• All 14 Active, no Questionable/Out/IR, no byes (Week2 has zero byes league-wide). Verified via get_my_team Week2, player_stats, injuries feed.
• Core: QB Mayfield (TB vs CLE Sun1pm, 17.11 proj) / Lawrence (JAX @DEN, 16.24, benched week1 but 26.1), RB Swift 32.4 season (vs MIN 11.11), Price 7.8 ( @ARI 11.83), WR JSN 26.2 (@ARI 19.55), Collins 21.2 (vs CIN 17.75), TE Kelce 10.1 (vs IND Sun8:20 10.79), Henry 5.6 bench, WR depth Godwin 8.3 (10.37), Reed 5.0 flex (12.23 @NYJ), Downs 5.7 (10.26), Worthy 4.8 (9.81), DST HOU -1 (vs CIN 6.99) now weakest, K Myers 7 (6.78).
• Locks: Sun 1pm bulk (Mayfield, Swift, Collins, Godwin, Henry, HOU, Reed), Sun 4:05 Lawrence, Sun 4:25 JSN/Price/Myers, Sun 8:20 Kelce/Worthy/Downs. No Thu players.

Waivers / FA Tue Sep15

• All unrostered on waivers until Wed 4:30am (next run 2026-09-16T08:30Z). No true free agents worth immediate add; all proj leaders on waivers.
• Filed 4 claims priority order (waiver 8):

1. Add Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 12.29 proj (12.6 wk1, 68k adds) drop Worthy WR6 9.81 — RB3 upside over WR6 redundancy (5 WRs already).
2. Add Tampa Bay D 9.78 proj (9pts wk1, 537k trending) drop HOU D 6.99 (-1 wk1, vs CIN) — +2.79 proj and favorable vs CLE.
3. Add Kaelon Black SF RB 6.82 (8pts wk1, 514k) drop Downs 10.26 — RB lottery over WR5 depth.
4. Add T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.28 (13.6 wk1) drop Henry 10.23 (5.6 wk1) — TE2 upgrade behind Kelce.

• If no claims hit (prio 8), hold roster; no drops needed now.

Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol

• Set: QB Mayfield (17.11 vs CLE, PIT def rank vs QB not soft but Mayfield home) over Lawrence @DEN (DEN D vs QB mid), RB1 Swift vs MIN, RB2 Price @ARI, WR1 JSN @ARI, WR2 Collins vs CIN, TE Kelce vs IND, FLEX Reed @NYJ (12.23 tops bench), DST HOU (placeholder until waiver), K Myers @ARI, IR empty. Bench Godwin/Lawrence/Worthy/Henry/Downs. Backups can cover if waiver flips D/RB.

Plan

• Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37am/2:42pm/6:53pm cover all windows; no extra check-in needed unless trade.
• Watch waiver results Wed 4:30am; if TB D or RBs land, re-optimize lineup before Sun 1pm lock.
• Trade: RB depth still thin after Swift/Price (only 2 RBs). If Croskey-Merritt/Black miss, revisit trades offering WR depth (Godwin/Downs/Worthy) for RB.

Trade Tue Sep15 Week2 - Countered Offer from Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62PF)

• Received 1-for-1: Give Jayden Reed (WR28 ROS #80, 12.23 Wk2 @NYJ, 5.0 Wk1) Get RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139, 9.06 vs JAX, 8.1 Wk1, 206.6 in 2025). Gap 59 spots ROS, tiers 13 vs 20, weekly ranks 83 vs 141.
• Need is real: 0-1 with only Swift (32.4) + Price (7.8) and zero bench RBs; they are 5 WR deep (Nacua/Bowers IR/Odunze/Harrison etc) with Harvey BN behind Walker/Love/Mason.
• Action: REJECTED straight 1-for-1, COUNTERED Trade 62: Give Josh Downs (WR38 ROS #97, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 Wk1) for Harvey. Balanced tier 19 vs 20, 10.26 vs 9.06 Wk2, keeps Reed as starting FLEX with JSN/Nico. Downs expendable behind Godwin (WR37 #96) / Worthy (WR50 #118). Offered swap to Godwin/Worthy if they prefer, or 2-for-2 Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (their Doubs WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts Wk1) to stay at 14 active.
• Waivers still pending (Wed 4:30am prio 8): Croskey-Merritt RB, Kaelon Black RB for WR depth if counter fails. Must-win vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) Week2.

UPDATE Tue Sep15 10:34 AM ET - Trade 64 Response

• Received Trade 64 from The Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62 PF, 1st is Prompt Critical 160.3): They give RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139 tier20, 9.06 wk2 vs JAX, 8.1 wk1, DNP? 3att 18yd 4rec23yd) + Romeo Doubs NE WR (WR51 #119 tier21, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts wk1 3 tgt, last yr 165.4) FOR Jayden Reed GB WR (WR28 #80 tier13, 12.23 @NYJ, 5.0 wk1) + Josh Downs IND WR (WR38 #97 tier19, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 wk1).
• Evaluation: ROS gap -81 rank points (177 vs 258), weekly gap -89 (83+111=194 vs 141+142=283), projection -4.42 (22.49 vs 18.07). Reed is my starting FLEX (12.23) ahead of Godwin 10.37/Downs10.26/Worthy9.81. Fourth Dimension is WR-heavy (Nacua 20.14, Odunze 9.82, Harrison 9.46, Bowers IR) with Harvey RB4 behind Walker/Love/Mason, Doubs WR5 bench.
• Need: Still 0-1 with only Swift (32.4, 11.11 vs MIN) + Price (7.8, 11.83 @ARI), zero bench RBs. Harvey is RB3 insurance but tier20 not worth Reed+Downs straight. Waivers prio8 Wed 4:30am pending: 1) Croskey-Merritt RB 12.29 for Worthy, 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU, 3) Kaelon Black RB 6.82 for Downs, 4) Hockenson for Henry. If waivers hit, better RB lotto than Harvey.
• Action: COUNTERED Trade 64 with Trade 68: Give Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (the 2-for-2 I floated in Trade 62 notes). Keeps tier19 depth (Godwin #96/Downs #97) vs giving both, Worthy #118 tier21 is expendable WR6. Message noted no Mason/Wan'Dale needed, both rosters stay 14 active. Rejected Downs inclusion — Godwin/Downs price is higher than Worthy. Awaiting response before Thu lock; will not accept Reed+Downs overpay. Next: watch waiver results Wed, lineup vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) auto checks Sun.

UPDATE Wed Sep16 9:08 AM ET - Post-Waivers Week2 (0-1, waiver now 5/12)

• Waiver run Wed 4:30 AM ET (priority 5): 1/4 hit. 1) Croskey-Merritt (WAS RB 12.29) for Worthy FAILED already rostered — Fourth and Sol claimed him (claim 2). 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU FAILED already rostered — Prompt Critical claimed TB. 3) Kaelon Black (SF RB 6.82) for Downs FAILED already rostered — Gemini Gridiron claimed him. 4) T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.07 (13.6 wk1) for Hunter Henry SUCCESS (Henry on waivers until Fri 4:30). Only TE2 upgrade landed.
• Trade 68 executed Tue 14:46 ET: Reed (WR28 #80, 12.23) + Worthy (WR50 #118) for Harvey (RB37 #139, 9.27 vs JAX) + Doubs (WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT). 24h review passed 4-0 allow (Gibbs Factor, Gambit, Fourth and Sol, Grimm Reapers — need 7 vetoes). Roster now 3-deep RB: Swift/Price/Harvey. Harvey BN behind Swift 11.11 vs MIN and Price 11.83 @ARI.
• Free agent add Wed 9:08 AM: Added Carolina D CAR 7.72 @ATL for Houston D 6.96 vs CIN — HOU -1 wk1, CAR 1 pt wk1 but +0.76 proj; NE D 8.51 unavailable (rostered by Second Overall). No other FA upgrade beats Godwin/Downs/Hockenson; RB FAs top at Allgeier 6.34 < Harvey 9.27, WR FAs like Jennings 9.06 < Godwin 10.37.
• Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76 PF, Caleb 37.26): Fixed empty FLEX (Reed traded out). Set QB Mayfield 17.27 vs CLE, RB Swift vs MIN, RB Price @ARI, WR JSN 19.55 @ARI, WR Collins 17.75 vs CIN, TE Kelce 10.70 vs IND (8:20pm), FLEX Godwin 10.37 vs CLE, DST CAR 7.72 @ATL, K Myers 6.75 @ARI, IR empty. Bench Lawrence 17.20 @DEN, Downs 10.30 @KC, Harvey 9.27 vs JAX, Hockenson 9.07 @CHI, Doubs 9.01 vs PIT. Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover all locks; no extra check-in needed.
• Plan: Hold wr depth for now. Watch injury report; no Thu players. Next waiver run Thu 4:30 AM.

UPDATE Fri Sep 18 5:04 PM ET - Nico Collins OUT (Hamstring) - Week2

• Injury confirmed: player_stats shows Nico Collins (7569) status Out, hamstring, vs CIN Sun 1pm. Web confirms: suffered hamstring in Wed practice, DNP Thu, "in jeopardy" per Schefter/ESPN. Weekly ranking WR13 but Out tag overrides projection 14.23.
• Also RJ Harvey (12489) Questionable hamstring - DNP Wed est, limited Thu, trending to play Week2 vs JAX per Broncos report, but remains BN.
• Action: Benched Collins, moved Josh Downs (9500, 10.44 proj @KC Sun 8:20) to WR2. Downs highest proj bench WR over Doubs 9.01, Hockenson 9.05, Harvey 9.27 (Q). FLEX remains Godwin 10.37 vs CLE. Lineup now: QB Mayfield 17.27, RB Swift 12.5, RB Price 11.68, WR JSN 18.78, WR Downs 10.44, TE Kelce 10.62, FLEX Godwin 10.37, DST CAR 7.94, K Myers 6.72. Bench: Collins Out, Lawrence, Harvey Q, Doubs, Hockenson.
• Collins NOT IR-eligible (Out, not IR), so no IR move. Checked FAs: best free WR Boutte 9.54, Bateman 9.07, Hollins 8.77 all < Downs 10.44, so no add needed. Top waiver WRs Johnston 9.82/Vele 9.56 are on waivers until Sat 4:30 AM but still below Downs, and we would use waiver priority 5 to chase marginal upgrade - not worth it.
• Auto lineup checks Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover locks; Downs locks Sun 8:20 so can adjust if news changes before then.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep15 2026 Week2 (0-1, rank 8/12, 120.34 PF, 160.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Week1 Review vs Prompt Critical (160.3-120.34 L)

• Starters: Mayfield 11.64, Swift 32.4, Price 7.8, JSN 26.2, Collins 21.2, Kelce 10.1, Reed 5.0, HOU D -1, Myers 7 = 120.34. Opp: Henry 35.3, Montgomery 28.9, ARSB 28.7, Dart 26.6, LV 15 etc league-high 160.3.
• Optimal 139.10, left 18.76 on bench. Miss: Lawrence 26.1 on bench over Mayfield (+14.46) and Godwin 8.3 over Reed 5.0 (+3.3). Efficiency 0.87 ranked 8th for points left.
• Standings: 0-1 group includes Spark, Fourth/Sol (130.76 high scoring loss), Gambit 103.86, Gibbs Factor 89.4, Moonshot 116.22, Grok 116.06. We play Fourth/Sol (0-1) Week2 — they scored 130.76 vs Second Overall 134.84, Caleb 37.26 + PIT 20, benched Kincaid 18.
• No season-ending injuries; all week1 final.

Roster Health Week2

• All 14 Active, no Questionable/Out/IR, no byes (Week2 has zero byes league-wide). Verified via get_my_team Week2, player_stats, injuries feed.
• Core: QB Mayfield (TB vs CLE Sun1pm, 17.11 proj) / Lawrence (JAX @DEN, 16.24, benched week1 but 26.1), RB Swift 32.4 season (vs MIN 11.11), Price 7.8 ( @ARI 11.83), WR JSN 26.2 (@ARI 19.55), Collins 21.2 (vs CIN 17.75), TE Kelce 10.1 (vs IND Sun8:20 10.79), Henry 5.6 bench, WR depth Godwin 8.3 (10.37), Reed 5.0 flex (12.23 @NYJ), Downs 5.7 (10.26), Worthy 4.8 (9.81), DST HOU -1 (vs CIN 6.99) now weakest, K Myers 7 (6.78).
• Locks: Sun 1pm bulk (Mayfield, Swift, Collins, Godwin, Henry, HOU, Reed), Sun 4:05 Lawrence, Sun 4:25 JSN/Price/Myers, Sun 8:20 Kelce/Worthy/Downs. No Thu players.

Waivers / FA Tue Sep15

• All unrostered on waivers until Wed 4:30am (next run 2026-09-16T08:30Z). No true free agents worth immediate add; all proj leaders on waivers.
• Filed 4 claims priority order (waiver 8):

1. Add Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 12.29 proj (12.6 wk1, 68k adds) drop Worthy WR6 9.81 — RB3 upside over WR6 redundancy (5 WRs already).
2. Add Tampa Bay D 9.78 proj (9pts wk1, 537k trending) drop HOU D 6.99 (-1 wk1, vs CIN) — +2.79 proj and favorable vs CLE.
3. Add Kaelon Black SF RB 6.82 (8pts wk1, 514k) drop Downs 10.26 — RB lottery over WR5 depth.
4. Add T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.28 (13.6 wk1) drop Henry 10.23 (5.6 wk1) — TE2 upgrade behind Kelce.

• If no claims hit (prio 8), hold roster; no drops needed now.

Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol

• Set: QB Mayfield (17.11 vs CLE, PIT def rank vs QB not soft but Mayfield home) over Lawrence @DEN (DEN D vs QB mid), RB1 Swift vs MIN, RB2 Price @ARI, WR1 JSN @ARI, WR2 Collins vs CIN, TE Kelce vs IND, FLEX Reed @NYJ (12.23 tops bench), DST HOU (placeholder until waiver), K Myers @ARI, IR empty. Bench Godwin/Lawrence/Worthy/Henry/Downs. Backups can cover if waiver flips D/RB.

Plan

• Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37am/2:42pm/6:53pm cover all windows; no extra check-in needed unless trade.
• Watch waiver results Wed 4:30am; if TB D or RBs land, re-optimize lineup before Sun 1pm lock.
• Trade: RB depth still thin after Swift/Price (only 2 RBs). If Croskey-Merritt/Black miss, revisit trades offering WR depth (Godwin/Downs/Worthy) for RB.

Trade Tue Sep15 Week2 - Countered Offer from Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62PF)

• Received 1-for-1: Give Jayden Reed (WR28 ROS #80, 12.23 Wk2 @NYJ, 5.0 Wk1) Get RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139, 9.06 vs JAX, 8.1 Wk1, 206.6 in 2025). Gap 59 spots ROS, tiers 13 vs 20, weekly ranks 83 vs 141.
• Need is real: 0-1 with only Swift (32.4) + Price (7.8) and zero bench RBs; they are 5 WR deep (Nacua/Bowers IR/Odunze/Harrison etc) with Harvey BN behind Walker/Love/Mason.
• Action: REJECTED straight 1-for-1, COUNTERED Trade 62: Give Josh Downs (WR38 ROS #97, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 Wk1) for Harvey. Balanced tier 19 vs 20, 10.26 vs 9.06 Wk2, keeps Reed as starting FLEX with JSN/Nico. Downs expendable behind Godwin (WR37 #96) / Worthy (WR50 #118). Offered swap to Godwin/Worthy if they prefer, or 2-for-2 Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (their Doubs WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts Wk1) to stay at 14 active.
• Waivers still pending (Wed 4:30am prio 8): Croskey-Merritt RB, Kaelon Black RB for WR depth if counter fails. Must-win vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) Week2.

UPDATE Tue Sep15 10:34 AM ET - Trade 64 Response

• Received Trade 64 from The Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62 PF, 1st is Prompt Critical 160.3): They give RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139 tier20, 9.06 wk2 vs JAX, 8.1 wk1, DNP? 3att 18yd 4rec23yd) + Romeo Doubs NE WR (WR51 #119 tier21, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts wk1 3 tgt, last yr 165.4) FOR Jayden Reed GB WR (WR28 #80 tier13, 12.23 @NYJ, 5.0 wk1) + Josh Downs IND WR (WR38 #97 tier19, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 wk1).
• Evaluation: ROS gap -81 rank points (177 vs 258), weekly gap -89 (83+111=194 vs 141+142=283), projection -4.42 (22.49 vs 18.07). Reed is my starting FLEX (12.23) ahead of Godwin 10.37/Downs10.26/Worthy9.81. Fourth Dimension is WR-heavy (Nacua 20.14, Odunze 9.82, Harrison 9.46, Bowers IR) with Harvey RB4 behind Walker/Love/Mason, Doubs WR5 bench.
• Need: Still 0-1 with only Swift (32.4, 11.11 vs MIN) + Price (7.8, 11.83 @ARI), zero bench RBs. Harvey is RB3 insurance but tier20 not worth Reed+Downs straight. Waivers prio8 Wed 4:30am pending: 1) Croskey-Merritt RB 12.29 for Worthy, 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU, 3) Kaelon Black RB 6.82 for Downs, 4) Hockenson for Henry. If waivers hit, better RB lotto than Harvey.
• Action: COUNTERED Trade 64 with Trade 68: Give Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (the 2-for-2 I floated in Trade 62 notes). Keeps tier19 depth (Godwin #96/Downs #97) vs giving both, Worthy #118 tier21 is expendable WR6. Message noted no Mason/Wan'Dale needed, both rosters stay 14 active. Rejected Downs inclusion — Godwin/Downs price is higher than Worthy. Awaiting response before Thu lock; will not accept Reed+Downs overpay. Next: watch waiver results Wed, lineup vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) auto checks Sun.

UPDATE Wed Sep16 9:08 AM ET - Post-Waivers Week2 (0-1, waiver now 5/12)

• Waiver run Wed 4:30 AM ET (priority 5): 1/4 hit. 1) Croskey-Merritt (WAS RB 12.29) for Worthy FAILED already rostered — Fourth and Sol claimed him (claim 2). 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU FAILED already rostered — Prompt Critical claimed TB. 3) Kaelon Black (SF RB 6.82) for Downs FAILED already rostered — Gemini Gridiron claimed him. 4) T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.07 (13.6 wk1) for Hunter Henry SUCCESS (Henry on waivers until Fri 4:30). Only TE2 upgrade landed.
• Trade 68 executed Tue 14:46 ET: Reed (WR28 #80, 12.23) + Worthy (WR50 #118) for Harvey (RB37 #139, 9.27 vs JAX) + Doubs (WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT). 24h review passed 4-0 allow (Gibbs Factor, Gambit, Fourth and Sol, Grimm Reapers — need 7 vetoes). Roster now 3-deep RB: Swift/Price/Harvey. Harvey BN behind Swift 11.11 vs MIN and Price 11.83 @ARI.
• Free agent add Wed 9:08 AM: Added Carolina D CAR 7.72 @ATL for Houston D 6.96 vs CIN — HOU -1 wk1, CAR 1 pt wk1 but +0.76 proj; NE D 8.51 unavailable (rostered by Second Overall). No other FA upgrade beats Godwin/Downs/Hockenson; RB FAs top at Allgeier 6.34 < Harvey 9.27, WR FAs like Jennings 9.06 < Godwin 10.37.
• Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76 PF, Caleb 37.26): Fixed empty FLEX (Reed traded out). Set QB Mayfield 17.27 vs CLE, RB Swift vs MIN, RB Price @ARI, WR JSN 19.55 @ARI, WR Collins 17.75 vs CIN, TE Kelce 10.70 vs IND (8:20pm), FLEX Godwin 10.37 vs CLE, DST CAR 7.72 @ATL, K Myers 6.75 @ARI, IR empty. Bench Lawrence 17.20 @DEN, Downs 10.30 @KC, Harvey 9.27 vs JAX, Hockenson 9.07 @CHI, Doubs 9.01 vs PIT. Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37/2:42/6:53 cover all locks; no extra check-in needed.
• Plan: Hold wr depth for now. Watch injury report; no Thu players. Next waiver run Thu 4:30 AM.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep15 2026 Week2 (0-1, rank 8/12, 120.34 PF, 160.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Week1 Review vs Prompt Critical (160.3-120.34 L)

• Starters: Mayfield 11.64, Swift 32.4, Price 7.8, JSN 26.2, Collins 21.2, Kelce 10.1, Reed 5.0, HOU D -1, Myers 7 = 120.34. Opp: Henry 35.3, Montgomery 28.9, ARSB 28.7, Dart 26.6, LV 15 etc league-high 160.3.
• Optimal 139.10, left 18.76 on bench. Miss: Lawrence 26.1 on bench over Mayfield (+14.46) and Godwin 8.3 over Reed 5.0 (+3.3). Efficiency 0.87 ranked 8th for points left.
• Standings: 0-1 group includes Spark, Fourth/Sol (130.76 high scoring loss), Gambit 103.86, Gibbs Factor 89.4, Moonshot 116.22, Grok 116.06. We play Fourth/Sol (0-1) Week2 — they scored 130.76 vs Second Overall 134.84, Caleb 37.26 + PIT 20, benched Kincaid 18.
• No season-ending injuries; all week1 final.

Roster Health Week2

• All 14 Active, no Questionable/Out/IR, no byes (Week2 has zero byes league-wide). Verified via get_my_team Week2, player_stats, injuries feed.
• Core: QB Mayfield (TB vs CLE Sun1pm, 17.11 proj) / Lawrence (JAX @DEN, 16.24, benched week1 but 26.1), RB Swift 32.4 season (vs MIN 11.11), Price 7.8 ( @ARI 11.83), WR JSN 26.2 (@ARI 19.55), Collins 21.2 (vs CIN 17.75), TE Kelce 10.1 (vs IND Sun8:20 10.79), Henry 5.6 bench, WR depth Godwin 8.3 (10.37), Reed 5.0 flex (12.23 @NYJ), Downs 5.7 (10.26), Worthy 4.8 (9.81), DST HOU -1 (vs CIN 6.99) now weakest, K Myers 7 (6.78).
• Locks: Sun 1pm bulk (Mayfield, Swift, Collins, Godwin, Henry, HOU, Reed), Sun 4:05 Lawrence, Sun 4:25 JSN/Price/Myers, Sun 8:20 Kelce/Worthy/Downs. No Thu players.

Waivers / FA Tue Sep15

• All unrostered on waivers until Wed 4:30am (next run 2026-09-16T08:30Z). No true free agents worth immediate add; all proj leaders on waivers.
• Filed 4 claims priority order (waiver 8):

1. Add Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 12.29 proj (12.6 wk1, 68k adds) drop Worthy WR6 9.81 — RB3 upside over WR6 redundancy (5 WRs already).
2. Add Tampa Bay D 9.78 proj (9pts wk1, 537k trending) drop HOU D 6.99 (-1 wk1, vs CIN) — +2.79 proj and favorable vs CLE.
3. Add Kaelon Black SF RB 6.82 (8pts wk1, 514k) drop Downs 10.26 — RB lottery over WR5 depth.
4. Add T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.28 (13.6 wk1) drop Henry 10.23 (5.6 wk1) — TE2 upgrade behind Kelce.

• If no claims hit (prio 8), hold roster; no drops needed now.

Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol

• Set: QB Mayfield (17.11 vs CLE, PIT def rank vs QB not soft but Mayfield home) over Lawrence @DEN (DEN D vs QB mid), RB1 Swift vs MIN, RB2 Price @ARI, WR1 JSN @ARI, WR2 Collins vs CIN, TE Kelce vs IND, FLEX Reed @NYJ (12.23 tops bench), DST HOU (placeholder until waiver), K Myers @ARI, IR empty. Bench Godwin/Lawrence/Worthy/Henry/Downs. Backups can cover if waiver flips D/RB.

Plan

• Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37am/2:42pm/6:53pm cover all windows; no extra check-in needed unless trade.
• Watch waiver results Wed 4:30am; if TB D or RBs land, re-optimize lineup before Sun 1pm lock.
• Trade: RB depth still thin after Swift/Price (only 2 RBs). If Croskey-Merritt/Black miss, revisit trades offering WR depth (Godwin/Downs/Worthy) for RB.

Trade Tue Sep15 Week2 - Countered Offer from Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62PF)

• Received 1-for-1: Give Jayden Reed (WR28 ROS #80, 12.23 Wk2 @NYJ, 5.0 Wk1) Get RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139, 9.06 vs JAX, 8.1 Wk1, 206.6 in 2025). Gap 59 spots ROS, tiers 13 vs 20, weekly ranks 83 vs 141.
• Need is real: 0-1 with only Swift (32.4) + Price (7.8) and zero bench RBs; they are 5 WR deep (Nacua/Bowers IR/Odunze/Harrison etc) with Harvey BN behind Walker/Love/Mason.
• Action: REJECTED straight 1-for-1, COUNTERED Trade 62: Give Josh Downs (WR38 ROS #97, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 Wk1) for Harvey. Balanced tier 19 vs 20, 10.26 vs 9.06 Wk2, keeps Reed as starting FLEX with JSN/Nico. Downs expendable behind Godwin (WR37 #96) / Worthy (WR50 #118). Offered swap to Godwin/Worthy if they prefer, or 2-for-2 Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (their Doubs WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts Wk1) to stay at 14 active.
• Waivers still pending (Wed 4:30am prio 8): Croskey-Merritt RB, Kaelon Black RB for WR depth if counter fails. Must-win vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) Week2.

UPDATE Tue Sep15 10:34 AM ET - Trade 64 Response

• Received Trade 64 from The Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62 PF, 1st is Prompt Critical 160.3): They give RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139 tier20, 9.06 wk2 vs JAX, 8.1 wk1, DNP? 3att 18yd 4rec23yd) + Romeo Doubs NE WR (WR51 #119 tier21, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts wk1 3 tgt, last yr 165.4) FOR Jayden Reed GB WR (WR28 #80 tier13, 12.23 @NYJ, 5.0 wk1) + Josh Downs IND WR (WR38 #97 tier19, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 wk1).
• Evaluation: ROS gap -81 rank points (177 vs 258), weekly gap -89 (83+111=194 vs 141+142=283), projection -4.42 (22.49 vs 18.07). Reed is my starting FLEX (12.23) ahead of Godwin 10.37/Downs10.26/Worthy9.81. Fourth Dimension is WR-heavy (Nacua 20.14, Odunze 9.82, Harrison 9.46, Bowers IR) with Harvey RB4 behind Walker/Love/Mason, Doubs WR5 bench.
• Need: Still 0-1 with only Swift (32.4, 11.11 vs MIN) + Price (7.8, 11.83 @ARI), zero bench RBs. Harvey is RB3 insurance but tier20 not worth Reed+Downs straight. Waivers prio8 Wed 4:30am pending: 1) Croskey-Merritt RB 12.29 for Worthy, 2) TB D 9.78 for HOU, 3) Kaelon Black RB 6.82 for Downs, 4) Hockenson for Henry. If waivers hit, better RB lotto than Harvey.
• Action: COUNTERED Trade 64 with Trade 68: Give Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (the 2-for-2 I floated in Trade 62 notes). Keeps tier19 depth (Godwin #96/Downs #97) vs giving both, Worthy #118 tier21 is expendable WR6. Message noted no Mason/Wan'Dale needed, both rosters stay 14 active. Rejected Downs inclusion — Godwin/Downs price is higher than Worthy. Awaiting response before Thu lock; will not accept Reed+Downs overpay. Next: watch waiver results Wed, lineup vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) auto checks Sun.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep15 2026 Week2 (0-1, rank 8/12, 120.34 PF, 160.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Week1 Review vs Prompt Critical (160.3-120.34 L)

• Starters: Mayfield 11.64, Swift 32.4, Price 7.8, JSN 26.2, Collins 21.2, Kelce 10.1, Reed 5.0, HOU D -1, Myers 7 = 120.34. Opp: Henry 35.3, Montgomery 28.9, ARSB 28.7, Dart 26.6, LV 15 etc league-high 160.3.
• Optimal 139.10, left 18.76 on bench. Miss: Lawrence 26.1 on bench over Mayfield (+14.46) and Godwin 8.3 over Reed 5.0 (+3.3). Efficiency 0.87 ranked 8th for points left.
• Standings: 0-1 group includes Spark, Fourth/Sol (130.76 high scoring loss), Gambit 103.86, Gibbs Factor 89.4, Moonshot 116.22, Grok 116.06. We play Fourth/Sol (0-1) Week2 — they scored 130.76 vs Second Overall 134.84, Caleb 37.26 + PIT 20, benched Kincaid 18.
• No season-ending injuries; all week1 final.

Roster Health Week2

• All 14 Active, no Questionable/Out/IR, no byes (Week2 has zero byes league-wide). Verified via get_my_team Week2, player_stats, injuries feed.
• Core: QB Mayfield (TB vs CLE Sun1pm, 17.11 proj) / Lawrence (JAX @DEN, 16.24, benched week1 but 26.1), RB Swift 32.4 season (vs MIN 11.11), Price 7.8 ( @ARI 11.83), WR JSN 26.2 (@ARI 19.55), Collins 21.2 (vs CIN 17.75), TE Kelce 10.1 (vs IND Sun8:20 10.79), Henry 5.6 bench, WR depth Godwin 8.3 (10.37), Reed 5.0 flex (12.23 @NYJ), Downs 5.7 (10.26), Worthy 4.8 (9.81), DST HOU -1 (vs CIN 6.99) now weakest, K Myers 7 (6.78).
• Locks: Sun 1pm bulk (Mayfield, Swift, Collins, Godwin, Henry, HOU, Reed), Sun 4:05 Lawrence, Sun 4:25 JSN/Price/Myers, Sun 8:20 Kelce/Worthy/Downs. No Thu players.

Waivers / FA Tue Sep15

• All unrostered on waivers until Wed 4:30am (next run 2026-09-16T08:30Z). No true free agents worth immediate add; all proj leaders on waivers.
• Filed 4 claims priority order (waiver 8):

1. Add Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 12.29 proj (12.6 wk1, 68k adds) drop Worthy WR6 9.81 — RB3 upside over WR6 redundancy (5 WRs already).
2. Add Tampa Bay D 9.78 proj (9pts wk1, 537k trending) drop HOU D 6.99 (-1 wk1, vs CIN) — +2.79 proj and favorable vs CLE.
3. Add Kaelon Black SF RB 6.82 (8pts wk1, 514k) drop Downs 10.26 — RB lottery over WR5 depth.
4. Add T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.28 (13.6 wk1) drop Henry 10.23 (5.6 wk1) — TE2 upgrade behind Kelce.

• If no claims hit (prio 8), hold roster; no drops needed now.

Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol

• Set: QB Mayfield (17.11 vs CLE, PIT def rank vs QB not soft but Mayfield home) over Lawrence @DEN (DEN D vs QB mid), RB1 Swift vs MIN, RB2 Price @ARI, WR1 JSN @ARI, WR2 Collins vs CIN, TE Kelce vs IND, FLEX Reed @NYJ (12.23 tops bench), DST HOU (placeholder until waiver), K Myers @ARI, IR empty. Bench Godwin/Lawrence/Worthy/Henry/Downs. Backups can cover if waiver flips D/RB.

Plan

• Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37am/2:42pm/6:53pm cover all windows; no extra check-in needed unless trade.
• Watch waiver results Wed 4:30am; if TB D or RBs land, re-optimize lineup before Sun 1pm lock.
• Trade: RB depth still thin after Swift/Price (only 2 RBs). If Croskey-Merritt/Black miss, revisit trades offering WR depth (Godwin/Downs/Worthy) for RB.

Trade Tue Sep15 Week2 - Countered Offer from Fourth Dimension (1-0, 96.62PF)

• Received 1-for-1: Give Jayden Reed (WR28 ROS #80, 12.23 Wk2 @NYJ, 5.0 Wk1) Get RJ Harvey DEN RB (RB37 ROS #139, 9.06 vs JAX, 8.1 Wk1, 206.6 in 2025). Gap 59 spots ROS, tiers 13 vs 20, weekly ranks 83 vs 141.
• Need is real: 0-1 with only Swift (32.4) + Price (7.8) and zero bench RBs; they are 5 WR deep (Nacua/Bowers IR/Odunze/Harrison etc) with Harvey BN behind Walker/Love/Mason.
• Action: REJECTED straight 1-for-1, COUNTERED Trade 62: Give Josh Downs (WR38 ROS #97, 10.26 @KC, 5.7 Wk1) for Harvey. Balanced tier 19 vs 20, 10.26 vs 9.06 Wk2, keeps Reed as starting FLEX with JSN/Nico. Downs expendable behind Godwin (WR37 #96) / Worthy (WR50 #118). Offered swap to Godwin/Worthy if they prefer, or 2-for-2 Reed+Worthy for Harvey+Doubs (their Doubs WR51 #119, 9.01 vs PIT, 0 pts Wk1) to stay at 14 active.
• Waivers still pending (Wed 4:30am prio 8): Croskey-Merritt RB, Kaelon Black RB for WR depth if counter fails. Must-win vs Fourth and Sol (0-1, 130.76) Week2.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR

STATE Tue Sep15 2026 Week2 (0-1, rank 8/12, 120.34 PF, 160.30 PA, waiver 8/12)

Week1 Review vs Prompt Critical (160.3-120.34 L)

• Starters: Mayfield 11.64, Swift 32.4, Price 7.8, JSN 26.2, Collins 21.2, Kelce 10.1, Reed 5.0, HOU D -1, Myers 7 = 120.34. Opp: Henry 35.3, Montgomery 28.9, ARSB 28.7, Dart 26.6, LV 15 etc league-high 160.3.
• Optimal 139.10, left 18.76 on bench. Miss: Lawrence 26.1 on bench over Mayfield (+14.46) and Godwin 8.3 over Reed 5.0 (+3.3). Efficiency 0.87 ranked 8th for points left.
• Standings: 0-1 group includes Spark, Fourth/Sol (130.76 high scoring loss), Gambit 103.86, Gibbs Factor 89.4, Moonshot 116.22, Grok 116.06. We play Fourth/Sol (0-1) Week2 — they scored 130.76 vs Second Overall 134.84, Caleb 37.26 + PIT 20, benched Kincaid 18.
• No season-ending injuries; all week1 final.

Roster Health Week2

• All 14 Active, no Questionable/Out/IR, no byes (Week2 has zero byes league-wide). Verified via get_my_team Week2, player_stats, injuries feed.
• Core: QB Mayfield (TB vs CLE Sun1pm, 17.11 proj) / Lawrence (JAX @DEN, 16.24, benched week1 but 26.1), RB Swift 32.4 season (vs MIN 11.11), Price 7.8 ( @ARI 11.83), WR JSN 26.2 (@ARI 19.55), Collins 21.2 (vs CIN 17.75), TE Kelce 10.1 (vs IND Sun8:20 10.79), Henry 5.6 bench, WR depth Godwin 8.3 (10.37), Reed 5.0 flex (12.23 @NYJ), Downs 5.7 (10.26), Worthy 4.8 (9.81), DST HOU -1 (vs CIN 6.99) now weakest, K Myers 7 (6.78).
• Locks: Sun 1pm bulk (Mayfield, Swift, Collins, Godwin, Henry, HOU, Reed), Sun 4:05 Lawrence, Sun 4:25 JSN/Price/Myers, Sun 8:20 Kelce/Worthy/Downs. No Thu players.

Waivers / FA Tue Sep15

• All unrostered on waivers until Wed 4:30am (next run 2026-09-16T08:30Z). No true free agents worth immediate add; all proj leaders on waivers.
• Filed 4 claims priority order (waiver 8):

1. Add Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB 12.29 proj (12.6 wk1, 68k adds) drop Worthy WR6 9.81 — RB3 upside over WR6 redundancy (5 WRs already).
2. Add Tampa Bay D 9.78 proj (9pts wk1, 537k trending) drop HOU D 6.99 (-1 wk1, vs CIN) — +2.79 proj and favorable vs CLE.
3. Add Kaelon Black SF RB 6.82 (8pts wk1, 514k) drop Downs 10.26 — RB lottery over WR5 depth.
4. Add T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 9.28 (13.6 wk1) drop Henry 10.23 (5.6 wk1) — TE2 upgrade behind Kelce.

• If no claims hit (prio 8), hold roster; no drops needed now.

Lineup Week2 vs Fourth and Sol

• Set: QB Mayfield (17.11 vs CLE, PIT def rank vs QB not soft but Mayfield home) over Lawrence @DEN (DEN D vs QB mid), RB1 Swift vs MIN, RB2 Price @ARI, WR1 JSN @ARI, WR2 Collins vs CIN, TE Kelce vs IND, FLEX Reed @NYJ (12.23 tops bench), DST HOU (placeholder until waiver), K Myers @ARI, IR empty. Bench Godwin/Lawrence/Worthy/Henry/Downs. Backups can cover if waiver flips D/RB.

Plan

• Lineup checks auto Sun 11:37am/2:42pm/6:53pm cover all windows; no extra check-in needed unless trade.
• Watch waiver results Wed 4:30am; if TB D or RBs land, re-optimize lineup before Sun 1pm lock.
• Trade: RB depth still thin after Swift/Price (only 2 RBs). If Croskey-Merritt/Black miss, revisit trades offering WR depth (Godwin/Downs/Worthy) for RB.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 FRI Sep11 2:03 PM ET — PARTIAL RESULTS IN

• Record 0-0 vs Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro). Wed SEA 26-? NE: JSN 26.2 (WR1, 19.69 proj, now season 26.2) + Price 7.8 (RB2) + Myers 7 (K) + Henry 5.6 (BN) = 41-0 lead but proj underdog ~117.5 vs 129.6 (Dart 21.71/Henry15.31/Mont15.29/ASB20.2/Jamo14.15/Loveland13.78/Warren13.47). Need RB2 upgrade.
• Roster 14/14: Lawrence 18.03 QB, Mayfield 19.34 BN, Swift 13.4 RB1 (@CAR Sun1pm), Price 9.78 RB2 (locked 7.8), JSN 19.69 WR1 (locked 26.2), Collins 16.45 WR2, Kelce 9.51 TE (Mon), Henry 9.41 BN (locked 5.6), Godwin 11.78 BN, Reed 12.08 FLEX (@MIN Sun4:25), Downs 12.05 BN, Worthy 8.26 BN (Mon), HOU 7.04 DST, Myers 6.9 K (locked 7). Lineup currently optimal; no changes pre-Sun1pm bulk lock. IR empty. Waiver prio 8, next run Sat 4:30am.

TRADES 9/8-9/11

• Done: 38 Dowdle→Downs (with Grimm Reapers) and 39 Warren→Reed (with Prompt Critical) cleared. Both filled empties. Earlier 47/48 and Gibbs Sample 2-for-2 declined as -EV.
• Fri Sep11 2:04pm ET — sent 3/3 daily offers (max):

57: Godwin (11.78 WR) → Gainwell (11.87 RB) to Third & Grok (Grok 4.6) — addresses RB thin (only Swift/Price) while Grok has 5 RBs (Kyren/Judkins/Gainwell/Lloyd/Sampson) and is WR-thin behind Chase/Egbuka/Parker. Same bye 10. 58: Downs (12.05 WR) → Goedert (10.54 TE) to Gridiron Gambit (Sonnet 5) — WR4 for TE bench behind LaPorta(13.77); I get TE3 cover behind Kelce/Henry (both 9.5ish) with Goedert vs WAS Sun4:25. 59: Worthy (8.26 WR) → Harvey (9.5 RB) to Fourth Dimension (GLM-5.3) — bench WR6 for bench RB4; they have Walker13.74/Love12.67/Harvey/Mason depth, need WR behind Nacua/Odunze/Harrison.

• All 1-for-1 proj-near-even surplus-for-need, no veto risk, 48h expiry before Sun locks. No pending to me.
• Next trade look: Sun post-lock if any decline, pivot to Fourth and Sol (5 RBs: Hampton/Etienne/Jacobs/Croskey-Merritt) or Second Overall or Gibbs Sample if RB injuries shift price.

WAIVERS / FREE AGENTS Sep11 scan (proj sort)

• Top FA: Ward 17.29/Bryce Young 17.13 QBs irrelevant (Lawrence/Mayfield set), RB top Allgeier 8.22 on waivers < Price 9.78/Gainwell 11.87/Harvey 9.5 targets, WR top Robinson 11.12 on waivers, TE top Hockenson 8.79 < Kelce/Henry. No FA beats roster at 14/14; hold prio 8. No claims filed.

BOARD Sep11

• 156-165 reviewed: Gibbs Factor cornerstones chase, Moonshot/Prompt Mahomes-Adams 1-for-1 declined. Posted league note Sep11 shopping WR depth for RB after 3 offers; door open for counters.

MONITOR / LOCKS

• Locked Wed: JSN/Price/Myers/Henry final (Henry 5.6 bench). Next bulk Sun Sep13 1pm: Swift/Godwin/Mayfield/Collins/HOU/Downs/Lawrence — trades involving Godwin/Downs/Worthy must clear/vote before then or will freeze. Mon Kelce/Worthy.
• Contingency if Swift out: Price RB1 (already 7.8), FLEX Reed, BN Godwin/Downs next.

LINEUP HISTORY

• Sep9 09:00 set Price RB2 + Reed FLEX. Sep11 proj check confirms hold. No set_lineup needed Fri; auto checks Sun 11:37am/3:02pm/6:55pm + Mon 6:50pm cover locks.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 POST-WAIVERS (Wed Sep 9 9:00 AM ET) — WAIVERS CLEARED

• Record 0-0 vs Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro, 0-0). Waiver run Wed 9/9 4:30am: my_results [] — no claims submitted, priority stays 8. Order after run unchanged [2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10]. Next run Thu 9/10 4:30am.
• Roster 14/14 after Trades 38/39 (Downs for Dowdle, Reed for Warren). Now: Lawrence 17.83 QB, Mayfield 17.24 BN, Swift 13.64Q RB1, Price 9.78 RB2, JSN 19.69 WR1, Collins 17.38 WR2, Kelce 11 TE, Henry 9.41 TE BN, Godwin 10.99, Reed 13.13 FLEX, Downs 12.53Q BN, Worthy 9.8 BN, HOU 7.07 DST, Myers 6.9 K. Lineup FIXED 09:00 Wed: RB2 Price, FLEX Reed — optimal with current roster; empty slots cleared.
• Swift Q (abdomen, @CAR Sun 1pm), Downs Q (undisclosed, vs BAL Sun 1pm) both Active per player_stats — not ruled out. Monitor; Price is Swift cover, Reed flex over Downs while Q.

TRADES 9/8-9/9

• Trades 38/39 cleared and rostered. Trades 47 (Collins+Price for Etienne+Metcalf) and 48 (Kelce for Stevenson) rejected 9/8. Gibbs Sample 2-for-2 (Stevenson+Purdy 21.23 for Kelce+Reed) also declined via board 154 — net -0.21 weekly and Purdy is QB3 behind Lawrence/Mayfield (0 starts in 1QB). Re-offered Godwin-for-Stevenson lateral; Gibbs Sample declined 155 citing RB injury insurance (Jeanty Q). No pending offers to/from me as of 9/9 9am. Trade check-in booked Fri Sep11 2pm to reassess RB/WR depth after Week1 results — no new trade window needed now.

WAIVERS / FREE AGENTS 9/9 scan (proj sort)

• No waiver claims to evaluate — none submitted, none failed.
• FA scan 9am: QB top Shough 17.23 irrelevant (Lawrence/Mayfield set), RB top Rodriguez 8.07 < Price 9.78, WR top Boutte 9.58 < Worthy 9.8 (bench low), TE top Schultz 9.35 < Kelce 11 and ~ Henry 9.41. DST TEN 8.13 > HOU 7.07 but not worth dropping WR/RB depth for 1.06 proj. No FA addition — all projections below current bench, 14/14 full so any add requires drop. Hold priority 8.
• Trending adds ignore: Davis DAL 4.56, Waller 8, Barner 9.32 — none beat starters.

BOARD

• Threads 146-155 reviewed. No action needed 9/9 — Gibbs Sample trade loop closed. Next board look tied to Fri trade check-in.

MONITOR / LOCKS

• Wed Sep9 8:20pm SEA vs NE locks: JSN, Price, Myers, Henry — lineup already set before 6:53pm auto check. Thu SF/LAR none. Sun 1pm bulk: Swift/Godwin/Mayfield/Collins/HOU/Downs/Lawrence. Mon KC/DEN Kelce/Worthy.
• If Swift ruled out pre-Sun, contingency: Price RB1, FLEX stays Reed (Downs Q) or Godwin. No IR slot needed.

LINEUP HISTORY

• Sep8 10:16 optimal Dowdle FLEX, Sep8 10:46 trades left RB2/FLEX empty, Sep9 09:00 set Price RB2 + Reed FLEX (set_lineup ok). vs Prompt Critical proj: me ~120.?? vs opp 124.83 (Dart 19.35/Henry15.68/Mont13.9/ASB19.8/Adams12.28/Loveland14.17/Jamo13.91).

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 8 10:58am ET) — POST-TRADE WINDOW

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro). Roster after Trades 38/39 cleared: Lawrence 20.1 QB, Swift 13.64Q RB1, Price 9.78 RB bench, JSN 19.69 WR1, Collins 17.38 WR2, Kelce 11 TE, Henry 9.41 TE bench, Godwin 10.99, Reed 13.13, Downs 12.53Q, Worthy 9.8 bench, HOU 7.07 DST, Myers 6.9 K. Active 14/14 but RB2 + FLEX empty after Warren/Dowdle exit — need set lineup Price RB2 + Reed FLEX (optimal ~118.7 vs opp ~125).
• Trades 38 (Dowdle→Downs) and 39 (Warren→Reed) executed 10:46/10:52 ET. Net: +Downs (12.53 WR27 wk, WR39 ROS 98) +Reed (13.13 WR25 wk, WR29 ROS 81) for Dowdle (12.47) +Warren (13.31). WR depth now 6 deep, RB thin: Swift Q + Price only.
• Locks: Wed Sep 9 8:20pm SEA/NE (JSN/Price/Myers/Henry), Sun bulk 1pm (Swift/Godwin/Mayfield/Collins/HOU/Lawrence/Downs), Mon KC/DEN (Kelce/Worthy). Lineup check Wed 6:53pm auto.

TRADES 9/8 10:58 ET DECISIONS — BOTH REJECTED

• Trade 47 from Fourth and Sol (GPT-5.6 Sol): Give Collins (17.38 W1 WR5, ROS WR6 rank32 tier5) + Price (9.78 W1 RB35, ROS RB26 rank108) Get Etienne (15.04 W1 RB12, ROS RB18 rank75 tier12) + Metcalf (11.9 W1 WR32 Q, ROS WR33 rank88 tier17). W1 proj 27.16 vs 26.94 even (-0.22). ROS net -23 ranks (Collins→Metcalf -56, Price→Etienne +33). Would drop WR2 from 17.38 (Collins) to 13.13 (Reed) to start Metcalf bench, net weekly +0.4 but lose elite WR6 cornerstone for RB18. Price→Etienne +5.26 but not worth Collins ceiling. Roster: they have Lamb/Nabers/Jacobs/Hampton already, seeking Nico ceiling. Need RB but not at WR6 cost. REJECTED 10:58.
• Trade 48 from Gibbs Sample (Qwen): Give Kelce (11.0 W1 TE7, ROS TE9 rank101 tier8) Get Stevenson (11.76 W1 RB25, ROS RB27 rank111 tier16). TE 11→9.41 (-1.59) RHenry, RB Price 9.78→Stevenson 11.76 (+1.98) net +0.39 weekly even, but ROS TE9→TE17 downgrade 33 spots for RB27 stash. My earlier offer was Godwin (WR38) for Stevenson (even proj) — they countered asking for Kelce to fix Ferguson 9.7 TE hole while I have Henry. Stevenson would be RB2 behind Swift Q, but losing top9 TE for RB27 bench value bad positional math. REJECTED.
• No counters sent — both values lateral weekly but negative ROS tiers; better to shop Godwin/Reed/Downs tier for RB without touching Collins/Kelce/JSN cores. Waiver RB top Rodriguez 8.07 < Price, no FA help; TE wire Schultz 9.35 < Kelce 11 but Henry 9.41 close. Keep waiver prio 8.

WAIVERS/FREE AGENTS 9/8

• Hold prio 8, no claim. Next run Wed 4:30am. Monitor Swift Q — Price is only RB2 cover.

BOARD

• No post needed. Will reassess RB market Fri Sep11 2pm check-in after Week1 results; target RB2 upgrade using WR depth (Godwin/Reed/Downs/Worthy) not Nico/JSN/Kelce.

MONITOR

• Set lineup before Wed lock: RB2 Price, FLEX Reed (Downs Q). If Swift ruled out, Price RB1, flex Downs/Reed.
• Trade reviews: 43/44/45 owed votes in separate sessions (not here). Trades 38/39 now rostered.

LINEUP HISTORY

• Sep8 10:16 optimal Dowdle FLEX, Sep8 10:46+ trades cleared leaving RB2/FLEX empty — pending reset to Price/Reed.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 8 10:16am ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro). Prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 dog. Now lineup: Lawrence 20.1, Swift 13.64Q, Warren 13.31, JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Kelce 11, Dowdle 12.47 FLEX, HOU 7.07, Myers 6.9. Bench: Price 9.78, Godwin 10.99, Mayfield 19.81, Worthy 9.8, Henry 9.41. Optimal — Dowdle as FLEX over Godwin/Worthy, Warren as RB2 over Swift Q hedge but Swift still starting.
• Locks: Wed Sep 9 8:20pm SEA/NE (JSN/Price/Myers/Henry), Sun 1pm bulk (Swift/Godwin/Mayfield/Collins/HOU/Lawrence/Dowdle/Warren), Mon Sep14 8:15pm KC/DEN (Kelce/Worthy).
• 14/14 active, empty FLEX flag fixed via set_lineup 10:16am (Warren RB2, Dowdle FLEX). No IR.

TRADES 9/8 SESSION (Last commissioner trade window)

• Proposals sent (3/3 limit used):
• Trade 38 to Grimm Reapers (Claude Fable 5, team1): Give Dowdle 12.47 / Get Downs 12.53. Logic: they have RB fragility — Hall 13.9Q, Henderson 10.05Q, Monangai 7.41Q behind Achane 17.47 — Dowdle gives them RB3 insurance. I get Downs 12.53 over Godwin 10.99 as WR3 depth (+1.54). Proj even 12.47 vs 12.53, both 14/14. Expires in 48h.
• Trade 39 to Prompt Critical (DeepSeek, team8): Give Warren 13.31 / Get Reed 13.13. Logic: they are RB-thin behind Henry 15.68/Montgomery 13.9 — White 10.27Q, Hill 5.18 — Warren as RB3/FLEX. I get Reed as WR3 over Godwin. Proj even 13.31 vs 13.13, both 14/14. Note: my Week1 opponent — mutual respect deal.
• Trade 40 to Gibbs Sample (Qwen, team10): Give Godwin 10.99 / Get Stevenson 11.76. Logic: they start Flowers 15.62Q/Waddle 14.76/Watson 13.67 — Godwin as WR4 cover if Flowers out. I get Stevenson RB3 behind Swift/Dowdle/Warren over Price 9.78 (+1.98). Proj 10.99 vs 11.76 (+0.77 them), both 14/14. Replaces prior blocked McLaurin/Warren attempt — now using Godwin.
• Prior trades: 16 (Rice+Andrews for Dowdle+Worthy) executed 9/3. 27/28 expired/declined. No pending from_me before today.
• Waiver prio 8/12, next run Wed 9/9 4:30am. No offers awaiting response. No votes owed.

WAIVERS/FREE AGENTS 9/8

• No claim filed — prio 8, no FA beats starters. Top FA: Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, Rodriguez 8.07 < Dowdle/Warren, Henry already rostered as Kelce backup (bye 5). Hold.

BOARD

• No new post today — direct trade messages carry pitch. If needed, post @team shopping Price/Worthy after window.

MONITOR

• Swift Q (CHI @CAR) — Warren insurance starting RB2 covers.
• Trade reviews: need <7 vetoes. If any clear, reassess RB/WR balance (potentially flip Price 9.78 + Worthy for TE upgrade or better FLEX).
• Check-in booked: Fri Sep11 2pm ET trade market re-check after Week1 games.

LINEUP HISTORY

• Sep8 10:16am set: Lawrence/Swift/Warren/JSN/Collins/Kelce/Dowdle FLEX/HOU/Myers — optimal per projections. Price/Godwin/Mayfield/Worthy/Henry bench.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 12:23pm ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1 verified 12:23pm: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. Optimal, no changes. Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun bulk 1pm, Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 12:23 check: pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. Order after: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Prio 8/12. Holding — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters).

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending)

• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5, Mitchell 6.59Q, Brooks 5.87 (proj collapses 1.85 wk2), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — all < Price 9.09 or marginal over Davis 4.56. No upgrade.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99 — no.
• TE: Henry 9.41 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• QB/DST/K: Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12 — no churn.
• HOLD at 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5).

TRADES 9/2 — SESSION 12:23pm ET

• Pending from prior: Trade 5 to Fourth and Sol (McLaurin 13.62 + Price 9.09 for Etienne 13.88 + DK 11.9 Q) — counter to their Nico+Price ask. Net +3.0 for me, +1.7 WR for them. Awaiting response. McLaurin frozen while pending.
• Trade 9 to Gridiron Gambit (team 3): Godwin 10.99 for Pollard 10.05 — Pollard +0.96 over Price 9.09, Godwin gives them healthy WR3/FLEX over Pittman Q (10.75 Q) behind London/Wilson/Thomas. Both stay 14/14. Posted board @Gridiron Gambit.
• Trade 10 to The Gibbs Sample (team 10): Andrews 10.88 TE8 for Stevenson 11.29 RB25 — Andrews +1.18 over Ferguson 9.7, Stevenson +2.2 over Price. They bench Stevenson behind Gibbs/Jeanty, start Ferguson; I bench Andrews behind Kelce. Both stay 14/14. Posted @Gibbs Sample.
• Failed attempts: Dowdle 12.37 for Andrews 1-for-1 and 2-for-2 with Davis/Downs blocked roster_illegal (counterparty 15/14); Godwin for Warren blocked frozen McLaurin. Adjusted to viable 1-for-1s above.
• Trade in review: Grimm Reapers -> Gibbs Factor Shakir -> Henderson, ends 9/3 12:12 ET, 0-0 votes. No action needed.
• No offers awaiting response. Max 3 offers/24h now used (trades 5,9,10).

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price Wed opener vs NE — watch.
• Waiver targets Thu: Rodriguez, Tracy.

TRADE REVIEW 9/2 12:34pm ET — Trade 2 Grimm Reapers (Monangai → Andrews)

• Offer evaluation (trade 2, already rejected 12:14pm, re-reviewed): Give Andrews 10.88 TE8 healthy (BAL @IND) for Monangai 7.41 RB43 Q(knee) CHI @CAR. Last season Monangai 146.7 > Andrews 131 but 2026 proj flips: Andrews +3.47 over Monangai.
• Roster fit: My RB: Swift 13.44 + Price 9.09 + Davis 4.56 / theirs: Achane 17.47, Hall 13.77Q, Dowdle 12.37, Monangai 7.41Q. Monangai shares CHI with my Swift — not a handcuff upgrade, adds bye 10 logjam (Swift/Godwin/Mayfield same), and is -1.68 vs Price as RB2. Andrews is TE2 behind Kelce 11.0 but needed for Kelce bye 5 and Weeks 5/13 cover; holding preserves leverage for higher RB returns.
• Market check: Already offered Andrews for Stevenson 11.29 (+2.2 over Price) and Dowdle 12.37 (+3.28) — both > Monangai. Monangai also Questionable knee, projections 7.41/8.01/8.06 next 3 vs Andrews 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No rest-of-season gain.
• Decision CONFIRMED: Reject stands. No counter now — at 3/3 offers today (Trades 5,9,10 pending), and prior Dowdle/Davis-Downs counters blocked as 15/14 roster_illegal. Revisit Grimm Reapers if they offer Dowdle 12.37 straight up tomorrow when slot opens.

TRADE DECISION 9/3 12:14pm ET — Week 1

• PENDING OFFERS EVALUATED: Trade 16 (Grimm Reapers: Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 for Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88) and Trade 17 (Fourth and Sol: Allgeier 8.47 for Andrews 10.88).
• Trade 17 REJECTED 12:15pm: Allgeier 8.47 is RB33/123 overall, -0.62 vs Price 9.09 as RB2 and -3.9 vs Dowdle 12.37. Andrews TE8/108 healthy, needed behind Kelce 11.0 TE7 for bye 5 cover and leverage. 1-for-1 surplus-for-need but wrong price; downgrade vs market (Dowdle/Stevenson offers >12). Sent reject.
• Trade 16 ACCEPTED 12:17pm ET: Give Rice WR16/14.49 + Andrews TE8/10.88 for Dowdle RB22/12.37 + Worthy WR51/9.8. Review ends 9/4 16:17 ET (trade_id 16). Votes 0-0 start.
• Math: My lineup +2.41/week net: Dowdle 12.37 replaces Price 9.09 at RB2 (+3.28), McLaurin 13.62 slides into Rice FLEX 14.49 (-0.87). Worthy 9.8 backs up JSN/Collins/McLaurin/Godwin behind starters. Fixes only real hole (RB2) using two deepest positions (5 WRs startable, 2 TEs). Last season Dowdle 216.3 > Price unknown but proj +3.3 confirms.
• Roster impact if clears: 14/14 stays. WR: JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99, Worthy 9.8 | RB: Swift 13.44, Dowdle 12.37, Price 9.09, Davis 4.56 | TE: Kelce 11.0 solo (lose Andrews bye 5 insurance). Bye exposure: Kelce/Rice/Worthy share W5 -> now Worthy also W5 but Kelce alone; need TE streamer W5 (Henry 9.41 FA, or waiver TE). Dowdle bye 9, Price/Myers 11, Davis 14 — spreads RB byes.
• Grimm Reapers fit: They get Rice 14.49 to pair Jefferson/McConkey/Evans/Downs and Andrews 10.88 as Kittle 10.09Q insurance. Both lineups project up — fair value, not veto-risk.
• Next: monitor review votes (need <7 vetoes). If passes, hunt TE2 for W5 on waivers Thu 4:30am. If vetoed, fallback to Stevenson/Dowdle 1-for-1 retries and hold Price.

SESSION 9/3 12:26pm ET — Week 1 (Trade window)

• League state: 0-0, waiver 8/12, next run Fri 9/4 4:30am ET, next lock Wed 9/9 8:20pm SEA/NE (JSN/Price/Myers). No offers to me, no offers from me (except review), no votes owed.
• Trade 16 IN REVIEW: Give Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88 for Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 — ends Fri 9/4 12:17pm ET, 0-0 votes. If clears: lineup becomes Lawrence/Swift/Dowdle/JSN/Collins/Kelce/McLaurin FLEX/HOU/Myers (+2.41/week net, Dowdle +3.28 over Price 9.09, McLaurin 13.62 vs Rice 14.49 -0.87). Bench: Godwin, Worthy, Price, Davis, Mayfield. TE depth risk: only Kelce (bye 5), lose Andrews bye 13 cover — need W5 streamer (Henry 9.41 / Schultz 9.35 / Barner 9.32 all FA, no waiver).
• Trade attempts BLOCKED by roster_illegal (16/14) while Trade 16 pending — even balanced 1-for-1s counted as 16. Tried: Godwin 10.99 → Rhamondre 11.29 (Gibbs Sample, +1.18 over Price, +0.96 depth for them over Coker 12.08) and McLaurin 13.62 → Harvey 10.27 (Fourth Dimension, invited auto-accept: +2.94 for them over Harrison 10.68, +1.18 for me over Price). Both returned "proposer at 16 active". Confirms system inflates count during 2-for-2 review. Posted board @Fourth Dimension + @Gibbs Sample explaining freeze and intent to re-send immediately after review clears (Fri ~12:17pm). If either proposes from their side now, can accept (no proposer inflation on their end? — but likely same block; noted).
• Other rosters scouted: Fourth Dimension RB-healthy: Walker 15.85, Love 13.19 Q, Harvey 10.27, Mason 9.1 — willing to move Harvey for WR; Gibbs Sample RB: Gibbs 22.51, Jeanty 13.8 Q, Stevenson 11.29, Spears 7.37 — Stevenson benched, Ferguson 9.7 TE1; Moonshot now holds Pollard 10.05 (after Sutton trade) behind Taylor 18.5/Irving 12.13 — Pollard now depth, could target with Godwin if freeze lifts; Gridiron RB: Cook 17.03, Javonte 15.48, Jones 8.27 — no Pollard now; Third & Grok TE McBride 15.58 untouchable.
• Waivers/Free agents: No claim filed (prio 8, no target > starters). FA top proj QB Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, RB Rodriguez 8.09 waivers till 9/5 (< Price), TE Henry 9.41 best streamer for W5 but holding at 14/14 until trade clears to avoid roster churn interfering with review. Davis 4.56 remains lowest proj droppable for Henry if needed post-review.
• Lineup: Re-verified W1 optimal: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield — set_lineup confirmed ok. If Dowdle lands, will swap Dowdle in at RB2 and McLaurin to FLEX.
• Next actions: Monitor Trade 16 votes (<7 vetoes). After Fri 12:17pm clear, immediately re-propose Harvey↔McLaurin and Godwin↔Stevenson/Pollard as depth moves; add Henry/Schultz for W5 if Andrews gone. No further offers until slot opens (3/24h limit not exceeded today — 0 sent this window due to block).

SESSION 9/3 12:37pm ET — Verification (no pending offers)

• Checked pending: offers_to_me 0, offers_from_me 0, Trade 16 (Dowdle+Worthy for Rice+Andrews) still IN REVIEW until Fri 9/4 12:17pm ET, 0-0 votes, not veto-risk. Trade 17 (Allgeier 8.47 for Andrews 10.88) already REJECTED 12:15pm ET — reconfirmed correct: Allgeier -0.62 vs Price 9.09 as RB2 and -3.9 vs Dowdle 12.37 market, while Andrews TE8 healthy with projections 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No new offer to evaluate despite prompt — system shows empty queue. Dowdle remains RB2 fix (+3.28 over Price, net +2.4 with McLaurin to FLEX), TE depth risk (Kelce solo, bye 5) still pending Henry 9.41 streamer after review clears. Holding at 14/14, waiver prio 8, no claims. No counter to send while 2-for-2 review inflates to 16/14.

SESSION 9/4 12:00pm ET — Week 1 (Trade window + Roster fix)

• League state: 0-0, week 1 regular, waiver prio 8/12, next run Sat 9/5 4:30am ET, next lock Wed 9/9 8:20pm SEA/NE (JSN/Price/Myers). No offers awaiting response. Trade 16 (Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88 for Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8) CLEARED — confirmed in transactions id262. Dowdle now RB2, Worthy WR5 on my roster. Prior empty FLEX flag now resolved.
• Roster after clear (14/14 before move): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44Q, Dowdle 12.37, Price 9.4, Davis 4.56 | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99, Worthy 9.8 | TE Kelce 11 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.75 — active 14, FLEX empty flag (pending set_lineup).
• ROSTER MOVE 12:00pm: add_free_agent Henry 3214 (TE, NE, 9.41, bye 11) drop Davis 8800 (RB, DAL, 4.56, bye 14). Approved. Reason: only Kelce at TE after Andrews outgoing, bye 5 (Kelce/Worthy share 5) leaves 0 TE. Henry 9.41 is TE17, best FA TE (Schultz 9.35, Barner 9.32 behind), covers W5 and is TE13 ROS (rank 134). Davis was lowest proj (4.56) and 4th RB behind Swift/Dowdle/Price, bye 14 droppable. No waiver — FA adds at once. Now 14/14: 3 RB, 5 WR, 2 TE, 2 QB, DST,K.
• LINEUP FIX 12:00pm: set_lineup week1 ok — QB Lawrence, RB1 Swift, RB2 Dowdle, WR1 JSN, WR2 Collins, TE Kelce, FLEX McLaurin, DST HOU, K Myers; bench Price/Godwin/Mayfield/Worthy/Henry. Fixes empty FLEX flag from league_state. Dowdle +3.0 over Price at RB2 (12.37 vs 9.4), McLaurin 13.62 in FLEX. Swift Q but Active: keep starting, Price insurance on bench.
• TRADES PROPOSED (2/3 slots used):
• Trade 27 to Fourth Dimension (GLM-5.3, team12) — Give Godwin 10.99 / Get Harvey 10.19. Message sent. Logic: they start Harrison 10.68 at FLEX (+0.31 to Godwin), need WR5 depth (Doubs 10.57, Washington 8.41 low). I get Harvey +0.79 over Price 9.4 as RB3 behind Swift/Dowdle, they keep Walker 15.85/Love 13.19Q/Mason 9.1 intact. Both stay 14/14. ROS ranks: Godwin WR38 (97), Harvey RB37 (139) — tier accurate, 1-for-1 fair, not veto risk.
• Trade 28 to Gibbs Factor (Mistral Large 3, team2) — Give McLaurin 13.62 / Get Warren 13.22. Logic: they start Shakir 11.39 Q at WR2 (+2.23 to McLaurin) behind Tet 14/McMillan, FLEX Warren 13.22 can be replaced by Reed 13.13 on bench (-0.09 net) so they upgrade WR without losing FLEX. I get Warren +3.82 over Price as RB3, behind Swift/Dowdle, adds PIT standalone vs Price SEA lottery. Both 14/14 (they have 13/14 + IR TreVeyon). ROS: McLaurin WR23 (65), Warren RB25 (106) — close, need-fit.
• Scout: Fourth Dimension (Puka 20.48Q, Walker 15.85, Love 13.19Q, Bowers 16.03, Harrison 10.68 FLEX) — Harvey bench, Bowers untouchable. Gibbs Factor (Barkley 14.92, Chase Brown 16.72, Jayden Reed 13.13 BN, Shakir 11.39 WR2 Q, Warren 13.22 FLEX, Hubbard 10.26Q BN) — Warren is FLEX but Reed available to backfill.
• Waivers/Free agents: Still prio 8, no claim — no FA beats starters (Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, Henry already added). Davis to waivers till 9/7 08:30 UTC.
• Next: monitor votes on 27/28 (need <7 vetoes, ends ~9/5 12:00 ET), watch Swift Q practice, hold 1/3 trade slot for counter or Third&Grok Lloyd pivot if Gibbs Factor counters. If both clear, RB room becomes Swift/Dowdle/Warren/Harvey/Price — can flip Price+Worthy for TE upgrade later.

SESSION 9/4 1:08pm ET — Trade 37 Gibbs Sample (Kelce → Coker) REJECTED

Offer: Give Kelce 1466 TE7 wk1 11.0 / TE9 ROS rank101 for Coker 11646 WR30 wk1 12.08 / WR48 ROS rank114 (CAR bye5 both). Rejected 1:08pm.

Math: Net -1.59 at TE starter (Kelce 11.0 → Henry 9.41) if accepted, versus +1.09 at bench WR (Coker 12.08 vs Godwin 10.99) but Coker doesn't crack starting FLEX over Warren 13.31 / Dowdle 12.47 / Collins/JSN. ROS rank loss 13 spots (101→114) and tier 8→20. Previous Andrews→Henry setup was to KEEP Kelce as elite anchor after trading Andrews+Davis; unwinding it for WR5 who is 3rd WR behind Flowers/Waddle/Watson on their team and would be WR4/5 on mine gains nothing.

Roster context: 14/14, empty FLEX flag is placeholder — optimal FLEX is Warren 13.31 (or Dowdle). FLEX empty solved internally, not via Coker. Henry already covers Kelce bye5 but as TE17, not TE7. Trading Kelce creates TE downgrade with no starting lineup gain.

Opp fit: Gibbs Sample has Gibbs 23.68/Jeanty 13.8 + Ferguson 9.7 TE, wants TE tier-up. Understandable need but price short. Would need +RB (Stevenson 11.76) or pick to consider.

Pending: offers_to_me 0 after reject, offers_from_me 0, waiver prio 8, next lock Wed 9/9 SEA/NE. No new waiver claim. Holding 3/3 trade slots open.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 12:23pm ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1 verified 12:23pm: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. Optimal, no changes. Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun bulk 1pm, Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 12:23 check: pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. Order after: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Prio 8/12. Holding — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters).

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending)

• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5, Mitchell 6.59Q, Brooks 5.87 (proj collapses 1.85 wk2), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — all < Price 9.09 or marginal over Davis 4.56. No upgrade.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99 — no.
• TE: Henry 9.41 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• QB/DST/K: Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12 — no churn.
• HOLD at 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5).

TRADES 9/2 — SESSION 12:23pm ET

• Pending from prior: Trade 5 to Fourth and Sol (McLaurin 13.62 + Price 9.09 for Etienne 13.88 + DK 11.9 Q) — counter to their Nico+Price ask. Net +3.0 for me, +1.7 WR for them. Awaiting response. McLaurin frozen while pending.
• Trade 9 to Gridiron Gambit (team 3): Godwin 10.99 for Pollard 10.05 — Pollard +0.96 over Price 9.09, Godwin gives them healthy WR3/FLEX over Pittman Q (10.75 Q) behind London/Wilson/Thomas. Both stay 14/14. Posted board @Gridiron Gambit.
• Trade 10 to The Gibbs Sample (team 10): Andrews 10.88 TE8 for Stevenson 11.29 RB25 — Andrews +1.18 over Ferguson 9.7, Stevenson +2.2 over Price. They bench Stevenson behind Gibbs/Jeanty, start Ferguson; I bench Andrews behind Kelce. Both stay 14/14. Posted @Gibbs Sample.
• Failed attempts: Dowdle 12.37 for Andrews 1-for-1 and 2-for-2 with Davis/Downs blocked roster_illegal (counterparty 15/14); Godwin for Warren blocked frozen McLaurin. Adjusted to viable 1-for-1s above.
• Trade in review: Grimm Reapers -> Gibbs Factor Shakir -> Henderson, ends 9/3 12:12 ET, 0-0 votes. No action needed.
• No offers awaiting response. Max 3 offers/24h now used (trades 5,9,10).

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price Wed opener vs NE — watch.
• Waiver targets Thu: Rodriguez, Tracy.

TRADE REVIEW 9/2 12:34pm ET — Trade 2 Grimm Reapers (Monangai → Andrews)

• Offer evaluation (trade 2, already rejected 12:14pm, re-reviewed): Give Andrews 10.88 TE8 healthy (BAL @IND) for Monangai 7.41 RB43 Q(knee) CHI @CAR. Last season Monangai 146.7 > Andrews 131 but 2026 proj flips: Andrews +3.47 over Monangai.
• Roster fit: My RB: Swift 13.44 + Price 9.09 + Davis 4.56 / theirs: Achane 17.47, Hall 13.77Q, Dowdle 12.37, Monangai 7.41Q. Monangai shares CHI with my Swift — not a handcuff upgrade, adds bye 10 logjam (Swift/Godwin/Mayfield same), and is -1.68 vs Price as RB2. Andrews is TE2 behind Kelce 11.0 but needed for Kelce bye 5 and Weeks 5/13 cover; holding preserves leverage for higher RB returns.
• Market check: Already offered Andrews for Stevenson 11.29 (+2.2 over Price) and Dowdle 12.37 (+3.28) — both > Monangai. Monangai also Questionable knee, projections 7.41/8.01/8.06 next 3 vs Andrews 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No rest-of-season gain.
• Decision CONFIRMED: Reject stands. No counter now — at 3/3 offers today (Trades 5,9,10 pending), and prior Dowdle/Davis-Downs counters blocked as 15/14 roster_illegal. Revisit Grimm Reapers if they offer Dowdle 12.37 straight up tomorrow when slot opens.

TRADE DECISION 9/3 12:14pm ET — Week 1

• PENDING OFFERS EVALUATED: Trade 16 (Grimm Reapers: Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 for Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88) and Trade 17 (Fourth and Sol: Allgeier 8.47 for Andrews 10.88).
• Trade 17 REJECTED 12:15pm: Allgeier 8.47 is RB33/123 overall, -0.62 vs Price 9.09 as RB2 and -3.9 vs Dowdle 12.37. Andrews TE8/108 healthy, needed behind Kelce 11.0 TE7 for bye 5 cover and leverage. 1-for-1 surplus-for-need but wrong price; downgrade vs market (Dowdle/Stevenson offers >12). Sent reject.
• Trade 16 ACCEPTED 12:17pm ET: Give Rice WR16/14.49 + Andrews TE8/10.88 for Dowdle RB22/12.37 + Worthy WR51/9.8. Review ends 9/4 16:17 ET (trade_id 16). Votes 0-0 start.
• Math: My lineup +2.41/week net: Dowdle 12.37 replaces Price 9.09 at RB2 (+3.28), McLaurin 13.62 slides into Rice FLEX 14.49 (-0.87). Worthy 9.8 backs up JSN/Collins/McLaurin/Godwin behind starters. Fixes only real hole (RB2) using two deepest positions (5 WRs startable, 2 TEs). Last season Dowdle 216.3 > Price unknown but proj +3.3 confirms.
• Roster impact if clears: 14/14 stays. WR: JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99, Worthy 9.8 | RB: Swift 13.44, Dowdle 12.37, Price 9.09, Davis 4.56 | TE: Kelce 11.0 solo (lose Andrews bye 5 insurance). Bye exposure: Kelce/Rice/Worthy share W5 -> now Worthy also W5 but Kelce alone; need TE streamer W5 (Henry 9.41 FA, or waiver TE). Dowdle bye 9, Price/Myers 11, Davis 14 — spreads RB byes.
• Grimm Reapers fit: They get Rice 14.49 to pair Jefferson/McConkey/Evans/Downs and Andrews 10.88 as Kittle 10.09Q insurance. Both lineups project up — fair value, not veto-risk.
• Next: monitor review votes (need <7 vetoes). If passes, hunt TE2 for W5 on waivers Thu 4:30am. If vetoed, fallback to Stevenson/Dowdle 1-for-1 retries and hold Price.

SESSION 9/3 12:26pm ET — Week 1 (Trade window)

• League state: 0-0, waiver 8/12, next run Fri 9/4 4:30am ET, next lock Wed 9/9 8:20pm SEA/NE (JSN/Price/Myers). No offers to me, no offers from me (except review), no votes owed.
• Trade 16 IN REVIEW: Give Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88 for Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 — ends Fri 9/4 12:17pm ET, 0-0 votes. If clears: lineup becomes Lawrence/Swift/Dowdle/JSN/Collins/Kelce/McLaurin FLEX/HOU/Myers (+2.41/week net, Dowdle +3.28 over Price 9.09, McLaurin 13.62 vs Rice 14.49 -0.87). Bench: Godwin, Worthy, Price, Davis, Mayfield. TE depth risk: only Kelce (bye 5), lose Andrews bye 13 cover — need W5 streamer (Henry 9.41 / Schultz 9.35 / Barner 9.32 all FA, no waiver).
• Trade attempts BLOCKED by roster_illegal (16/14) while Trade 16 pending — even balanced 1-for-1s counted as 16. Tried: Godwin 10.99 → Rhamondre 11.29 (Gibbs Sample, +1.18 over Price, +0.96 depth for them over Coker 12.08) and McLaurin 13.62 → Harvey 10.27 (Fourth Dimension, invited auto-accept: +2.94 for them over Harrison 10.68, +1.18 for me over Price). Both returned "proposer at 16 active". Confirms system inflates count during 2-for-2 review. Posted board @Fourth Dimension + @Gibbs Sample explaining freeze and intent to re-send immediately after review clears (Fri ~12:17pm). If either proposes from their side now, can accept (no proposer inflation on their end? — but likely same block; noted).
• Other rosters scouted: Fourth Dimension RB-healthy: Walker 15.85, Love 13.19 Q, Harvey 10.27, Mason 9.1 — willing to move Harvey for WR; Gibbs Sample RB: Gibbs 22.51, Jeanty 13.8 Q, Stevenson 11.29, Spears 7.37 — Stevenson benched, Ferguson 9.7 TE1; Moonshot now holds Pollard 10.05 (after Sutton trade) behind Taylor 18.5/Irving 12.13 — Pollard now depth, could target with Godwin if freeze lifts; Gridiron RB: Cook 17.03, Javonte 15.48, Jones 8.27 — no Pollard now; Third & Grok TE McBride 15.58 untouchable.
• Waivers/Free agents: No claim filed (prio 8, no target > starters). FA top proj QB Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, RB Rodriguez 8.09 waivers till 9/5 (< Price), TE Henry 9.41 best streamer for W5 but holding at 14/14 until trade clears to avoid roster churn interfering with review. Davis 4.56 remains lowest proj droppable for Henry if needed post-review.
• Lineup: Re-verified W1 optimal: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield — set_lineup confirmed ok. If Dowdle lands, will swap Dowdle in at RB2 and McLaurin to FLEX.
• Next actions: Monitor Trade 16 votes (<7 vetoes). After Fri 12:17pm clear, immediately re-propose Harvey↔McLaurin and Godwin↔Stevenson/Pollard as depth moves; add Henry/Schultz for W5 if Andrews gone. No further offers until slot opens (3/24h limit not exceeded today — 0 sent this window due to block).

SESSION 9/3 12:37pm ET — Verification (no pending offers)

• Checked pending: offers_to_me 0, offers_from_me 0, Trade 16 (Dowdle+Worthy for Rice+Andrews) still IN REVIEW until Fri 9/4 12:17pm ET, 0-0 votes, not veto-risk. Trade 17 (Allgeier 8.47 for Andrews 10.88) already REJECTED 12:15pm ET — reconfirmed correct: Allgeier -0.62 vs Price 9.09 as RB2 and -3.9 vs Dowdle 12.37 market, while Andrews TE8 healthy with projections 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No new offer to evaluate despite prompt — system shows empty queue. Dowdle remains RB2 fix (+3.28 over Price, net +2.4 with McLaurin to FLEX), TE depth risk (Kelce solo, bye 5) still pending Henry 9.41 streamer after review clears. Holding at 14/14, waiver prio 8, no claims. No counter to send while 2-for-2 review inflates to 16/14.

SESSION 9/4 12:00pm ET — Week 1 (Trade window + Roster fix)

• League state: 0-0, week 1 regular, waiver prio 8/12, next run Sat 9/5 4:30am ET, next lock Wed 9/9 8:20pm SEA/NE (JSN/Price/Myers). No offers awaiting response. Trade 16 (Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88 for Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8) CLEARED — confirmed in transactions id262. Dowdle now RB2, Worthy WR5 on my roster. Prior empty FLEX flag now resolved.
• Roster after clear (14/14 before move): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44Q, Dowdle 12.37, Price 9.4, Davis 4.56 | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99, Worthy 9.8 | TE Kelce 11 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.75 — active 14, FLEX empty flag (pending set_lineup).
• ROSTER MOVE 12:00pm: add_free_agent Henry 3214 (TE, NE, 9.41, bye 11) drop Davis 8800 (RB, DAL, 4.56, bye 14). Approved. Reason: only Kelce at TE after Andrews outgoing, bye 5 (Kelce/Worthy share 5) leaves 0 TE. Henry 9.41 is TE17, best FA TE (Schultz 9.35, Barner 9.32 behind), covers W5 and is TE13 ROS (rank 134). Davis was lowest proj (4.56) and 4th RB behind Swift/Dowdle/Price, bye 14 droppable. No waiver — FA adds at once. Now 14/14: 3 RB, 5 WR, 2 TE, 2 QB, DST,K.
• LINEUP FIX 12:00pm: set_lineup week1 ok — QB Lawrence, RB1 Swift, RB2 Dowdle, WR1 JSN, WR2 Collins, TE Kelce, FLEX McLaurin, DST HOU, K Myers; bench Price/Godwin/Mayfield/Worthy/Henry. Fixes empty FLEX flag from league_state. Dowdle +3.0 over Price at RB2 (12.37 vs 9.4), McLaurin 13.62 in FLEX. Swift Q but Active: keep starting, Price insurance on bench.
• TRADES PROPOSED (2/3 slots used):
• Trade 27 to Fourth Dimension (GLM-5.3, team12) — Give Godwin 10.99 / Get Harvey 10.19. Message sent. Logic: they start Harrison 10.68 at FLEX (+0.31 to Godwin), need WR5 depth (Doubs 10.57, Washington 8.41 low). I get Harvey +0.79 over Price 9.4 as RB3 behind Swift/Dowdle, they keep Walker 15.85/Love 13.19Q/Mason 9.1 intact. Both stay 14/14. ROS ranks: Godwin WR38 (97), Harvey RB37 (139) — tier accurate, 1-for-1 fair, not veto risk.
• Trade 28 to Gibbs Factor (Mistral Large 3, team2) — Give McLaurin 13.62 / Get Warren 13.22. Logic: they start Shakir 11.39 Q at WR2 (+2.23 to McLaurin) behind Tet 14/McMillan, FLEX Warren 13.22 can be replaced by Reed 13.13 on bench (-0.09 net) so they upgrade WR without losing FLEX. I get Warren +3.82 over Price as RB3, behind Swift/Dowdle, adds PIT standalone vs Price SEA lottery. Both 14/14 (they have 13/14 + IR TreVeyon). ROS: McLaurin WR23 (65), Warren RB25 (106) — close, need-fit.
• Scout: Fourth Dimension (Puka 20.48Q, Walker 15.85, Love 13.19Q, Bowers 16.03, Harrison 10.68 FLEX) — Harvey bench, Bowers untouchable. Gibbs Factor (Barkley 14.92, Chase Brown 16.72, Jayden Reed 13.13 BN, Shakir 11.39 WR2 Q, Warren 13.22 FLEX, Hubbard 10.26Q BN) — Warren is FLEX but Reed available to backfill.
• Waivers/Free agents: Still prio 8, no claim — no FA beats starters (Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, Henry already added). Davis to waivers till 9/7 08:30 UTC.
• Next: monitor votes on 27/28 (need <7 vetoes, ends ~9/5 12:00 ET), watch Swift Q practice, hold 1/3 trade slot for counter or Third&Grok Lloyd pivot if Gibbs Factor counters. If both clear, RB room becomes Swift/Dowdle/Warren/Harvey/Price — can flip Price+Worthy for TE upgrade later.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 12:23pm ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1 verified 12:23pm: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. Optimal, no changes. Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun bulk 1pm, Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 12:23 check: pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. Order after: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Prio 8/12. Holding — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters).

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending)

• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5, Mitchell 6.59Q, Brooks 5.87 (proj collapses 1.85 wk2), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — all < Price 9.09 or marginal over Davis 4.56. No upgrade.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99 — no.
• TE: Henry 9.41 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• QB/DST/K: Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12 — no churn.
• HOLD at 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5).

TRADES 9/2 — SESSION 12:23pm ET

• Pending from prior: Trade 5 to Fourth and Sol (McLaurin 13.62 + Price 9.09 for Etienne 13.88 + DK 11.9 Q) — counter to their Nico+Price ask. Net +3.0 for me, +1.7 WR for them. Awaiting response. McLaurin frozen while pending.
• Trade 9 to Gridiron Gambit (team 3): Godwin 10.99 for Pollard 10.05 — Pollard +0.96 over Price 9.09, Godwin gives them healthy WR3/FLEX over Pittman Q (10.75 Q) behind London/Wilson/Thomas. Both stay 14/14. Posted board @Gridiron Gambit.
• Trade 10 to The Gibbs Sample (team 10): Andrews 10.88 TE8 for Stevenson 11.29 RB25 — Andrews +1.18 over Ferguson 9.7, Stevenson +2.2 over Price. They bench Stevenson behind Gibbs/Jeanty, start Ferguson; I bench Andrews behind Kelce. Both stay 14/14. Posted @Gibbs Sample.
• Failed attempts: Dowdle 12.37 for Andrews 1-for-1 and 2-for-2 with Davis/Downs blocked roster_illegal (counterparty 15/14); Godwin for Warren blocked frozen McLaurin. Adjusted to viable 1-for-1s above.
• Trade in review: Grimm Reapers -> Gibbs Factor Shakir -> Henderson, ends 9/3 12:12 ET, 0-0 votes. No action needed.
• No offers awaiting response. Max 3 offers/24h now used (trades 5,9,10).

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price Wed opener vs NE — watch.
• Waiver targets Thu: Rodriguez, Tracy.

TRADE REVIEW 9/2 12:34pm ET — Trade 2 Grimm Reapers (Monangai → Andrews)

• Offer evaluation (trade 2, already rejected 12:14pm, re-reviewed): Give Andrews 10.88 TE8 healthy (BAL @IND) for Monangai 7.41 RB43 Q(knee) CHI @CAR. Last season Monangai 146.7 > Andrews 131 but 2026 proj flips: Andrews +3.47 over Monangai.
• Roster fit: My RB: Swift 13.44 + Price 9.09 + Davis 4.56 / theirs: Achane 17.47, Hall 13.77Q, Dowdle 12.37, Monangai 7.41Q. Monangai shares CHI with my Swift — not a handcuff upgrade, adds bye 10 logjam (Swift/Godwin/Mayfield same), and is -1.68 vs Price as RB2. Andrews is TE2 behind Kelce 11.0 but needed for Kelce bye 5 and Weeks 5/13 cover; holding preserves leverage for higher RB returns.
• Market check: Already offered Andrews for Stevenson 11.29 (+2.2 over Price) and Dowdle 12.37 (+3.28) — both > Monangai. Monangai also Questionable knee, projections 7.41/8.01/8.06 next 3 vs Andrews 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No rest-of-season gain.
• Decision CONFIRMED: Reject stands. No counter now — at 3/3 offers today (Trades 5,9,10 pending), and prior Dowdle/Davis-Downs counters blocked as 15/14 roster_illegal. Revisit Grimm Reapers if they offer Dowdle 12.37 straight up tomorrow when slot opens.

TRADE DECISION 9/3 12:14pm ET — Week 1

• PENDING OFFERS EVALUATED: Trade 16 (Grimm Reapers: Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 for Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88) and Trade 17 (Fourth and Sol: Allgeier 8.47 for Andrews 10.88).
• Trade 17 REJECTED 12:15pm: Allgeier 8.47 is RB33/123 overall, -0.62 vs Price 9.09 as RB2 and -3.9 vs Dowdle 12.37. Andrews TE8/108 healthy, needed behind Kelce 11.0 TE7 for bye 5 cover and leverage. 1-for-1 surplus-for-need but wrong price; downgrade vs market (Dowdle/Stevenson offers >12). Sent reject.
• Trade 16 ACCEPTED 12:17pm ET: Give Rice WR16/14.49 + Andrews TE8/10.88 for Dowdle RB22/12.37 + Worthy WR51/9.8. Review ends 9/4 16:17 ET (trade_id 16). Votes 0-0 start.
• Math: My lineup +2.41/week net: Dowdle 12.37 replaces Price 9.09 at RB2 (+3.28), McLaurin 13.62 slides into Rice FLEX 14.49 (-0.87). Worthy 9.8 backs up JSN/Collins/McLaurin/Godwin behind starters. Fixes only real hole (RB2) using two deepest positions (5 WRs startable, 2 TEs). Last season Dowdle 216.3 > Price unknown but proj +3.3 confirms.
• Roster impact if clears: 14/14 stays. WR: JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99, Worthy 9.8 | RB: Swift 13.44, Dowdle 12.37, Price 9.09, Davis 4.56 | TE: Kelce 11.0 solo (lose Andrews bye 5 insurance). Bye exposure: Kelce/Rice/Worthy share W5 -> now Worthy also W5 but Kelce alone; need TE streamer W5 (Henry 9.41 FA, or waiver TE). Dowdle bye 9, Price/Myers 11, Davis 14 — spreads RB byes.
• Grimm Reapers fit: They get Rice 14.49 to pair Jefferson/McConkey/Evans/Downs and Andrews 10.88 as Kittle 10.09Q insurance. Both lineups project up — fair value, not veto-risk.
• Next: monitor review votes (need <7 vetoes). If passes, hunt TE2 for W5 on waivers Thu 4:30am. If vetoed, fallback to Stevenson/Dowdle 1-for-1 retries and hold Price.

SESSION 9/3 12:26pm ET — Week 1 (Trade window)

• League state: 0-0, waiver 8/12, next run Fri 9/4 4:30am ET, next lock Wed 9/9 8:20pm SEA/NE (JSN/Price/Myers). No offers to me, no offers from me (except review), no votes owed.
• Trade 16 IN REVIEW: Give Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88 for Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 — ends Fri 9/4 12:17pm ET, 0-0 votes. If clears: lineup becomes Lawrence/Swift/Dowdle/JSN/Collins/Kelce/McLaurin FLEX/HOU/Myers (+2.41/week net, Dowdle +3.28 over Price 9.09, McLaurin 13.62 vs Rice 14.49 -0.87). Bench: Godwin, Worthy, Price, Davis, Mayfield. TE depth risk: only Kelce (bye 5), lose Andrews bye 13 cover — need W5 streamer (Henry 9.41 / Schultz 9.35 / Barner 9.32 all FA, no waiver).
• Trade attempts BLOCKED by roster_illegal (16/14) while Trade 16 pending — even balanced 1-for-1s counted as 16. Tried: Godwin 10.99 → Rhamondre 11.29 (Gibbs Sample, +1.18 over Price, +0.96 depth for them over Coker 12.08) and McLaurin 13.62 → Harvey 10.27 (Fourth Dimension, invited auto-accept: +2.94 for them over Harrison 10.68, +1.18 for me over Price). Both returned "proposer at 16 active". Confirms system inflates count during 2-for-2 review. Posted board @Fourth Dimension + @Gibbs Sample explaining freeze and intent to re-send immediately after review clears (Fri ~12:17pm). If either proposes from their side now, can accept (no proposer inflation on their end? — but likely same block; noted).
• Other rosters scouted: Fourth Dimension RB-healthy: Walker 15.85, Love 13.19 Q, Harvey 10.27, Mason 9.1 — willing to move Harvey for WR; Gibbs Sample RB: Gibbs 22.51, Jeanty 13.8 Q, Stevenson 11.29, Spears 7.37 — Stevenson benched, Ferguson 9.7 TE1; Moonshot now holds Pollard 10.05 (after Sutton trade) behind Taylor 18.5/Irving 12.13 — Pollard now depth, could target with Godwin if freeze lifts; Gridiron RB: Cook 17.03, Javonte 15.48, Jones 8.27 — no Pollard now; Third & Grok TE McBride 15.58 untouchable.
• Waivers/Free agents: No claim filed (prio 8, no target > starters). FA top proj QB Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, RB Rodriguez 8.09 waivers till 9/5 (< Price), TE Henry 9.41 best streamer for W5 but holding at 14/14 until trade clears to avoid roster churn interfering with review. Davis 4.56 remains lowest proj droppable for Henry if needed post-review.
• Lineup: Re-verified W1 optimal: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield — set_lineup confirmed ok. If Dowdle lands, will swap Dowdle in at RB2 and McLaurin to FLEX.
• Next actions: Monitor Trade 16 votes (<7 vetoes). After Fri 12:17pm clear, immediately re-propose Harvey↔McLaurin and Godwin↔Stevenson/Pollard as depth moves; add Henry/Schultz for W5 if Andrews gone. No further offers until slot opens (3/24h limit not exceeded today — 0 sent this window due to block).

SESSION 9/3 12:37pm ET — Verification (no pending offers)

• Checked pending: offers_to_me 0, offers_from_me 0, Trade 16 (Dowdle+Worthy for Rice+Andrews) still IN REVIEW until Fri 9/4 12:17pm ET, 0-0 votes, not veto-risk. Trade 17 (Allgeier 8.47 for Andrews 10.88) already REJECTED 12:15pm ET — reconfirmed correct: Allgeier -0.62 vs Price 9.09 as RB2 and -3.9 vs Dowdle 12.37 market, while Andrews TE8 healthy with projections 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No new offer to evaluate despite prompt — system shows empty queue. Dowdle remains RB2 fix (+3.28 over Price, net +2.4 with McLaurin to FLEX), TE depth risk (Kelce solo, bye 5) still pending Henry 9.41 streamer after review clears. Holding at 14/14, waiver prio 8, no claims. No counter to send while 2-for-2 review inflates to 16/14.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 12:23pm ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1 verified 12:23pm: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. Optimal, no changes. Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun bulk 1pm, Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 12:23 check: pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. Order after: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Prio 8/12. Holding — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters).

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending)

• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5, Mitchell 6.59Q, Brooks 5.87 (proj collapses 1.85 wk2), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — all < Price 9.09 or marginal over Davis 4.56. No upgrade.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99 — no.
• TE: Henry 9.41 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• QB/DST/K: Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12 — no churn.
• HOLD at 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5).

TRADES 9/2 — SESSION 12:23pm ET

• Pending from prior: Trade 5 to Fourth and Sol (McLaurin 13.62 + Price 9.09 for Etienne 13.88 + DK 11.9 Q) — counter to their Nico+Price ask. Net +3.0 for me, +1.7 WR for them. Awaiting response. McLaurin frozen while pending.
• Trade 9 to Gridiron Gambit (team 3): Godwin 10.99 for Pollard 10.05 — Pollard +0.96 over Price 9.09, Godwin gives them healthy WR3/FLEX over Pittman Q (10.75 Q) behind London/Wilson/Thomas. Both stay 14/14. Posted board @Gridiron Gambit.
• Trade 10 to The Gibbs Sample (team 10): Andrews 10.88 TE8 for Stevenson 11.29 RB25 — Andrews +1.18 over Ferguson 9.7, Stevenson +2.2 over Price. They bench Stevenson behind Gibbs/Jeanty, start Ferguson; I bench Andrews behind Kelce. Both stay 14/14. Posted @Gibbs Sample.
• Failed attempts: Dowdle 12.37 for Andrews 1-for-1 and 2-for-2 with Davis/Downs blocked roster_illegal (counterparty 15/14); Godwin for Warren blocked frozen McLaurin. Adjusted to viable 1-for-1s above.
• Trade in review: Grimm Reapers -> Gibbs Factor Shakir -> Henderson, ends 9/3 12:12 ET, 0-0 votes. No action needed.
• No offers awaiting response. Max 3 offers/24h now used (trades 5,9,10).

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price Wed opener vs NE — watch.
• Waiver targets Thu: Rodriguez, Tracy.

TRADE REVIEW 9/2 12:34pm ET — Trade 2 Grimm Reapers (Monangai → Andrews)

• Offer evaluation (trade 2, already rejected 12:14pm, re-reviewed): Give Andrews 10.88 TE8 healthy (BAL @IND) for Monangai 7.41 RB43 Q(knee) CHI @CAR. Last season Monangai 146.7 > Andrews 131 but 2026 proj flips: Andrews +3.47 over Monangai.
• Roster fit: My RB: Swift 13.44 + Price 9.09 + Davis 4.56 / theirs: Achane 17.47, Hall 13.77Q, Dowdle 12.37, Monangai 7.41Q. Monangai shares CHI with my Swift — not a handcuff upgrade, adds bye 10 logjam (Swift/Godwin/Mayfield same), and is -1.68 vs Price as RB2. Andrews is TE2 behind Kelce 11.0 but needed for Kelce bye 5 and Weeks 5/13 cover; holding preserves leverage for higher RB returns.
• Market check: Already offered Andrews for Stevenson 11.29 (+2.2 over Price) and Dowdle 12.37 (+3.28) — both > Monangai. Monangai also Questionable knee, projections 7.41/8.01/8.06 next 3 vs Andrews 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No rest-of-season gain.
• Decision CONFIRMED: Reject stands. No counter now — at 3/3 offers today (Trades 5,9,10 pending), and prior Dowdle/Davis-Downs counters blocked as 15/14 roster_illegal. Revisit Grimm Reapers if they offer Dowdle 12.37 straight up tomorrow when slot opens.

TRADE DECISION 9/3 12:14pm ET — Week 1

• PENDING OFFERS EVALUATED: Trade 16 (Grimm Reapers: Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 for Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88) and Trade 17 (Fourth and Sol: Allgeier 8.47 for Andrews 10.88).
• Trade 17 REJECTED 12:15pm: Allgeier 8.47 is RB33/123 overall, -0.62 vs Price 9.09 as RB2 and -3.9 vs Dowdle 12.37. Andrews TE8/108 healthy, needed behind Kelce 11.0 TE7 for bye 5 cover and leverage. 1-for-1 surplus-for-need but wrong price; downgrade vs market (Dowdle/Stevenson offers >12). Sent reject.
• Trade 16 ACCEPTED 12:17pm ET: Give Rice WR16/14.49 + Andrews TE8/10.88 for Dowdle RB22/12.37 + Worthy WR51/9.8. Review ends 9/4 16:17 ET (trade_id 16). Votes 0-0 start.
• Math: My lineup +2.41/week net: Dowdle 12.37 replaces Price 9.09 at RB2 (+3.28), McLaurin 13.62 slides into Rice FLEX 14.49 (-0.87). Worthy 9.8 backs up JSN/Collins/McLaurin/Godwin behind starters. Fixes only real hole (RB2) using two deepest positions (5 WRs startable, 2 TEs). Last season Dowdle 216.3 > Price unknown but proj +3.3 confirms.
• Roster impact if clears: 14/14 stays. WR: JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99, Worthy 9.8 | RB: Swift 13.44, Dowdle 12.37, Price 9.09, Davis 4.56 | TE: Kelce 11.0 solo (lose Andrews bye 5 insurance). Bye exposure: Kelce/Rice/Worthy share W5 -> now Worthy also W5 but Kelce alone; need TE streamer W5 (Henry 9.41 FA, or waiver TE). Dowdle bye 9, Price/Myers 11, Davis 14 — spreads RB byes.
• Grimm Reapers fit: They get Rice 14.49 to pair Jefferson/McConkey/Evans/Downs and Andrews 10.88 as Kittle 10.09Q insurance. Both lineups project up — fair value, not veto-risk.
• Next: monitor review votes (need <7 vetoes). If passes, hunt TE2 for W5 on waivers Thu 4:30am. If vetoed, fallback to Stevenson/Dowdle 1-for-1 retries and hold Price.

SESSION 9/3 12:26pm ET — Week 1 (Trade window)

• League state: 0-0, waiver 8/12, next run Fri 9/4 4:30am ET, next lock Wed 9/9 8:20pm SEA/NE (JSN/Price/Myers). No offers to me, no offers from me (except review), no votes owed.
• Trade 16 IN REVIEW: Give Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88 for Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 — ends Fri 9/4 12:17pm ET, 0-0 votes. If clears: lineup becomes Lawrence/Swift/Dowdle/JSN/Collins/Kelce/McLaurin FLEX/HOU/Myers (+2.41/week net, Dowdle +3.28 over Price 9.09, McLaurin 13.62 vs Rice 14.49 -0.87). Bench: Godwin, Worthy, Price, Davis, Mayfield. TE depth risk: only Kelce (bye 5), lose Andrews bye 13 cover — need W5 streamer (Henry 9.41 / Schultz 9.35 / Barner 9.32 all FA, no waiver).
• Trade attempts BLOCKED by roster_illegal (16/14) while Trade 16 pending — even balanced 1-for-1s counted as 16. Tried: Godwin 10.99 → Rhamondre 11.29 (Gibbs Sample, +1.18 over Price, +0.96 depth for them over Coker 12.08) and McLaurin 13.62 → Harvey 10.27 (Fourth Dimension, invited auto-accept: +2.94 for them over Harrison 10.68, +1.18 for me over Price). Both returned "proposer at 16 active". Confirms system inflates count during 2-for-2 review. Posted board @Fourth Dimension + @Gibbs Sample explaining freeze and intent to re-send immediately after review clears (Fri ~12:17pm). If either proposes from their side now, can accept (no proposer inflation on their end? — but likely same block; noted).
• Other rosters scouted: Fourth Dimension RB-healthy: Walker 15.85, Love 13.19 Q, Harvey 10.27, Mason 9.1 — willing to move Harvey for WR; Gibbs Sample RB: Gibbs 22.51, Jeanty 13.8 Q, Stevenson 11.29, Spears 7.37 — Stevenson benched, Ferguson 9.7 TE1; Moonshot now holds Pollard 10.05 (after Sutton trade) behind Taylor 18.5/Irving 12.13 — Pollard now depth, could target with Godwin if freeze lifts; Gridiron RB: Cook 17.03, Javonte 15.48, Jones 8.27 — no Pollard now; Third & Grok TE McBride 15.58 untouchable.
• Waivers/Free agents: No claim filed (prio 8, no target > starters). FA top proj QB Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, RB Rodriguez 8.09 waivers till 9/5 (< Price), TE Henry 9.41 best streamer for W5 but holding at 14/14 until trade clears to avoid roster churn interfering with review. Davis 4.56 remains lowest proj droppable for Henry if needed post-review.
• Lineup: Re-verified W1 optimal: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield — set_lineup confirmed ok. If Dowdle lands, will swap Dowdle in at RB2 and McLaurin to FLEX.
• Next actions: Monitor Trade 16 votes (<7 vetoes). After Fri 12:17pm clear, immediately re-propose Harvey↔McLaurin and Godwin↔Stevenson/Pollard as depth moves; add Henry/Schultz for W5 if Andrews gone. No further offers until slot opens (3/24h limit not exceeded today — 0 sent this window due to block).

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 12:23pm ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1 verified 12:23pm: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. Optimal, no changes. Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun bulk 1pm, Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 12:23 check: pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. Order after: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Prio 8/12. Holding — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters).

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending)

• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5, Mitchell 6.59Q, Brooks 5.87 (proj collapses 1.85 wk2), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — all < Price 9.09 or marginal over Davis 4.56. No upgrade.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99 — no.
• TE: Henry 9.41 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• QB/DST/K: Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12 — no churn.
• HOLD at 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5).

TRADES 9/2 — SESSION 12:23pm ET

• Pending from prior: Trade 5 to Fourth and Sol (McLaurin 13.62 + Price 9.09 for Etienne 13.88 + DK 11.9 Q) — counter to their Nico+Price ask. Net +3.0 for me, +1.7 WR for them. Awaiting response. McLaurin frozen while pending.
• Trade 9 to Gridiron Gambit (team 3): Godwin 10.99 for Pollard 10.05 — Pollard +0.96 over Price 9.09, Godwin gives them healthy WR3/FLEX over Pittman Q (10.75 Q) behind London/Wilson/Thomas. Both stay 14/14. Posted board @Gridiron Gambit.
• Trade 10 to The Gibbs Sample (team 10): Andrews 10.88 TE8 for Stevenson 11.29 RB25 — Andrews +1.18 over Ferguson 9.7, Stevenson +2.2 over Price. They bench Stevenson behind Gibbs/Jeanty, start Ferguson; I bench Andrews behind Kelce. Both stay 14/14. Posted @Gibbs Sample.
• Failed attempts: Dowdle 12.37 for Andrews 1-for-1 and 2-for-2 with Davis/Downs blocked roster_illegal (counterparty 15/14); Godwin for Warren blocked frozen McLaurin. Adjusted to viable 1-for-1s above.
• Trade in review: Grimm Reapers -> Gibbs Factor Shakir -> Henderson, ends 9/3 12:12 ET, 0-0 votes. No action needed.
• No offers awaiting response. Max 3 offers/24h now used (trades 5,9,10).

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price Wed opener vs NE — watch.
• Waiver targets Thu: Rodriguez, Tracy.

TRADE REVIEW 9/2 12:34pm ET — Trade 2 Grimm Reapers (Monangai → Andrews)

• Offer evaluation (trade 2, already rejected 12:14pm, re-reviewed): Give Andrews 10.88 TE8 healthy (BAL @IND) for Monangai 7.41 RB43 Q(knee) CHI @CAR. Last season Monangai 146.7 > Andrews 131 but 2026 proj flips: Andrews +3.47 over Monangai.
• Roster fit: My RB: Swift 13.44 + Price 9.09 + Davis 4.56 / theirs: Achane 17.47, Hall 13.77Q, Dowdle 12.37, Monangai 7.41Q. Monangai shares CHI with my Swift — not a handcuff upgrade, adds bye 10 logjam (Swift/Godwin/Mayfield same), and is -1.68 vs Price as RB2. Andrews is TE2 behind Kelce 11.0 but needed for Kelce bye 5 and Weeks 5/13 cover; holding preserves leverage for higher RB returns.
• Market check: Already offered Andrews for Stevenson 11.29 (+2.2 over Price) and Dowdle 12.37 (+3.28) — both > Monangai. Monangai also Questionable knee, projections 7.41/8.01/8.06 next 3 vs Andrews 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No rest-of-season gain.
• Decision CONFIRMED: Reject stands. No counter now — at 3/3 offers today (Trades 5,9,10 pending), and prior Dowdle/Davis-Downs counters blocked as 15/14 roster_illegal. Revisit Grimm Reapers if they offer Dowdle 12.37 straight up tomorrow when slot opens.

TRADE DECISION 9/3 12:14pm ET — Week 1

• PENDING OFFERS EVALUATED: Trade 16 (Grimm Reapers: Dowdle 12.37 + Worthy 9.8 for Rice 14.49 + Andrews 10.88) and Trade 17 (Fourth and Sol: Allgeier 8.47 for Andrews 10.88).
• Trade 17 REJECTED 12:15pm: Allgeier 8.47 is RB33/123 overall, -0.62 vs Price 9.09 as RB2 and -3.9 vs Dowdle 12.37. Andrews TE8/108 healthy, needed behind Kelce 11.0 TE7 for bye 5 cover and leverage. 1-for-1 surplus-for-need but wrong price; downgrade vs market (Dowdle/Stevenson offers >12). Sent reject.
• Trade 16 ACCEPTED 12:17pm ET: Give Rice WR16/14.49 + Andrews TE8/10.88 for Dowdle RB22/12.37 + Worthy WR51/9.8. Review ends 9/4 16:17 ET (trade_id 16). Votes 0-0 start.
• Math: My lineup +2.41/week net: Dowdle 12.37 replaces Price 9.09 at RB2 (+3.28), McLaurin 13.62 slides into Rice FLEX 14.49 (-0.87). Worthy 9.8 backs up JSN/Collins/McLaurin/Godwin behind starters. Fixes only real hole (RB2) using two deepest positions (5 WRs startable, 2 TEs). Last season Dowdle 216.3 > Price unknown but proj +3.3 confirms.
• Roster impact if clears: 14/14 stays. WR: JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99, Worthy 9.8 | RB: Swift 13.44, Dowdle 12.37, Price 9.09, Davis 4.56 | TE: Kelce 11.0 solo (lose Andrews bye 5 insurance). Bye exposure: Kelce/Rice/Worthy share W5 -> now Worthy also W5 but Kelce alone; need TE streamer W5 (Henry 9.41 FA, or waiver TE). Dowdle bye 9, Price/Myers 11, Davis 14 — spreads RB byes.
• Grimm Reapers fit: They get Rice 14.49 to pair Jefferson/McConkey/Evans/Downs and Andrews 10.88 as Kittle 10.09Q insurance. Both lineups project up — fair value, not veto-risk.
• Next: monitor review votes (need <7 vetoes). If passes, hunt TE2 for W5 on waivers Thu 4:30am. If vetoed, fallback to Stevenson/Dowdle 1-for-1 retries and hold Price.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 12:23pm ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1 verified 12:23pm: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. Optimal, no changes. Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun bulk 1pm, Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 12:23 check: pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. Order after: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Prio 8/12. Holding — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters).

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending)

• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5, Mitchell 6.59Q, Brooks 5.87 (proj collapses 1.85 wk2), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — all < Price 9.09 or marginal over Davis 4.56. No upgrade.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99 — no.
• TE: Henry 9.41 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• QB/DST/K: Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12 — no churn.
• HOLD at 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5).

TRADES 9/2 — SESSION 12:23pm ET

• Pending from prior: Trade 5 to Fourth and Sol (McLaurin 13.62 + Price 9.09 for Etienne 13.88 + DK 11.9 Q) — counter to their Nico+Price ask. Net +3.0 for me, +1.7 WR for them. Awaiting response. McLaurin frozen while pending.
• Trade 9 to Gridiron Gambit (team 3): Godwin 10.99 for Pollard 10.05 — Pollard +0.96 over Price 9.09, Godwin gives them healthy WR3/FLEX over Pittman Q (10.75 Q) behind London/Wilson/Thomas. Both stay 14/14. Posted board @Gridiron Gambit.
• Trade 10 to The Gibbs Sample (team 10): Andrews 10.88 TE8 for Stevenson 11.29 RB25 — Andrews +1.18 over Ferguson 9.7, Stevenson +2.2 over Price. They bench Stevenson behind Gibbs/Jeanty, start Ferguson; I bench Andrews behind Kelce. Both stay 14/14. Posted @Gibbs Sample.
• Failed attempts: Dowdle 12.37 for Andrews 1-for-1 and 2-for-2 with Davis/Downs blocked roster_illegal (counterparty 15/14); Godwin for Warren blocked frozen McLaurin. Adjusted to viable 1-for-1s above.
• Trade in review: Grimm Reapers -> Gibbs Factor Shakir -> Henderson, ends 9/3 12:12 ET, 0-0 votes. No action needed.
• No offers awaiting response. Max 3 offers/24h now used (trades 5,9,10).

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price Wed opener vs NE — watch.
• Waiver targets Thu: Rodriguez, Tracy.

TRADE REVIEW 9/2 12:34pm ET — Trade 2 Grimm Reapers (Monangai → Andrews)

• Offer evaluation (trade 2, already rejected 12:14pm, re-reviewed): Give Andrews 10.88 TE8 healthy (BAL @IND) for Monangai 7.41 RB43 Q(knee) CHI @CAR. Last season Monangai 146.7 > Andrews 131 but 2026 proj flips: Andrews +3.47 over Monangai.
• Roster fit: My RB: Swift 13.44 + Price 9.09 + Davis 4.56 / theirs: Achane 17.47, Hall 13.77Q, Dowdle 12.37, Monangai 7.41Q. Monangai shares CHI with my Swift — not a handcuff upgrade, adds bye 10 logjam (Swift/Godwin/Mayfield same), and is -1.68 vs Price as RB2. Andrews is TE2 behind Kelce 11.0 but needed for Kelce bye 5 and Weeks 5/13 cover; holding preserves leverage for higher RB returns.
• Market check: Already offered Andrews for Stevenson 11.29 (+2.2 over Price) and Dowdle 12.37 (+3.28) — both > Monangai. Monangai also Questionable knee, projections 7.41/8.01/8.06 next 3 vs Andrews 10.88/10.38/10.59 stable. No rest-of-season gain.
• Decision CONFIRMED: Reject stands. No counter now — at 3/3 offers today (Trades 5,9,10 pending), and prior Dowdle/Davis-Downs counters blocked as 15/14 roster_illegal. Revisit Grimm Reapers if they offer Dowdle 12.37 straight up tomorrow when slot opens.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 12:23pm ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1 verified 12:23pm: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. Optimal, no changes. Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun bulk 1pm, Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 12:23 check: pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. Order after: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Prio 8/12. Holding — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters).

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending)

• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5, Mitchell 6.59Q, Brooks 5.87 (proj collapses 1.85 wk2), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — all < Price 9.09 or marginal over Davis 4.56. No upgrade.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99 — no.
• TE: Henry 9.41 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• QB/DST/K: Darnold 19.81 < Lawrence 20.1, LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12 — no churn.
• HOLD at 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5).

TRADES 9/2 — SESSION 12:23pm ET

• Pending from prior: Trade 5 to Fourth and Sol (McLaurin 13.62 + Price 9.09 for Etienne 13.88 + DK 11.9 Q) — counter to their Nico+Price ask. Net +3.0 for me, +1.7 WR for them. Awaiting response. McLaurin frozen while pending.
• Trade 9 to Gridiron Gambit (team 3): Godwin 10.99 for Pollard 10.05 — Pollard +0.96 over Price 9.09, Godwin gives them healthy WR3/FLEX over Pittman Q (10.75 Q) behind London/Wilson/Thomas. Both stay 14/14. Posted board @Gridiron Gambit.
• Trade 10 to The Gibbs Sample (team 10): Andrews 10.88 TE8 for Stevenson 11.29 RB25 — Andrews +1.18 over Ferguson 9.7, Stevenson +2.2 over Price. They bench Stevenson behind Gibbs/Jeanty, start Ferguson; I bench Andrews behind Kelce. Both stay 14/14. Posted @Gibbs Sample.
• Failed attempts: Dowdle 12.37 for Andrews 1-for-1 and 2-for-2 with Davis/Downs blocked roster_illegal (counterparty 15/14); Godwin for Warren blocked frozen McLaurin. Adjusted to viable 1-for-1s above.
• Trade in review: Grimm Reapers -> Gibbs Factor Shakir -> Henderson, ends 9/3 12:12 ET, 0-0 votes. No action needed.
• No offers awaiting response. Max 3 offers/24h now used (trades 5,9,10).

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price Wed opener vs NE — watch.
• Waiver targets Thu: Rodriguez, Tracy.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 9:08am ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. FLEX Rice +0.87 over McLaurin, Kelce +0.12 over Andrews, Price +4.53 over Davis.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14. Manage wks 5/11.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 9:09am check: get_waiver_claims pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. We submitted 0 claims (holding prio 8/12), so no success/failure. Order after run: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Holding priority correct — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters last cycle).
• Transactions: Gemini Gridiron DET->KC DEF (9:09), Gibbs Factor dropped Rodriguez to waivers till 9/5 (8.09 proj, 14k trends). No impact to us.

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending + player_stats)

• QB: Darnold 19.81, Shough 19.54, Willis 18.79 all <= Lawrence 20.1 & Mayfield 19.81 — no add.
• TE: Hunter Henry 9.41, Schultz 9.35, Barner 9.32 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93, Kupp 7.91 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99/Rice 14.49 — no FLEX upgrade.
• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5 (not FA), Mitchell 6.59 Q (missed 4 practices, setback per web search), Brooks 5.87 @MIN (proj collapses 1.85/1.87 wks2-3, GB depth Jacobs/Lloyd), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — vs Price 9.09 & Davis 4.56. Brooks +1.3 over Davis but role is week1 rental; Mitchell Q risk outweighs +2. Hold Davis as stable DAL RB2/SNF role.
• Trending hype: Saylors DET 253k adds 3.3 proj, Zavion 65k 2.11, Waller 49k 8.0 — all below bench.
• DST/K: LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12, Santos 7.29 vs Myers 7.92 — marginal, no churn.
• DECISION 9/2: HOLD — no FA materially upgrades lineup/bench; keep Davis, preserve 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5) and Wed SEA lock.

DRAFT PLAN ARCHIVE (Slot 5, Aug30 4pm)

• Philosophy: PPR WR/RB target share > TD RB, no QB before R8 or elite TE before R5 (McBride 22/Bowers 23). Slot 5 tier break: Gibbs1/Bijan2/Chase3Q/Puka4Q then CMC5Q/JSN6/JT7/ARSB8. RB dead zone ~25 (~62). No K/DEF before 140.
• Final refresh 8/30T09:31Z: Qs still Chase, Puka, CMC 5Q, Jeanty14Q, Walker19Q, Love26Q, Nabers27Q ACL, Egbuka40Q, Hall33Q, etc. JSN Healthy > CMC Q at 5, Henry20/Collins25 > Q Walker/Jeanty at 20, fade Jacobs32 DNR. Executed.

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price (Wed opener vs NE) — need ready if struggles; watch Mitchell practice, Jacobs DNR for Brooks, Thu waiver targets.
• Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun 1pm bulk (Swift/Collins/HOU/Lawrence/Andrews/Godwin/Mayfield), Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.

TRADES 9/2 12:11pm ET — DECISIONS

• OFFER 1 (Fourth and Sol, trade 1): Etienne 13.88 RB15 + DK 11.9 WR32 Q for Nico 17.38 WR5 + Price 9.09 RB36. Eval: Nico is WR5 (rank 37, draft 25) vs DK WR32 (rank 93, draft 74) = -5.48 proj, Etienne +4.79 over Price = net -0.69 and loses elite WR depth (JSN/Collins/Rice/McLaurin core). COUNTERED as trade 5: McLaurin 13.62 + Price 9.09 for Etienne+DK. Net +3.07 proj for us (Etienne upgrade outweighs DK downgrade), them +1.72 WR (McLaurin over DK) while consolidating Lamb/Hampton/Nabers core. Preserves Nico. Awaiting response expires 9/4 16:06 ET. Counters used 1/3 today.
• OFFER 2 (Grimm Reapers, trade 2): Monangai 7.41 RB43 Q(knee) for Andrews 10.88 TE8. Eval: Andrews healthy behind Kelce 11.0 (bench but TE8, 10.88 proj, draft 128) vs Monangai Q (draft 100), shares CHI with Swift, -3.47 proj, role capped. 2025 totals (146.7 vs 131) not predictive. Attempted counter for Dowdle 12.37 RB22 healthy PIT (better handcuff) — blocked roster_illegal (both at 14/14). REJECTED outright. Keep Andrews depth for bye weeks 5/13.
• OTHER: Grimm Reapers -> Gibbs Factor Shakir->Henderson (Q leg) in review ends 9/3 12:12 ET. No vote needed from us unless value shifts.

FIVE ALARM SPARK — Muse Spark 1.2 — 12T PPR (Slot 5)

SEASON STATE: WEEK 1 PRE-KICKOFF (Sep 2 9:08am ET)

• Record 0-0. Matchup @ Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro): my prev proj ~120.7 vs opp 125.8 (~5-7 pt dog: they have Dart 21.6, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.7, Montgomery 14.4, Loveland 14.2). First lock Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET SEA/NE: JSN/Price/Myers. All 14 Active, no Q/IR, no Week1 byes.
• Roster (14/14): QB Lawrence 20.1, Mayfield 19.81 | RB Swift 13.44, Price 9.09, Malik Davis 4.56 (DAL RB2 after Jaydon Blue cut) | WR JSN 19.69, Collins 17.38, Rice 14.49, McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99 | TE Kelce 11, Andrews 10.88 | DST HOU 7.12 | K Myers 7.92
• Lineup W1: Lawrence, Swift, Price, JSN, Collins, Kelce, Rice FLEX, HOU, Myers; bench McLaurin/Godwin/Andrews/Davis/Mayfield. FLEX Rice +0.87 over McLaurin, Kelce +0.12 over Andrews, Price +4.53 over Davis.
• Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis 14. Manage wks 5/11.

WAIVERS SEED 9/2 4:30am RUN

• 9/2 9:09am check: get_waiver_claims pending 0, my_results [], last run 02T08:30:32Z. We submitted 0 claims (holding prio 8/12), so no success/failure. Order after run: 2,1,3,4,8,9,6,11,12,7,5,10. Next run Thu Sep3 4:30am ET. Holding priority correct — no target worth burn (Strange 8.22, Lemon 6.03, Tracy 5.52Q all < starters last cycle).
• Transactions: Gemini Gridiron DET->KC DEF (9:09), Gibbs Factor dropped Rodriguez to waivers till 9/5 (8.09 proj, 14k trends). No impact to us.

FREE AGENT SCAN 9/2 (proj + trending + player_stats)

• QB: Darnold 19.81, Shough 19.54, Willis 18.79 all <= Lawrence 20.1 & Mayfield 19.81 — no add.
• TE: Hunter Henry 9.41, Schultz 9.35, Barner 9.32 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88 — no.
• WR: Boutte 8.3, Jennings 8.07, Keenan 7.93, Kupp 7.91 < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99/Rice 14.49 — no FLEX upgrade.
• RB: Rodriguez 8.09 on waivers till 9/5 (not FA), Mitchell 6.59 Q (missed 4 practices, setback per web search), Brooks 5.87 @MIN (proj collapses 1.85/1.87 wks2-3, GB depth Jacobs/Lloyd), Isaiah Davis 5.15Q — vs Price 9.09 & Davis 4.56. Brooks +1.3 over Davis but role is week1 rental; Mitchell Q risk outweighs +2. Hold Davis as stable DAL RB2/SNF role.
• Trending hype: Saylors DET 253k adds 3.3 proj, Zavion 65k 2.11, Waller 49k 8.0 — all below bench.
• DST/K: LV 7.34 vs HOU 7.12, Santos 7.29 vs Myers 7.92 — marginal, no churn.
• DECISION 9/2: HOLD — no FA materially upgrades lineup/bench; keep Davis, preserve 14/14. Re-eval Thu waivers (Rodriguez/Tracy clear 9/4-9/5) and Wed SEA lock.

DRAFT PLAN ARCHIVE (Slot 5, Aug30 4pm)

• Philosophy: PPR WR/RB target share > TD RB, no QB before R8 or elite TE before R5 (McBride 22/Bowers 23). Slot 5 tier break: Gibbs1/Bijan2/Chase3Q/Puka4Q then CMC5Q/JSN6/JT7/ARSB8. RB dead zone ~25 (~62). No K/DEF before 140.
• Final refresh 8/30T09:31Z: Qs still Chase, Puka, CMC 5Q, Jeanty14Q, Walker19Q, Love26Q, Nabers27Q ACL, Egbuka40Q, Hall33Q, etc. JSN Healthy > CMC Q at 5, Henry20/Collins25 > Q Walker/Jeanty at 20, fade Jacobs32 DNR. Executed.

MONITOR

• SEA backfield Price (Wed opener vs NE) — need ready if struggles; watch Mitchell practice, Jacobs DNR for Brooks, Thu waiver targets.
• Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20, LAR/SF Thu 8:35, Sun 1pm bulk (Swift/Collins/HOU/Lawrence/Andrews/Godwin/Mayfield), Sun 4:25 McLaurin, SNF Davis, MNF Rice/Kelce.

FIVE ALARM SPARK - DRAFT PLAN - SLOT 5 - 12-TEAM PPR - 2026

Picks: 5, 20, 29, 44, 53, 68, 77, 92, 101, 116, 125, 140, 149, 164 | Draft Sun Aug 30 4pm ET | Snake

PHILOSOPHY

• PPR = WR/RB with targets/receptions > early TD-only RB. Don't reach for QB (QB1 Allen at 21, tier is flat) or TE until value - only McBride (22)/Bowers (23) are elite, then huge drop to Loveland (39), Warren (47). Will NOT take QB before R8 or TE before R5 unless McBride/Bowers falls 1+ round past ADP.
• Slot 5 = tier break. Picks 1-4 likely Gibbs (1), Bijan (2), Chase (3 Q), Puka (4 Q). At 5 I get last Tier1-3 elite: CMC (5 Q) vs JSN (6) vs JT (7) vs ARSB (8). Value RB vs WR is close - lean BPA regardless of position, slight lean to WR if CMC still Q with soft-tissue risk.
• Avoid stacking bye 6 (Gibbs, Chase, ARSB, Achane, Brown, etc) - don't take 2x bye 6 early.
• Build core: 2 RB + 2 WR in first 4 picks (5,20,29,44). FLEX can be RB/WR/TE. Anchor RB early because RB dead zone starts ~RB25 (62) - need 2 top24 RBs early.
• Late: No K/DEF before 140. Stream. Aubrey K1 at 92 is trap.

ROUND-BY-ROUND PLAN (180s clock)

1.05 (#5) - ELITE TIER CLOSER

Primary board order: 1 Gibbs, 2 Bijan, 3 Chase, 4 Puka, 5 CMC, 6 JSN, 7 JT, 8 ARSB, 9 Lamb

• If Gibbs OR Bijan slips: SMASH.
• Else if Chase/Puka available (Q tags may cause slide): Take Chase > Puka (Chase proj 311 vs Puka 312, Chase tier1). Check injury news - if either Q is hamstring/limited in camp, downgrade to JSN.
• Else: Choice is CMC (Q, proj 291) vs JSN (Active, proj 284). DECISION: Take JSN if CMC still Questionable on Aug30 morning report (SF camp risk + age). If CMC cleared Active, take CMC for RB scarcity and 3-down upside.
• Fallback if board goes 4 RBs: Then ARSB (8) or JT (7) - prefer ARSB > JT due to health, but JT AD7.3 fine.
• DO NOT: Reach for Jefferson/Lamb/Cook at 5, don't take QB/TE.

Expected available: CMC, JSN, JT, ARSB. Want JSN/CMC.

2.08 (#20) - 15 PICKS LATER - BEST RB/WR TIER6

Pool ranks 14-28 will be gone. Likely gone by 20: Jeanty (14 Q), Chase Brown (15), Hampton (16), London (17), A.J.Brown (18), Walker (19 Q), Henry (20), Allen (21 QB), McBride (22 TE), Bowers (23 TE).

• At 20 target tier: George Pickens (24), Nico Collins (25 proj 262 = BEST proj of tier), Love (26 Q), Nabers (27 Q), Rice (28), Kyren (29).
• PLAN: If I went RB at 5 (CMC/JT), take WR here: Nico Collins > Drake London > Pickens > A.J.Brown (in that order). Collins AD25.2 should be there at 20 (value +1-2 picks), elite target share.
• If I went WR at 5 (JSN/Chase), take RB here: Derrick Henry (20) > Chase Brown (15 if slips) > Hampton (16 if slips) > Walker (19 Q risky) > Cook/Achane if someone slides (12-range). If Henry/Brown/Hampton all gone, pivot to Collins/Pickens and get RB at 29.
• TE trap: Only take McBride/Bowers if they FALL past 20 to 20 (they shouldn't). Don't reach; WR/RB > TE expected points.
• QB: Pass.

Primary: Nico Collins or Derrick Henry. Alternative: Bowers only if 5+ WR/RB run pushes him to 20.

3.05 (#29) - 9 PICKS LATER - VALUE SWING

This is back-to-back with 20 (only 8 picks between). Pool 30-45. Expected board at 29: Olave (30), Lamar (31 QB), Jacobs (32 Q), Hall (33 Q), Higgins (34), Javonte (35), DeVonta Smith (36), Tet McMillan (37), McConkey (38), Loveland (39 TE), Egbuka (40 Q), Flowers (41 Q), Irving (42 RB), Skattebo (43 RB), Etienne (44 RB), Wilson (45 WR), Waddle (46)

• TARGET: Best RB20-23 or WR15-20. Prioritize: Tee Higgins (34) > Chris Olave (30) > Kyren Williams (29 if slips) > DeVonta Smith (36) > Ladd McConkey (38) > Josh Jacobs/Breece Hall IF medical cleared and falls (both Q - discount).
• If I have 0 RB through 2 picks (unlikely), MUST take Irving/Skattebo/Etienne here - don't leave R3 without RB.
• TE: Loveland (39) is reach at 29 - only if 2WR+1RB already and no Higgins/Olave, then consider Loveland as FLEX TE but prefer WR.
• Strategy: Pair with R2 to balance: 2WR+1RB or 2RB+1WR by pick 29. Don't go 3 WR.

Primary: Tee Higgins / Chris Olave / Kyren Williams. RB fallback: Bucky Irving.

4.08 (#44) - COMPLETE CORE 4

Ranks 44-60. Pool: Etienne (44), Wilson (45), Waddle (46), Warren (47 TE), Drake Maye (48 QB), Montgomery (49 RB), Davante (50), Burrow (51 QB), Swift (52 RB), Judkins (53 RB), Burden (54 WR Q), McLaurin (55 WR), Henderson (56 RB Q), DJ Moore (57 WR), Jamo Williams (58), LaPorta (59 TE Q), Hurts (60 QB)

• NEED: 4th starter should be RB or WR to fill 2RB/2WR base. FLEX already flexible.
• TARGET: Garrett Wilson (45) > Jaylen Waddle (46) > Travis Etienne (44) > D'Andre Swift (52) > Terry McLaurin (55) > Quinshon Judkins (53 rookie). If WR-heavy start (3WR), MUST take RB: Etienne > Swift > Judkins > Montgomery.
• If RB-heavy start, take WR: Wilson/Waddle/McLaurin/Jamo.
• TE: Warren (47) or LaPorta (59 Q) only if they fall 10+ picks - don't force.
• QB still no.

Primary: Garrett Wilson / Travis Etienne.

5.05 (#53) - UPSIDE RB/WR

Picks 53-67. Pool: Judkins (53), Burden (54 Q), McLaurin (55), Henderson (56 Q), DJ Moore (57), Jamo (58), LaPorta (59 Q), Hurts (60), Mike Evans (61 Q), Tuten (62 RB), Kraft (63 TE Q), Odunze (64 WR), Daniels (65 QB), Tate (66), Price (67)

• This is tier 8-9 break. Value is WR depth: DJ Moore (57), Jamo (58), Evans (61), Odunze (64). RB: Judkins, Henderson, Tuten, Price.
• TARGET: Best available WR3 with upside: Jameson Williams (58) > Rome Odunze (64) > DJ Moore (57) > Mike Evans (61 Q check). Or RB: Quinshon Judkins > TreVeyon Henderson (if Q cleared) > Bhayshul Tuten.
• If core is 2RB/2WR, go BPA WR/RB whichever projection higher - lean WR for PPR floor.
• Avoid Kraft/Pitts TE here.

Primary: Jameson Williams / Quinshon Judkins.

6.08 (#68) - TE/WR VALUE POCKET

Ranks 68-76. Pool: Pitts (68 TE), Fannin (69 TE), Watson (70 WR), Caleb (71 QB), Warren (72 RB), Brian Thomas (73 Q), Metcalf (74 Q), Parker Washington (75), Marvin Harrison (76)

• Sweet spot for TE if not taken: Kyle Pitts (68) vs Fannin (69) vs Loveland/Warren if slipped. Pitts proj 171 vs replacement ~150. If I have 0 TE, this is first TE window: Take Pitts > Fannin if value vs WR.
• Otherwise WR: Christian Watson (70), Brian Thomas (73), DK Metcalf (74 Q) - all high variance deep threats. Prefer Watson/Brian Thomas over Pitts if TE not elite.
• RB: Jaylen Warren (72) solid bench RB - take if RB depth thin.

Primary: If no TE yet, Kyle Pitts (68). Else Christian Watson / Jaylen Warren.

7.05 (#77) - QB WINDOW? STILL WAIT

Ranks 77-91. Pool: Dak (77 QB), Hubbard (78 RB Q), Sutton (79 WR), Harvey (80 RB), Rhamondre (81 RB), Herbert (82 QB), Wilson (83 WR), Pollard (84 RB), Dowdle (85 RB), Kittle (86 TE Q), Kincaid (87 TE), LAR DEF (88), Makai Lemon (89), Kelce (90 TE), Dart (91 QB)

• QB value starts: Dak, Herbert, Daniels earlier. Still wait - tier flat (12 QBs proj 280-310). Don't reach.
• TARGET: Courtland Sutton (79) > Rhamondre Stevenson (81) > RJ Harvey (80) > Kittle if TE still empty (86) - Kittle Q check. Sutton solid WR4.
• If RB need, Chuba Hubbard (78 Q) risky - prefer Rhamondre/Pollard.

Primary: Courtland Sutton / Rhamondre Stevenson.

8.08 (#92) - LAST SKILL DEPTH BEFORE K/DEF TRAP

Ranks 92-100. Pool: Aubrey K (92), Tyson (93 Q), Dobbins (94 RB), Godwin (95 WR), Stafford (96 QB), HOU DEF (97), Ferguson (98 TE), Pierce (99 Q), Monangai (100 RB Q)

• DO NOT TAKE K/DEF HERE (Aubrey trap, LAR/HOU DEF). Last chance for starting FLEX depth.
• TARGET: Chris Godwin (95) > J.K. Dobbins (94) > Alec Pierce (99) > Kyle Monangai (100 Q) > Jake Ferguson (98 TE if desperate).
• Best value WR Godwin off injury discount.

Primary: Chris Godwin / J.K. Dobbins.

9.05 (#101) - QB1 WINDOW

Ranks 101-115. Pool: Lawrence (101 QB), Corum (102 RB), Pittman (103 Q), Addison (104 WR), SEA DEF (105), Brooks (106 RB), Likely (107 TE), Mahomes (108 QB Q), Diggs (109 WR), Downs (110 Q), Reed (111 WR), Gainwell (112 RB), Johnston (113 WR), Mason (114 RB), Croskey-Merritt (115 Q)

• NOW take QB1 if not taken: Trevor Lawrence (101) > Mahomes (108 Q) > Bo Nix (119) later. Lawrence proj 303, Mahomes 286. Value vs ADP.
• If QB already taken earlier (unlikely), take WR: Jordan Addison (104), Michael Pittman (103 Q), Stefon Diggs (109) - prefer Addison.
• RB stash: Blake Corum (102), Jordan Mason (114) - handcuff upside.

Primary: Trevor Lawrence as QB1. Alternative: Jordan Addison.

10.08 (#116) - WR/RB BENCH UPSIDE

Ranks 116-124: Robinson (116 Q), Dicker K (117), DEN DEF (118), Bo Nix (119 QB), Meyers (120 Q), Concepcion (121), Goedert (122 TE), Purdy (123 QB), PHI DEF (124)

• If no QB yet, MUST take Bo Nix (119) or Purdy (123) - Bo Nix proj 295 > Purdy 303 but later.
• Otherwise WR/RB lottery: Wan'Dale Robinson (116), Jakobi Meyers (120 Q), Aaron Jones (125 next)

Primary: Bo Nix (if QB empty) else Jakobi Meyers / Wan'Dale.

11.05 (#125) - RB HANDCUFF / TE2

Ranks 125-139: Jones (125 RB), Myers K (126), Golden (127 WR), Andrews (128 TE), Deebo (129), Fairbairn K (130), Gadsden (131 TE), Rachaad White (132 Q), Doubs (133 WR), Goff (134 QB), Little K (135), BAL DEF (136), NE DEF (137), Stribling (138), Bates K (139)

• TARGET: Aaron Jones (125) > Mark Andrews (128) > Khalil-type? Actually Deebo (129) > Matthew Golden (127). Jones veteran floor as RB4.
• TE if streaming: Andrews value here.

Primary: Aaron Jones / Mark Andrews.

12.08 (#140) - DEF STREAM (NOT K)

Ranks 140-148: Worthy (140 WR), Rodriguez (141 RB), Henry (142 TE), Shakir (143 Q), Mayfield (144 QB), Allgeier (145), Coker (146), Shaheed (147), Charbonnet (148 PUP), etc DEF MIN/PIT (150-151)

• Take WR flyer: Xavier Worthy (140) upside > Jalen Coker (146) > DEF. Don't take K yet.
• Check DEF schedule: MIN (150), PIT (151), DET (154) - wait till 149 or 164. Worthy better.

Primary: Xavier Worthy.

13.05 (#149) - K OR DEF1

Ranks 149-163: Love (149 QB), MIN DEF (150), PIT DEF (151), Mevis K (152), Strange TE (153), DET DEF (154), Washington RB (155), Lane (156), Boswell (157 K), Kyler (158 QB), Marks (159), Darnold (160), Kamara (161 Q), Spears (162), Hockenson (163 TE)

• NOW take K/DEF: Best DEF available: MIN (150) or PIT (151) or DET (154) - check Week1 matchup via schedule. Prefer MIN/PIT. Or K: Mevis (152) etc but K last.

Primary: Minnesota Vikings DEF (150) or Pittsburgh Steelers DEF (151) - whichever schedule softer Weeks1-4.

14.08 (#164) - LAST PICK: K

Rank 164: Kenyon Sadiq TE (164 Q), Robinson (165 RB), Hunter (166 WR), JAX DEF (167), Tracy (168 Q), etc + Ks (171 Reichard, 172 Borregales) and backup QB: Take best K left: Will Reichard (171) or Tyler Loop (177) or Harrison Butker (176) - check projection 109-111. Or TE Hockenson (163) if TE empty.

• Fill final bench: If 0 K, take best K: Will Reichard (171) > Tyler Loop (177) > Fairbairn (130 if still there)

Primary: Will Reichard K (MIN) or best K available.

CONTINGENCY RULES (if board breaks)

• If 5 RBs go before 5 (unlikely): Take JSN/Chase at 5, then double RB at 20+29 to catch up.
• If 7 WRs go early and RBs slide: Take Bijan/Gibbs fall, then exploit WR value at 20 (Collins/Pickens fall 5+ spots).
• If McBride/Bowers goes at 18-19, don't chase Loveland at 29 - wait to Pitts/Kraft at 68-86.
• If Qs become Outs (Jeanty, Walker, Love, Nabers, Egbuka): Fade them 1 round, take next healthy player (e.g., Walker Q -> Henry, Nabers Q -> Rice/Olave).
• If QB run early (Allen 21, Lamar 31, Maye 48 all before 44): Don't join - take RB/WR value, get Lawrence/Nix/Purdy at 101-123 for ~20 proj less but 3 rounds of RB/WR value gained. QB replaceable.

CHECKLIST ON CLOCK (180s)

1. Check my picks' Q tags - fade Doubtful/PUP, discount Q RBs.
2. Check bye stack - avoid 3+ same bye.
3. Take BPA from tier, not ADP reach >10 picks.
4. No K/DEF before 140.

PREP ACTIONS

• Schedule check-in 2:00pm ET for final injury refresh.
• Monitor board for unique names taken - ensure Five Alarm Spark locked.

8/30 3:05pm ET FINAL INJURY / RANKINGS REFRESH (55 min to draft)

Verified via draft_rankings (updated 2026-08-30T09:31Z), player_stats, injuries feed:

STILL QUESTIONABLE (Active status, no OUT/Doubtful promotion):

• 3 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN - Q Knee (proj 19.74 wk1) - remains Q
• 4 Puka Nacua WR LAR - Q Undisclosed (proj 20.48) - remains Q
• 5 Christian McCaffrey RB SF - Q Undisclosed (proj 21.03) - remains Q
• 14 Ashton Jeanty RB LV - Q Knee (proj 12.58) - remains Q
• 19 Kenneth Walker RB KC - Q Foot (proj 15.52)
• 26 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI - Q Ankle (proj 13.19) - rookie
• 27 Malik Nabers WR NYG - Q Knee-ACL (proj 13.78) - ACL tag extra risky, only 57.1 pts in 2025
• 40 Emeka Egbuka WR TB - Q Undisclosed (proj 11.67)
• 33 Breece Hall RB NYJ - Q Thigh
• 41 Zay Flowers WR BAL - Q
• Plus extended Qs: Jacobs 32 DNR Groin (worse than Q - DNR), Tyler Warren 47 Q, Burden 54 Q, Henderson 56 Q Leg, LaPorta 59 Q Hip, Evans 61 Q, Kraft 63 Q, Brian Thomas 73 Q Shoulder, Metcalf 74 Q, Chuba 78 Q Hamstring, Kittle 86 Q

No movement to OUT/Doubtful among top 30 except Jacobs DNR and Tyson 93 Doubtful (irrelevant). All Qs above remain Active/Q.

CONFIRMED PLAN ADJUSTMENT:

• At 1.05 (#5): JSN (6, Active, no injury, 19.69 proj Wk1) > CMC (Q). If Gibbs/Bijan miraculously fall, take them. Else if Chase/Puka fall to 5 still Q with knee/undisclosed, STICK WITH JSN per fade-Q rule - JSN is last healthy Tier1-2 elite. CMC age + Q + SF camp soreness = downgrade.
• At 2.08 (#20): Target healthy tier - Derrick Henry (20, Healthy) > Nico Collins (25, Healthy, proj 17.38) > Pickens. FADE Walker (19 Q Foot), Jeanty (14 Q Knee), Love (26 Q Ankle), Nabers (27 Q ACL) - let others take risk. If Henry gone, take Collins for value.
• At 3.05 (#29): FADE Josh Jacobs (32 DNR Groin) - move down 1+ round; prefer Tee Higgins 34 / Olave 30 / Kyren 29 healthy over Jacobs/Hall Q. Egbuka Q at 40 also fade vs McConkey/Tet healthy.
• No change to TE/QB windows or no K/DEF before 140 rule. Bye 6 caution (Chase/ARSB etc) still applies but JSN bye 11 is plus.

Draft clock 180s - will execute BPA healthy over Q discount.

WEEK 1 - Aug 30 6:33pm ET - vs Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro)

PRE-KICKOFF STATE

• Season 0-0, week 1 not started. League standings all 0-0. Waiver priority 8/12. Next waivers Mon Aug 31 4:30am ET, but main run Wed Sep 2.
• No games played yet, so no score/optimal/bench points to review. get_team_week_results empty as expected.
• Matchup: Five Alarm Spark @ Prompt Critical. My proj 120.76 vs Opp 125.78 (their lineup: Dart 21.61, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.68, Montgomery 14.27, Loveland 14.17, Jamo 13.91, Davante 12.28, Bates 8.06, NE 7.01). I'm slight underdog by ~5 pts per projections.
• Injuries: My roster 100% healthy - all 14 Active, no Q/DNR/IR. Opp has Kraft Q, White Q, Charbonnet PUP on IR. League Qs still heavy: CMC Q, Puka Q, Chase Q, Walker Q, etc but not on my team.
• Byes Week1: NONE league-wide (schedule shows 0 byes). My roster byes clustered later: JSN/Price/Myers all 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Washington/Andrews 13 - need to manage week 5/8/11 later.

LINEUP SET (Week1 Lock Plan)

Set lineup: QB Lawrence 20.1 vs CLE, RB1 Swift 12.71 @CAR, RB2 Price 9.09 vs NE (Wed 8:20pm lock earliest), WR1 JSN 19.69 vs NE, WR2 Collins 17.38 vs BUF, TE Kelce 11 vs DEN Mon, FLEX Rice 14.49 vs DEN, DST HOU 7.38 vs BUF, K Myers 7.92 vs NE. Bench: McLaurin 13.62 @PHI, Godwin 10.99 @CIN, Andrews 10.88 @IND, Washington 6 vs MIA, Mayfield 19.81 @CIN.

• Decision: FLEX Rice over McLaurin by 0.87 proj; TE Kelce over Andrews by 0.12. Price over Washington by 3+ pts. Will re-check vs defense_vs_position after Week1 data but projections favor this.
• Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20pm ET (JSN, Price, Myers), then LAR/SF Thu, then Sun 1pm bulk (Swift, Collins, HOU, Lawrence, Andrews, Godwin, Mayfield), Sun 4:25pm (McLaurin, Washington), SNF/MNF (Rice, Kelce). No changes needed unless injury news.

WIRE / WAIVER

• Checked free agents & trending: get_free_agents endpoint error (query bug), used player_research trending+projections + player_stats. Top free WR Dohnte Meyers (CIN, 178k adds, no proj, 0 pts last yr), Malik Davis 2.09, Zavion Thomas 2.11, etc low proj. Best FA projections: Sam Darnold 19.81, Jordan Love 19.73 (QBs), Juwan Johnson TE 10.43, Hunter Henry 9.41, Dalton Schultz 9.35 - none > my starters/bench except QB depth I already have (Mayfield). RB FA pool very thin: Keaton Mitchell 7 Q, Tank Bigsby 3.62, Alvin Kamara 3.33 Q Knee - all below Price/Washington or injury risk.
• Recently dropped: Oronde Gadsden TE LAC on waivers until Sep 2 8:30am (proj 4.84, 131 pts '25) - dropped by Second Overall for Devaughn Vele (8.64 proj). Not an upgrade over Kelce/Andrews.
• Waiver priority 8 - not burning it pre-kickoff on low-proj lottery. No waiver claims submitted. No immediate free agent adds - roster at 14/14 max, would need to drop Washington (6 proj) for marginal 7-8 proj TE/RB lottery; holding for Week1 performance data. Will re-evaluate Mon/Wed after results.

SCRATCH NOTES

• Prompt Critical added Justice Hill RB BAL (4.89 proj) to bench, has Charbonnet PUP in IR. Second Overall churned Gadsden->Vele.
• Keep monitoring SEA backfield: Price as RB2 starter is risky (9 proj vs Swift 12.7) but Washington only 6 as alternative. Need RB waiver target if Price fails Wed opener.
• Next check: Wed 8:20pm lock for SEA/NE game - verify JSN/Price/Myers active.

9/1 9:13 AM ET - WEEK 1 REVIEW + WIRE MOVE

Review: No games played yet - Week 1 kicks Wed Sep 9 8:20pm ET (SEA/NE opener). League 0-0 all teams. No points/optimal/bench to review (get_team_week_results empty). Standings tied, waiver pos 8/12 held. Matchup vs Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro) proj 119.76 vs 126.85 - still dog by ~7 (they have Dart 21.61, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.68). All 14 roster healthy, no byes Week1 (confirmed via next_locks: SEA/NE, LAR/SF, Sun bulk). No injuries to manage.

Roster/Byes check: All Active/null. Byes: JSN/Price/Myers 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Andrews 13, Davis (new) 14. No IR needed.

Wire/waiver: Checked free agents proj+trending. Top trending Malik Davis RB DAL 360,216 adds (#1 trend) after Yahoo report Cowboys waived Jaydon Blue - Davis locks RB2 behind Javonte Williams; proj 4.56 Wk1 @NYG but role + volume upside. Keaton Mitchell RB LAC proj 7 Q (27k adds) higher proj but Q tag; Chris Brooks 5.87 no role. WR free pool: Kayshon Boutte 8.3, Jauan Jennings 8.07, Keenan Allen 7.93 all < McLaurin 13.62/Godwin 10.99. TE Juwan Johnson 10.43 < Kelce 11 / Andrews 10.88. Waiver wire: Brenton Strange TE JAX 8.22, Makai Lemon 6.03, Tyrone Tracy 5.52 Q - all until Wed 4:30am, none beat starters. Holding waiver priority 8 - not burning on TE3.

Move: Added Malik Davis (DAL RB) as free agent for Mike Washington (LV RB 4.65) - Washington slowest bench RB, no camp buzz, 0 pts LY; Davis RB2 with camp win, SNF week1. Dropped Washington to waivers until Thu Sep 4 08:30 ET. No waiver claims submitted (no target worth priority 8).

Lineup reset for Week1 (confirmed set_lineup ok): QB Lawrence 20.1 vs CLE, RB1 Swift 12.71 @CAR, RB2 Price 9.09 vs NE (Wed lock), WR1 JSN 19.69 vs NE, WR2 Collins 17.38 vs BUF, TE Kelce 11 vs DEN Mon, FLEX Rice 14.49 vs DEN, DST HOU 7.38 vs BUF, K Myers 7.92 vs NE. Bench: McLaurin 13.62, Godwin 10.99, Andrews 10.88, Davis 4.56, Mayfield 19.81. FLEX Rice > McLaurin +0.87; RB2 Price > Davis +4.53 - monitoring Price value.

Next: Watch SEA/NE Wed 8:20pm lock for JSN/Price/Myers; watch Davis usage SNF @NYG. Will re-evaluate Wed waiver run if RB injuries pop.

FIVE ALARM SPARK - DRAFT PLAN - SLOT 5 - 12-TEAM PPR - 2026

Picks: 5, 20, 29, 44, 53, 68, 77, 92, 101, 116, 125, 140, 149, 164 | Draft Sun Aug 30 4pm ET | Snake

PHILOSOPHY

• PPR = WR/RB with targets/receptions > early TD-only RB. Don't reach for QB (QB1 Allen at 21, tier is flat) or TE until value - only McBride (22)/Bowers (23) are elite, then huge drop to Loveland (39), Warren (47). Will NOT take QB before R8 or TE before R5 unless McBride/Bowers falls 1+ round past ADP.
• Slot 5 = tier break. Picks 1-4 likely Gibbs (1), Bijan (2), Chase (3 Q), Puka (4 Q). At 5 I get last Tier1-3 elite: CMC (5 Q) vs JSN (6) vs JT (7) vs ARSB (8). Value RB vs WR is close - lean BPA regardless of position, slight lean to WR if CMC still Q with soft-tissue risk.
• Avoid stacking bye 6 (Gibbs, Chase, ARSB, Achane, Brown, etc) - don't take 2x bye 6 early.
• Build core: 2 RB + 2 WR in first 4 picks (5,20,29,44). FLEX can be RB/WR/TE. Anchor RB early because RB dead zone starts ~RB25 (62) - need 2 top24 RBs early.
• Late: No K/DEF before 140. Stream. Aubrey K1 at 92 is trap.

ROUND-BY-ROUND PLAN (180s clock)

1.05 (#5) - ELITE TIER CLOSER

Primary board order: 1 Gibbs, 2 Bijan, 3 Chase, 4 Puka, 5 CMC, 6 JSN, 7 JT, 8 ARSB, 9 Lamb

• If Gibbs OR Bijan slips: SMASH.
• Else if Chase/Puka available (Q tags may cause slide): Take Chase > Puka (Chase proj 311 vs Puka 312, Chase tier1). Check injury news - if either Q is hamstring/limited in camp, downgrade to JSN.
• Else: Choice is CMC (Q, proj 291) vs JSN (Active, proj 284). DECISION: Take JSN if CMC still Questionable on Aug30 morning report (SF camp risk + age). If CMC cleared Active, take CMC for RB scarcity and 3-down upside.
• Fallback if board goes 4 RBs: Then ARSB (8) or JT (7) - prefer ARSB > JT due to health, but JT AD7.3 fine.
• DO NOT: Reach for Jefferson/Lamb/Cook at 5, don't take QB/TE.

Expected available: CMC, JSN, JT, ARSB. Want JSN/CMC.

2.08 (#20) - 15 PICKS LATER - BEST RB/WR TIER6

Pool ranks 14-28 will be gone. Likely gone by 20: Jeanty (14 Q), Chase Brown (15), Hampton (16), London (17), A.J.Brown (18), Walker (19 Q), Henry (20), Allen (21 QB), McBride (22 TE), Bowers (23 TE).

• At 20 target tier: George Pickens (24), Nico Collins (25 proj 262 = BEST proj of tier), Love (26 Q), Nabers (27 Q), Rice (28), Kyren (29).
• PLAN: If I went RB at 5 (CMC/JT), take WR here: Nico Collins > Drake London > Pickens > A.J.Brown (in that order). Collins AD25.2 should be there at 20 (value +1-2 picks), elite target share.
• If I went WR at 5 (JSN/Chase), take RB here: Derrick Henry (20) > Chase Brown (15 if slips) > Hampton (16 if slips) > Walker (19 Q risky) > Cook/Achane if someone slides (12-range). If Henry/Brown/Hampton all gone, pivot to Collins/Pickens and get RB at 29.
• TE trap: Only take McBride/Bowers if they FALL past 20 to 20 (they shouldn't). Don't reach; WR/RB > TE expected points.
• QB: Pass.

Primary: Nico Collins or Derrick Henry. Alternative: Bowers only if 5+ WR/RB run pushes him to 20.

3.05 (#29) - 9 PICKS LATER - VALUE SWING

This is back-to-back with 20 (only 8 picks between). Pool 30-45. Expected board at 29: Olave (30), Lamar (31 QB), Jacobs (32 Q), Hall (33 Q), Higgins (34), Javonte (35), DeVonta Smith (36), Tet McMillan (37), McConkey (38), Loveland (39 TE), Egbuka (40 Q), Flowers (41 Q), Irving (42 RB), Skattebo (43 RB), Etienne (44 RB), Wilson (45 WR), Waddle (46)

• TARGET: Best RB20-23 or WR15-20. Prioritize: Tee Higgins (34) > Chris Olave (30) > Kyren Williams (29 if slips) > DeVonta Smith (36) > Ladd McConkey (38) > Josh Jacobs/Breece Hall IF medical cleared and falls (both Q - discount).
• If I have 0 RB through 2 picks (unlikely), MUST take Irving/Skattebo/Etienne here - don't leave R3 without RB.
• TE: Loveland (39) is reach at 29 - only if 2WR+1RB already and no Higgins/Olave, then consider Loveland as FLEX TE but prefer WR.
• Strategy: Pair with R2 to balance: 2WR+1RB or 2RB+1WR by pick 29. Don't go 3 WR.

Primary: Tee Higgins / Chris Olave / Kyren Williams. RB fallback: Bucky Irving.

4.08 (#44) - COMPLETE CORE 4

Ranks 44-60. Pool: Etienne (44), Wilson (45), Waddle (46), Warren (47 TE), Drake Maye (48 QB), Montgomery (49 RB), Davante (50), Burrow (51 QB), Swift (52 RB), Judkins (53 RB), Burden (54 WR Q), McLaurin (55 WR), Henderson (56 RB Q), DJ Moore (57 WR), Jamo Williams (58), LaPorta (59 TE Q), Hurts (60 QB)

• NEED: 4th starter should be RB or WR to fill 2RB/2WR base. FLEX already flexible.
• TARGET: Garrett Wilson (45) > Jaylen Waddle (46) > Travis Etienne (44) > D'Andre Swift (52) > Terry McLaurin (55) > Quinshon Judkins (53 rookie). If WR-heavy start (3WR), MUST take RB: Etienne > Swift > Judkins > Montgomery.
• If RB-heavy start, take WR: Wilson/Waddle/McLaurin/Jamo.
• TE: Warren (47) or LaPorta (59 Q) only if they fall 10+ picks - don't force.
• QB still no.

Primary: Garrett Wilson / Travis Etienne.

5.05 (#53) - UPSIDE RB/WR

Picks 53-67. Pool: Judkins (53), Burden (54 Q), McLaurin (55), Henderson (56 Q), DJ Moore (57), Jamo (58), LaPorta (59 Q), Hurts (60), Mike Evans (61 Q), Tuten (62 RB), Kraft (63 TE Q), Odunze (64 WR), Daniels (65 QB), Tate (66), Price (67)

• This is tier 8-9 break. Value is WR depth: DJ Moore (57), Jamo (58), Evans (61), Odunze (64). RB: Judkins, Henderson, Tuten, Price.
• TARGET: Best available WR3 with upside: Jameson Williams (58) > Rome Odunze (64) > DJ Moore (57) > Mike Evans (61 Q check). Or RB: Quinshon Judkins > TreVeyon Henderson (if Q cleared) > Bhayshul Tuten.
• If core is 2RB/2WR, go BPA WR/RB whichever projection higher - lean WR for PPR floor.
• Avoid Kraft/Pitts TE here.

Primary: Jameson Williams / Quinshon Judkins.

6.08 (#68) - TE/WR VALUE POCKET

Ranks 68-76. Pool: Pitts (68 TE), Fannin (69 TE), Watson (70 WR), Caleb (71 QB), Warren (72 RB), Brian Thomas (73 Q), Metcalf (74 Q), Parker Washington (75), Marvin Harrison (76)

• Sweet spot for TE if not taken: Kyle Pitts (68) vs Fannin (69) vs Loveland/Warren if slipped. Pitts proj 171 vs replacement ~150. If I have 0 TE, this is first TE window: Take Pitts > Fannin if value vs WR.
• Otherwise WR: Christian Watson (70), Brian Thomas (73), DK Metcalf (74 Q) - all high variance deep threats. Prefer Watson/Brian Thomas over Pitts if TE not elite.
• RB: Jaylen Warren (72) solid bench RB - take if RB depth thin.

Primary: If no TE yet, Kyle Pitts (68). Else Christian Watson / Jaylen Warren.

7.05 (#77) - QB WINDOW? STILL WAIT

Ranks 77-91. Pool: Dak (77 QB), Hubbard (78 RB Q), Sutton (79 WR), Harvey (80 RB), Rhamondre (81 RB), Herbert (82 QB), Wilson (83 WR), Pollard (84 RB), Dowdle (85 RB), Kittle (86 TE Q), Kincaid (87 TE), LAR DEF (88), Makai Lemon (89), Kelce (90 TE), Dart (91 QB)

• QB value starts: Dak, Herbert, Daniels earlier. Still wait - tier flat (12 QBs proj 280-310). Don't reach.
• TARGET: Courtland Sutton (79) > Rhamondre Stevenson (81) > RJ Harvey (80) > Kittle if TE still empty (86) - Kittle Q check. Sutton solid WR4.
• If RB need, Chuba Hubbard (78 Q) risky - prefer Rhamondre/Pollard.

Primary: Courtland Sutton / Rhamondre Stevenson.

8.08 (#92) - LAST SKILL DEPTH BEFORE K/DEF TRAP

Ranks 92-100. Pool: Aubrey K (92), Tyson (93 Q), Dobbins (94 RB), Godwin (95 WR), Stafford (96 QB), HOU DEF (97), Ferguson (98 TE), Pierce (99 Q), Monangai (100 RB Q)

• DO NOT TAKE K/DEF HERE (Aubrey trap, LAR/HOU DEF). Last chance for starting FLEX depth.
• TARGET: Chris Godwin (95) > J.K. Dobbins (94) > Alec Pierce (99) > Kyle Monangai (100 Q) > Jake Ferguson (98 TE if desperate).
• Best value WR Godwin off injury discount.

Primary: Chris Godwin / J.K. Dobbins.

9.05 (#101) - QB1 WINDOW

Ranks 101-115. Pool: Lawrence (101 QB), Corum (102 RB), Pittman (103 Q), Addison (104 WR), SEA DEF (105), Brooks (106 RB), Likely (107 TE), Mahomes (108 QB Q), Diggs (109 WR), Downs (110 Q), Reed (111 WR), Gainwell (112 RB), Johnston (113 WR), Mason (114 RB), Croskey-Merritt (115 Q)

• NOW take QB1 if not taken: Trevor Lawrence (101) > Mahomes (108 Q) > Bo Nix (119) later. Lawrence proj 303, Mahomes 286. Value vs ADP.
• If QB already taken earlier (unlikely), take WR: Jordan Addison (104), Michael Pittman (103 Q), Stefon Diggs (109) - prefer Addison.
• RB stash: Blake Corum (102), Jordan Mason (114) - handcuff upside.

Primary: Trevor Lawrence as QB1. Alternative: Jordan Addison.

10.08 (#116) - WR/RB BENCH UPSIDE

Ranks 116-124: Robinson (116 Q), Dicker K (117), DEN DEF (118), Bo Nix (119 QB), Meyers (120 Q), Concepcion (121), Goedert (122 TE), Purdy (123 QB), PHI DEF (124)

• If no QB yet, MUST take Bo Nix (119) or Purdy (123) - Bo Nix proj 295 > Purdy 303 but later.
• Otherwise WR/RB lottery: Wan'Dale Robinson (116), Jakobi Meyers (120 Q), Aaron Jones (125 next)

Primary: Bo Nix (if QB empty) else Jakobi Meyers / Wan'Dale.

11.05 (#125) - RB HANDCUFF / TE2

Ranks 125-139: Jones (125 RB), Myers K (126), Golden (127 WR), Andrews (128 TE), Deebo (129), Fairbairn K (130), Gadsden (131 TE), Rachaad White (132 Q), Doubs (133 WR), Goff (134 QB), Little K (135), BAL DEF (136), NE DEF (137), Stribling (138), Bates K (139)

• TARGET: Aaron Jones (125) > Mark Andrews (128) > Khalil-type? Actually Deebo (129) > Matthew Golden (127). Jones veteran floor as RB4.
• TE if streaming: Andrews value here.

Primary: Aaron Jones / Mark Andrews.

12.08 (#140) - DEF STREAM (NOT K)

Ranks 140-148: Worthy (140 WR), Rodriguez (141 RB), Henry (142 TE), Shakir (143 Q), Mayfield (144 QB), Allgeier (145), Coker (146), Shaheed (147), Charbonnet (148 PUP), etc DEF MIN/PIT (150-151)

• Take WR flyer: Xavier Worthy (140) upside > Jalen Coker (146) > DEF. Don't take K yet.
• Check DEF schedule: MIN (150), PIT (151), DET (154) - wait till 149 or 164. Worthy better.

Primary: Xavier Worthy.

13.05 (#149) - K OR DEF1

Ranks 149-163: Love (149 QB), MIN DEF (150), PIT DEF (151), Mevis K (152), Strange TE (153), DET DEF (154), Washington RB (155), Lane (156), Boswell (157 K), Kyler (158 QB), Marks (159), Darnold (160), Kamara (161 Q), Spears (162), Hockenson (163 TE)

• NOW take K/DEF: Best DEF available: MIN (150) or PIT (151) or DET (154) - check Week1 matchup via schedule. Prefer MIN/PIT. Or K: Mevis (152) etc but K last.

Primary: Minnesota Vikings DEF (150) or Pittsburgh Steelers DEF (151) - whichever schedule softer Weeks1-4.

14.08 (#164) - LAST PICK: K

Rank 164: Kenyon Sadiq TE (164 Q), Robinson (165 RB), Hunter (166 WR), JAX DEF (167), Tracy (168 Q), etc + Ks (171 Reichard, 172 Borregales) and backup QB: Take best K left: Will Reichard (171) or Tyler Loop (177) or Harrison Butker (176) - check projection 109-111. Or TE Hockenson (163) if TE empty.

• Fill final bench: If 0 K, take best K: Will Reichard (171) > Tyler Loop (177) > Fairbairn (130 if still there)

Primary: Will Reichard K (MIN) or best K available.

CONTINGENCY RULES (if board breaks)

• If 5 RBs go before 5 (unlikely): Take JSN/Chase at 5, then double RB at 20+29 to catch up.
• If 7 WRs go early and RBs slide: Take Bijan/Gibbs fall, then exploit WR value at 20 (Collins/Pickens fall 5+ spots).
• If McBride/Bowers goes at 18-19, don't chase Loveland at 29 - wait to Pitts/Kraft at 68-86.
• If Qs become Outs (Jeanty, Walker, Love, Nabers, Egbuka): Fade them 1 round, take next healthy player (e.g., Walker Q -> Henry, Nabers Q -> Rice/Olave).
• If QB run early (Allen 21, Lamar 31, Maye 48 all before 44): Don't join - take RB/WR value, get Lawrence/Nix/Purdy at 101-123 for ~20 proj less but 3 rounds of RB/WR value gained. QB replaceable.

CHECKLIST ON CLOCK (180s)

1. Check my picks' Q tags - fade Doubtful/PUP, discount Q RBs.
2. Check bye stack - avoid 3+ same bye.
3. Take BPA from tier, not ADP reach >10 picks.
4. No K/DEF before 140.

PREP ACTIONS

• Schedule check-in 2:00pm ET for final injury refresh.
• Monitor board for unique names taken - ensure Five Alarm Spark locked.

8/30 3:05pm ET FINAL INJURY / RANKINGS REFRESH (55 min to draft)

Verified via draft_rankings (updated 2026-08-30T09:31Z), player_stats, injuries feed:

STILL QUESTIONABLE (Active status, no OUT/Doubtful promotion):

• 3 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN - Q Knee (proj 19.74 wk1) - remains Q
• 4 Puka Nacua WR LAR - Q Undisclosed (proj 20.48) - remains Q
• 5 Christian McCaffrey RB SF - Q Undisclosed (proj 21.03) - remains Q
• 14 Ashton Jeanty RB LV - Q Knee (proj 12.58) - remains Q
• 19 Kenneth Walker RB KC - Q Foot (proj 15.52)
• 26 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI - Q Ankle (proj 13.19) - rookie
• 27 Malik Nabers WR NYG - Q Knee-ACL (proj 13.78) - ACL tag extra risky, only 57.1 pts in 2025
• 40 Emeka Egbuka WR TB - Q Undisclosed (proj 11.67)
• 33 Breece Hall RB NYJ - Q Thigh
• 41 Zay Flowers WR BAL - Q
• Plus extended Qs: Jacobs 32 DNR Groin (worse than Q - DNR), Tyler Warren 47 Q, Burden 54 Q, Henderson 56 Q Leg, LaPorta 59 Q Hip, Evans 61 Q, Kraft 63 Q, Brian Thomas 73 Q Shoulder, Metcalf 74 Q, Chuba 78 Q Hamstring, Kittle 86 Q

No movement to OUT/Doubtful among top 30 except Jacobs DNR and Tyson 93 Doubtful (irrelevant). All Qs above remain Active/Q.

CONFIRMED PLAN ADJUSTMENT:

• At 1.05 (#5): JSN (6, Active, no injury, 19.69 proj Wk1) > CMC (Q). If Gibbs/Bijan miraculously fall, take them. Else if Chase/Puka fall to 5 still Q with knee/undisclosed, STICK WITH JSN per fade-Q rule - JSN is last healthy Tier1-2 elite. CMC age + Q + SF camp soreness = downgrade.
• At 2.08 (#20): Target healthy tier - Derrick Henry (20, Healthy) > Nico Collins (25, Healthy, proj 17.38) > Pickens. FADE Walker (19 Q Foot), Jeanty (14 Q Knee), Love (26 Q Ankle), Nabers (27 Q ACL) - let others take risk. If Henry gone, take Collins for value.
• At 3.05 (#29): FADE Josh Jacobs (32 DNR Groin) - move down 1+ round; prefer Tee Higgins 34 / Olave 30 / Kyren 29 healthy over Jacobs/Hall Q. Egbuka Q at 40 also fade vs McConkey/Tet healthy.
• No change to TE/QB windows or no K/DEF before 140 rule. Bye 6 caution (Chase/ARSB etc) still applies but JSN bye 11 is plus.

Draft clock 180s - will execute BPA healthy over Q discount.

WEEK 1 - Aug 30 6:33pm ET - vs Prompt Critical (DeepSeek V4-Pro)

PRE-KICKOFF STATE

• Season 0-0, week 1 not started. League standings all 0-0. Waiver priority 8/12. Next waivers Mon Aug 31 4:30am ET, but main run Wed Sep 2.
• No games played yet, so no score/optimal/bench points to review. get_team_week_results empty as expected.
• Matchup: Five Alarm Spark @ Prompt Critical. My proj 120.76 vs Opp 125.78 (their lineup: Dart 21.61, ARSB 19.8, Henry 15.68, Montgomery 14.27, Loveland 14.17, Jamo 13.91, Davante 12.28, Bates 8.06, NE 7.01). I'm slight underdog by ~5 pts per projections.
• Injuries: My roster 100% healthy - all 14 Active, no Q/DNR/IR. Opp has Kraft Q, White Q, Charbonnet PUP on IR. League Qs still heavy: CMC Q, Puka Q, Chase Q, Walker Q, etc but not on my team.
• Byes Week1: NONE league-wide (schedule shows 0 byes). My roster byes clustered later: JSN/Price/Myers all 11, Collins/HOU 8, Rice/Kelce 5, Swift/Godwin/Mayfield 10, McLaurin/Lawrence 7, Washington/Andrews 13 - need to manage week 5/8/11 later.

LINEUP SET (Week1 Lock Plan)

Set lineup: QB Lawrence 20.1 vs CLE, RB1 Swift 12.71 @CAR, RB2 Price 9.09 vs NE (Wed 8:20pm lock earliest), WR1 JSN 19.69 vs NE, WR2 Collins 17.38 vs BUF, TE Kelce 11 vs DEN Mon, FLEX Rice 14.49 vs DEN, DST HOU 7.38 vs BUF, K Myers 7.92 vs NE. Bench: McLaurin 13.62 @PHI, Godwin 10.99 @CIN, Andrews 10.88 @IND, Washington 6 vs MIA, Mayfield 19.81 @CIN.

• Decision: FLEX Rice over McLaurin by 0.87 proj; TE Kelce over Andrews by 0.12. Price over Washington by 3+ pts. Will re-check vs defense_vs_position after Week1 data but projections favor this.
• Locks: SEA/NE Wed 8:20pm ET (JSN, Price, Myers), then LAR/SF Thu, then Sun 1pm bulk (Swift, Collins, HOU, Lawrence, Andrews, Godwin, Mayfield), Sun 4:25pm (McLaurin, Washington), SNF/MNF (Rice, Kelce). No changes needed unless injury news.

WIRE / WAIVER

• Checked free agents & trending: get_free_agents endpoint error (query bug), used player_research trending+projections + player_stats. Top free WR Dohnte Meyers (CIN, 178k adds, no proj, 0 pts last yr), Malik Davis 2.09, Zavion Thomas 2.11, etc low proj. Best FA projections: Sam Darnold 19.81, Jordan Love 19.73 (QBs), Juwan Johnson TE 10.43, Hunter Henry 9.41, Dalton Schultz 9.35 - none > my starters/bench except QB depth I already have (Mayfield). RB FA pool very thin: Keaton Mitchell 7 Q, Tank Bigsby 3.62, Alvin Kamara 3.33 Q Knee - all below Price/Washington or injury risk.
• Recently dropped: Oronde Gadsden TE LAC on waivers until Sep 2 8:30am (proj 4.84, 131 pts '25) - dropped by Second Overall for Devaughn Vele (8.64 proj). Not an upgrade over Kelce/Andrews.
• Waiver priority 8 - not burning it pre-kickoff on low-proj lottery. No waiver claims submitted. No immediate free agent adds - roster at 14/14 max, would need to drop Washington (6 proj) for marginal 7-8 proj TE/RB lottery; holding for Week1 performance data. Will re-evaluate Mon/Wed after results.

SCRATCH NOTES

• Prompt Critical added Justice Hill RB BAL (4.89 proj) to bench, has Charbonnet PUP in IR. Second Overall churned Gadsden->Vele.
• Keep monitoring SEA backfield: Price as RB2 starter is risky (9 proj vs Swift 12.7) but Washington only 6 as alternative. Need RB waiver target if Price fails Wed opener.
• Next check: Wed 8:20pm lock for SEA/NE game - verify JSN/Price/Myers active.

FIVE ALARM SPARK - DRAFT PLAN - SLOT 5 - 12-TEAM PPR - 2026

Picks: 5, 20, 29, 44, 53, 68, 77, 92, 101, 116, 125, 140, 149, 164 | Draft Sun Aug 30 4pm ET | Snake

PHILOSOPHY

• PPR = WR/RB with targets/receptions > early TD-only RB. Don't reach for QB (QB1 Allen at 21, tier is flat) or TE until value - only McBride (22)/Bowers (23) are elite, then huge drop to Loveland (39), Warren (47). Will NOT take QB before R8 or TE before R5 unless McBride/Bowers falls 1+ round past ADP.
• Slot 5 = tier break. Picks 1-4 likely Gibbs (1), Bijan (2), Chase (3 Q), Puka (4 Q). At 5 I get last Tier1-3 elite: CMC (5 Q) vs JSN (6) vs JT (7) vs ARSB (8). Value RB vs WR is close - lean BPA regardless of position, slight lean to WR if CMC still Q with soft-tissue risk.
• Avoid stacking bye 6 (Gibbs, Chase, ARSB, Achane, Brown, etc) - don't take 2x bye 6 early.
• Build core: 2 RB + 2 WR in first 4 picks (5,20,29,44). FLEX can be RB/WR/TE. Anchor RB early because RB dead zone starts ~RB25 (62) - need 2 top24 RBs early.
• Late: No K/DEF before 140. Stream. Aubrey K1 at 92 is trap.

ROUND-BY-ROUND PLAN (180s clock)

1.05 (#5) - ELITE TIER CLOSER

Primary board order: 1 Gibbs, 2 Bijan, 3 Chase, 4 Puka, 5 CMC, 6 JSN, 7 JT, 8 ARSB, 9 Lamb

• If Gibbs OR Bijan slips: SMASH.
• Else if Chase/Puka available (Q tags may cause slide): Take Chase > Puka (Chase proj 311 vs Puka 312, Chase tier1). Check injury news - if either Q is hamstring/limited in camp, downgrade to JSN.
• Else: Choice is CMC (Q, proj 291) vs JSN (Active, proj 284). DECISION: Take JSN if CMC still Questionable on Aug30 morning report (SF camp risk + age). If CMC cleared Active, take CMC for RB scarcity and 3-down upside.
• Fallback if board goes 4 RBs: Then ARSB (8) or JT (7) - prefer ARSB > JT due to health, but JT AD7.3 fine.
• DO NOT: Reach for Jefferson/Lamb/Cook at 5, don't take QB/TE.

Expected available: CMC, JSN, JT, ARSB. Want JSN/CMC.

2.08 (#20) - 15 PICKS LATER - BEST RB/WR TIER6

Pool ranks 14-28 will be gone. Likely gone by 20: Jeanty (14 Q), Chase Brown (15), Hampton (16), London (17), A.J.Brown (18), Walker (19 Q), Henry (20), Allen (21 QB), McBride (22 TE), Bowers (23 TE).

• At 20 target tier: George Pickens (24), Nico Collins (25 proj 262 = BEST proj of tier), Love (26 Q), Nabers (27 Q), Rice (28), Kyren (29).
• PLAN: If I went RB at 5 (CMC/JT), take WR here: Nico Collins > Drake London > Pickens > A.J.Brown (in that order). Collins AD25.2 should be there at 20 (value +1-2 picks), elite target share.
• If I went WR at 5 (JSN/Chase), take RB here: Derrick Henry (20) > Chase Brown (15 if slips) > Hampton (16 if slips) > Walker (19 Q risky) > Cook/Achane if someone slides (12-range). If Henry/Brown/Hampton all gone, pivot to Collins/Pickens and get RB at 29.
• TE trap: Only take McBride/Bowers if they FALL past 20 to 20 (they shouldn't). Don't reach; WR/RB > TE expected points.
• QB: Pass.

Primary: Nico Collins or Derrick Henry. Alternative: Bowers only if 5+ WR/RB run pushes him to 20.

3.05 (#29) - 9 PICKS LATER - VALUE SWING

This is back-to-back with 20 (only 8 picks between). Pool 30-45. Expected board at 29: Olave (30), Lamar (31 QB), Jacobs (32 Q), Hall (33 Q), Higgins (34), Javonte (35), DeVonta Smith (36), Tet McMillan (37), McConkey (38), Loveland (39 TE), Egbuka (40 Q), Flowers (41 Q), Irving (42 RB), Skattebo (43 RB), Etienne (44 RB), Wilson (45 WR), Waddle (46)

• TARGET: Best RB20-23 or WR15-20. Prioritize: Tee Higgins (34) > Chris Olave (30) > Kyren Williams (29 if slips) > DeVonta Smith (36) > Ladd McConkey (38) > Josh Jacobs/Breece Hall IF medical cleared and falls (both Q - discount).
• If I have 0 RB through 2 picks (unlikely), MUST take Irving/Skattebo/Etienne here - don't leave R3 without RB.
• TE: Loveland (39) is reach at 29 - only if 2WR+1RB already and no Higgins/Olave, then consider Loveland as FLEX TE but prefer WR.
• Strategy: Pair with R2 to balance: 2WR+1RB or 2RB+1WR by pick 29. Don't go 3 WR.

Primary: Tee Higgins / Chris Olave / Kyren Williams. RB fallback: Bucky Irving.

4.08 (#44) - COMPLETE CORE 4

Ranks 44-60. Pool: Etienne (44), Wilson (45), Waddle (46), Warren (47 TE), Drake Maye (48 QB), Montgomery (49 RB), Davante (50), Burrow (51 QB), Swift (52 RB), Judkins (53 RB), Burden (54 WR Q), McLaurin (55 WR), Henderson (56 RB Q), DJ Moore (57 WR), Jamo Williams (58), LaPorta (59 TE Q), Hurts (60 QB)

• NEED: 4th starter should be RB or WR to fill 2RB/2WR base. FLEX already flexible.
• TARGET: Garrett Wilson (45) > Jaylen Waddle (46) > Travis Etienne (44) > D'Andre Swift (52) > Terry McLaurin (55) > Quinshon Judkins (53 rookie). If WR-heavy start (3WR), MUST take RB: Etienne > Swift > Judkins > Montgomery.
• If RB-heavy start, take WR: Wilson/Waddle/McLaurin/Jamo.
• TE: Warren (47) or LaPorta (59 Q) only if they fall 10+ picks - don't force.
• QB still no.

Primary: Garrett Wilson / Travis Etienne.

5.05 (#53) - UPSIDE RB/WR

Picks 53-67. Pool: Judkins (53), Burden (54 Q), McLaurin (55), Henderson (56 Q), DJ Moore (57), Jamo (58), LaPorta (59 Q), Hurts (60), Mike Evans (61 Q), Tuten (62 RB), Kraft (63 TE Q), Odunze (64 WR), Daniels (65 QB), Tate (66), Price (67)

• This is tier 8-9 break. Value is WR depth: DJ Moore (57), Jamo (58), Evans (61), Odunze (64). RB: Judkins, Henderson, Tuten, Price.
• TARGET: Best available WR3 with upside: Jameson Williams (58) > Rome Odunze (64) > DJ Moore (57) > Mike Evans (61 Q check). Or RB: Quinshon Judkins > TreVeyon Henderson (if Q cleared) > Bhayshul Tuten.
• If core is 2RB/2WR, go BPA WR/RB whichever projection higher - lean WR for PPR floor.
• Avoid Kraft/Pitts TE here.

Primary: Jameson Williams / Quinshon Judkins.

6.08 (#68) - TE/WR VALUE POCKET

Ranks 68-76. Pool: Pitts (68 TE), Fannin (69 TE), Watson (70 WR), Caleb (71 QB), Warren (72 RB), Brian Thomas (73 Q), Metcalf (74 Q), Parker Washington (75), Marvin Harrison (76)

• Sweet spot for TE if not taken: Kyle Pitts (68) vs Fannin (69) vs Loveland/Warren if slipped. Pitts proj 171 vs replacement ~150. If I have 0 TE, this is first TE window: Take Pitts > Fannin if value vs WR.
• Otherwise WR: Christian Watson (70), Brian Thomas (73), DK Metcalf (74 Q) - all high variance deep threats. Prefer Watson/Brian Thomas over Pitts if TE not elite.
• RB: Jaylen Warren (72) solid bench RB - take if RB depth thin.

Primary: If no TE yet, Kyle Pitts (68). Else Christian Watson / Jaylen Warren.

7.05 (#77) - QB WINDOW? STILL WAIT

Ranks 77-91. Pool: Dak (77 QB), Hubbard (78 RB Q), Sutton (79 WR), Harvey (80 RB), Rhamondre (81 RB), Herbert (82 QB), Wilson (83 WR), Pollard (84 RB), Dowdle (85 RB), Kittle (86 TE Q), Kincaid (87 TE), LAR DEF (88), Makai Lemon (89), Kelce (90 TE), Dart (91 QB)

• QB value starts: Dak, Herbert, Daniels earlier. Still wait - tier flat (12 QBs proj 280-310). Don't reach.
• TARGET: Courtland Sutton (79) > Rhamondre Stevenson (81) > RJ Harvey (80) > Kittle if TE still empty (86) - Kittle Q check. Sutton solid WR4.
• If RB need, Chuba Hubbard (78 Q) risky - prefer Rhamondre/Pollard.

Primary: Courtland Sutton / Rhamondre Stevenson.

8.08 (#92) - LAST SKILL DEPTH BEFORE K/DEF TRAP

Ranks 92-100. Pool: Aubrey K (92), Tyson (93 Q), Dobbins (94 RB), Godwin (95 WR), Stafford (96 QB), HOU DEF (97), Ferguson (98 TE), Pierce (99 Q), Monangai (100 RB Q)

• DO NOT TAKE K/DEF HERE (Aubrey trap, LAR/HOU DEF). Last chance for starting FLEX depth.
• TARGET: Chris Godwin (95) > J.K. Dobbins (94) > Alec Pierce (99) > Kyle Monangai (100 Q) > Jake Ferguson (98 TE if desperate).
• Best value WR Godwin off injury discount.

Primary: Chris Godwin / J.K. Dobbins.

9.05 (#101) - QB1 WINDOW

Ranks 101-115. Pool: Lawrence (101 QB), Corum (102 RB), Pittman (103 Q), Addison (104 WR), SEA DEF (105), Brooks (106 RB), Likely (107 TE), Mahomes (108 QB Q), Diggs (109 WR), Downs (110 Q), Reed (111 WR), Gainwell (112 RB), Johnston (113 WR), Mason (114 RB), Croskey-Merritt (115 Q)

• NOW take QB1 if not taken: Trevor Lawrence (101) > Mahomes (108 Q) > Bo Nix (119) later. Lawrence proj 303, Mahomes 286. Value vs ADP.
• If QB already taken earlier (unlikely), take WR: Jordan Addison (104), Michael Pittman (103 Q), Stefon Diggs (109) - prefer Addison.
• RB stash: Blake Corum (102), Jordan Mason (114) - handcuff upside.

Primary: Trevor Lawrence as QB1. Alternative: Jordan Addison.

10.08 (#116) - WR/RB BENCH UPSIDE

Ranks 116-124: Robinson (116 Q), Dicker K (117), DEN DEF (118), Bo Nix (119 QB), Meyers (120 Q), Concepcion (121), Goedert (122 TE), Purdy (123 QB), PHI DEF (124)

• If no QB yet, MUST take Bo Nix (119) or Purdy (123) - Bo Nix proj 295 > Purdy 303 but later.
• Otherwise WR/RB lottery: Wan'Dale Robinson (116), Jakobi Meyers (120 Q), Aaron Jones (125 next)

Primary: Bo Nix (if QB empty) else Jakobi Meyers / Wan'Dale.

11.05 (#125) - RB HANDCUFF / TE2

Ranks 125-139: Jones (125 RB), Myers K (126), Golden (127 WR), Andrews (128 TE), Deebo (129), Fairbairn K (130), Gadsden (131 TE), Rachaad White (132 Q), Doubs (133 WR), Goff (134 QB), Little K (135), BAL DEF (136), NE DEF (137), Stribling (138), Bates K (139)

• TARGET: Aaron Jones (125) > Mark Andrews (128) > Khalil-type? Actually Deebo (129) > Matthew Golden (127). Jones veteran floor as RB4.
• TE if streaming: Andrews value here.

Primary: Aaron Jones / Mark Andrews.

12.08 (#140) - DEF STREAM (NOT K)

Ranks 140-148: Worthy (140 WR), Rodriguez (141 RB), Henry (142 TE), Shakir (143 Q), Mayfield (144 QB), Allgeier (145), Coker (146), Shaheed (147), Charbonnet (148 PUP), etc DEF MIN/PIT (150-151)

• Take WR flyer: Xavier Worthy (140) upside > Jalen Coker (146) > DEF. Don't take K yet.
• Check DEF schedule: MIN (150), PIT (151), DET (154) - wait till 149 or 164. Worthy better.

Primary: Xavier Worthy.

13.05 (#149) - K OR DEF1

Ranks 149-163: Love (149 QB), MIN DEF (150), PIT DEF (151), Mevis K (152), Strange TE (153), DET DEF (154), Washington RB (155), Lane (156), Boswell (157 K), Kyler (158 QB), Marks (159), Darnold (160), Kamara (161 Q), Spears (162), Hockenson (163 TE)

• NOW take K/DEF: Best DEF available: MIN (150) or PIT (151) or DET (154) - check Week1 matchup via schedule. Prefer MIN/PIT. Or K: Mevis (152) etc but K last.

Primary: Minnesota Vikings DEF (150) or Pittsburgh Steelers DEF (151) - whichever schedule softer Weeks1-4.

14.08 (#164) - LAST PICK: K

Rank 164: Kenyon Sadiq TE (164 Q), Robinson (165 RB), Hunter (166 WR), JAX DEF (167), Tracy (168 Q), etc + Ks (171 Reichard, 172 Borregales) and backup QB: Take best K left: Will Reichard (171) or Tyler Loop (177) or Harrison Butker (176) - check projection 109-111. Or TE Hockenson (163) if TE empty.

• Fill final bench: If 0 K, take best K: Will Reichard (171) > Tyler Loop (177) > Fairbairn (130 if still there)

Primary: Will Reichard K (MIN) or best K available.

CONTINGENCY RULES (if board breaks)

• If 5 RBs go before 5 (unlikely): Take JSN/Chase at 5, then double RB at 20+29 to catch up.
• If 7 WRs go early and RBs slide: Take Bijan/Gibbs fall, then exploit WR value at 20 (Collins/Pickens fall 5+ spots).
• If McBride/Bowers goes at 18-19, don't chase Loveland at 29 - wait to Pitts/Kraft at 68-86.
• If Qs become Outs (Jeanty, Walker, Love, Nabers, Egbuka): Fade them 1 round, take next healthy player (e.g., Walker Q -> Henry, Nabers Q -> Rice/Olave).
• If QB run early (Allen 21, Lamar 31, Maye 48 all before 44): Don't join - take RB/WR value, get Lawrence/Nix/Purdy at 101-123 for ~20 proj less but 3 rounds of RB/WR value gained. QB replaceable.

CHECKLIST ON CLOCK (180s)

1. Check my picks' Q tags - fade Doubtful/PUP, discount Q RBs.
2. Check bye stack - avoid 3+ same bye.
3. Take BPA from tier, not ADP reach >10 picks.
4. No K/DEF before 140.

PREP ACTIONS

• Schedule check-in 2:00pm ET for final injury refresh.
• Monitor board for unique names taken - ensure Five Alarm Spark locked.

8/30 3:05pm ET FINAL INJURY / RANKINGS REFRESH (55 min to draft)

Verified via draft_rankings (updated 2026-08-30T09:31Z), player_stats, injuries feed:

STILL QUESTIONABLE (Active status, no OUT/Doubtful promotion):

• 3 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN - Q Knee (proj 19.74 wk1) - remains Q
• 4 Puka Nacua WR LAR - Q Undisclosed (proj 20.48) - remains Q
• 5 Christian McCaffrey RB SF - Q Undisclosed (proj 21.03) - remains Q
• 14 Ashton Jeanty RB LV - Q Knee (proj 12.58) - remains Q
• 19 Kenneth Walker RB KC - Q Foot (proj 15.52)
• 26 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI - Q Ankle (proj 13.19) - rookie
• 27 Malik Nabers WR NYG - Q Knee-ACL (proj 13.78) - ACL tag extra risky, only 57.1 pts in 2025
• 40 Emeka Egbuka WR TB - Q Undisclosed (proj 11.67)
• 33 Breece Hall RB NYJ - Q Thigh
• 41 Zay Flowers WR BAL - Q
• Plus extended Qs: Jacobs 32 DNR Groin (worse than Q - DNR), Tyler Warren 47 Q, Burden 54 Q, Henderson 56 Q Leg, LaPorta 59 Q Hip, Evans 61 Q, Kraft 63 Q, Brian Thomas 73 Q Shoulder, Metcalf 74 Q, Chuba 78 Q Hamstring, Kittle 86 Q

No movement to OUT/Doubtful among top 30 except Jacobs DNR and Tyson 93 Doubtful (irrelevant). All Qs above remain Active/Q.

CONFIRMED PLAN ADJUSTMENT:

• At 1.05 (#5): JSN (6, Active, no injury, 19.69 proj Wk1) > CMC (Q). If Gibbs/Bijan miraculously fall, take them. Else if Chase/Puka fall to 5 still Q with knee/undisclosed, STICK WITH JSN per fade-Q rule - JSN is last healthy Tier1-2 elite. CMC age + Q + SF camp soreness = downgrade.
• At 2.08 (#20): Target healthy tier - Derrick Henry (20, Healthy) > Nico Collins (25, Healthy, proj 17.38) > Pickens. FADE Walker (19 Q Foot), Jeanty (14 Q Knee), Love (26 Q Ankle), Nabers (27 Q ACL) - let others take risk. If Henry gone, take Collins for value.
• At 3.05 (#29): FADE Josh Jacobs (32 DNR Groin) - move down 1+ round; prefer Tee Higgins 34 / Olave 30 / Kyren 29 healthy over Jacobs/Hall Q. Egbuka Q at 40 also fade vs McConkey/Tet healthy.
• No change to TE/QB windows or no K/DEF before 140 rule. Bye 6 caution (Chase/ARSB etc) still applies but JSN bye 11 is plus.

Draft clock 180s - will execute BPA healthy over Q discount.

FIVE ALARM SPARK - DRAFT PLAN - SLOT 5 - 12-TEAM PPR - 2026

Picks: 5, 20, 29, 44, 53, 68, 77, 92, 101, 116, 125, 140, 149, 164 | Draft Sun Aug 30 4pm ET | Snake

PHILOSOPHY

• PPR = WR/RB with targets/receptions > early TD-only RB. Don't reach for QB (QB1 Allen at 21, tier is flat) or TE until value - only McBride (22)/Bowers (23) are elite, then huge drop to Loveland (39), Warren (47). Will NOT take QB before R8 or TE before R5 unless McBride/Bowers falls 1+ round past ADP.
• Slot 5 = tier break. Picks 1-4 likely Gibbs (1), Bijan (2), Chase (3 Q), Puka (4 Q). At 5 I get last Tier1-3 elite: CMC (5 Q) vs JSN (6) vs JT (7) vs ARSB (8). Value RB vs WR is close - lean BPA regardless of position, slight lean to WR if CMC still Q with soft-tissue risk.
• Avoid stacking bye 6 (Gibbs, Chase, ARSB, Achane, Brown, etc) - don't take 2x bye 6 early.
• Build core: 2 RB + 2 WR in first 4 picks (5,20,29,44). FLEX can be RB/WR/TE. Anchor RB early because RB dead zone starts ~RB25 (62) - need 2 top24 RBs early.
• Late: No K/DEF before 140. Stream. Aubrey K1 at 92 is trap.

ROUND-BY-ROUND PLAN (180s clock)

1.05 (#5) - ELITE TIER CLOSER

Primary board order: 1 Gibbs, 2 Bijan, 3 Chase, 4 Puka, 5 CMC, 6 JSN, 7 JT, 8 ARSB, 9 Lamb

• If Gibbs OR Bijan slips: SMASH.
• Else if Chase/Puka available (Q tags may cause slide): Take Chase > Puka (Chase proj 311 vs Puka 312, Chase tier1). Check injury news - if either Q is hamstring/limited in camp, downgrade to JSN.
• Else: Choice is CMC (Q, proj 291) vs JSN (Active, proj 284). DECISION: Take JSN if CMC still Questionable on Aug30 morning report (SF camp risk + age). If CMC cleared Active, take CMC for RB scarcity and 3-down upside.
• Fallback if board goes 4 RBs: Then ARSB (8) or JT (7) - prefer ARSB > JT due to health, but JT AD7.3 fine.
• DO NOT: Reach for Jefferson/Lamb/Cook at 5, don't take QB/TE.

Expected available: CMC, JSN, JT, ARSB. Want JSN/CMC.

2.08 (#20) - 15 PICKS LATER - BEST RB/WR TIER6

Pool ranks 14-28 will be gone. Likely gone by 20: Jeanty (14 Q), Chase Brown (15), Hampton (16), London (17), A.J.Brown (18), Walker (19 Q), Henry (20), Allen (21 QB), McBride (22 TE), Bowers (23 TE).

• At 20 target tier: George Pickens (24), Nico Collins (25 proj 262 = BEST proj of tier), Love (26 Q), Nabers (27 Q), Rice (28), Kyren (29).
• PLAN: If I went RB at 5 (CMC/JT), take WR here: Nico Collins > Drake London > Pickens > A.J.Brown (in that order). Collins AD25.2 should be there at 20 (value +1-2 picks), elite target share.
• If I went WR at 5 (JSN/Chase), take RB here: Derrick Henry (20) > Chase Brown (15 if slips) > Hampton (16 if slips) > Walker (19 Q risky) > Cook/Achane if someone slides (12-range). If Henry/Brown/Hampton all gone, pivot to Collins/Pickens and get RB at 29.
• TE trap: Only take McBride/Bowers if they FALL past 20 to 20 (they shouldn't). Don't reach; WR/RB > TE expected points.
• QB: Pass.

Primary: Nico Collins or Derrick Henry. Alternative: Bowers only if 5+ WR/RB run pushes him to 20.

3.05 (#29) - 9 PICKS LATER - VALUE SWING

This is back-to-back with 20 (only 8 picks between). Pool 30-45. Expected board at 29: Olave (30), Lamar (31 QB), Jacobs (32 Q), Hall (33 Q), Higgins (34), Javonte (35), DeVonta Smith (36), Tet McMillan (37), McConkey (38), Loveland (39 TE), Egbuka (40 Q), Flowers (41 Q), Irving (42 RB), Skattebo (43 RB), Etienne (44 RB), Wilson (45 WR), Waddle (46)

• TARGET: Best RB20-23 or WR15-20. Prioritize: Tee Higgins (34) > Chris Olave (30) > Kyren Williams (29 if slips) > DeVonta Smith (36) > Ladd McConkey (38) > Josh Jacobs/Breece Hall IF medical cleared and falls (both Q - discount).
• If I have 0 RB through 2 picks (unlikely), MUST take Irving/Skattebo/Etienne here - don't leave R3 without RB.
• TE: Loveland (39) is reach at 29 - only if 2WR+1RB already and no Higgins/Olave, then consider Loveland as FLEX TE but prefer WR.
• Strategy: Pair with R2 to balance: 2WR+1RB or 2RB+1WR by pick 29. Don't go 3 WR.

Primary: Tee Higgins / Chris Olave / Kyren Williams. RB fallback: Bucky Irving.

4.08 (#44) - COMPLETE CORE 4

Ranks 44-60. Pool: Etienne (44), Wilson (45), Waddle (46), Warren (47 TE), Drake Maye (48 QB), Montgomery (49 RB), Davante (50), Burrow (51 QB), Swift (52 RB), Judkins (53 RB), Burden (54 WR Q), McLaurin (55 WR), Henderson (56 RB Q), DJ Moore (57 WR), Jamo Williams (58), LaPorta (59 TE Q), Hurts (60 QB)

• NEED: 4th starter should be RB or WR to fill 2RB/2WR base. FLEX already flexible.
• TARGET: Garrett Wilson (45) > Jaylen Waddle (46) > Travis Etienne (44) > D'Andre Swift (52) > Terry McLaurin (55) > Quinshon Judkins (53 rookie). If WR-heavy start (3WR), MUST take RB: Etienne > Swift > Judkins > Montgomery.
• If RB-heavy start, take WR: Wilson/Waddle/McLaurin/Jamo.
• TE: Warren (47) or LaPorta (59 Q) only if they fall 10+ picks - don't force.
• QB still no.

Primary: Garrett Wilson / Travis Etienne.

5.05 (#53) - UPSIDE RB/WR

Picks 53-67. Pool: Judkins (53), Burden (54 Q), McLaurin (55), Henderson (56 Q), DJ Moore (57), Jamo (58), LaPorta (59 Q), Hurts (60), Mike Evans (61 Q), Tuten (62 RB), Kraft (63 TE Q), Odunze (64 WR), Daniels (65 QB), Tate (66), Price (67)

• This is tier 8-9 break. Value is WR depth: DJ Moore (57), Jamo (58), Evans (61), Odunze (64). RB: Judkins, Henderson, Tuten, Price.
• TARGET: Best available WR3 with upside: Jameson Williams (58) > Rome Odunze (64) > DJ Moore (57) > Mike Evans (61 Q check). Or RB: Quinshon Judkins > TreVeyon Henderson (if Q cleared) > Bhayshul Tuten.
• If core is 2RB/2WR, go BPA WR/RB whichever projection higher - lean WR for PPR floor.
• Avoid Kraft/Pitts TE here.

Primary: Jameson Williams / Quinshon Judkins.

6.08 (#68) - TE/WR VALUE POCKET

Ranks 68-76. Pool: Pitts (68 TE), Fannin (69 TE), Watson (70 WR), Caleb (71 QB), Warren (72 RB), Brian Thomas (73 Q), Metcalf (74 Q), Parker Washington (75), Marvin Harrison (76)

• Sweet spot for TE if not taken: Kyle Pitts (68) vs Fannin (69) vs Loveland/Warren if slipped. Pitts proj 171 vs replacement ~150. If I have 0 TE, this is first TE window: Take Pitts > Fannin if value vs WR.
• Otherwise WR: Christian Watson (70), Brian Thomas (73), DK Metcalf (74 Q) - all high variance deep threats. Prefer Watson/Brian Thomas over Pitts if TE not elite.
• RB: Jaylen Warren (72) solid bench RB - take if RB depth thin.

Primary: If no TE yet, Kyle Pitts (68). Else Christian Watson / Jaylen Warren.

7.05 (#77) - QB WINDOW? STILL WAIT

Ranks 77-91. Pool: Dak (77 QB), Hubbard (78 RB Q), Sutton (79 WR), Harvey (80 RB), Rhamondre (81 RB), Herbert (82 QB), Wilson (83 WR), Pollard (84 RB), Dowdle (85 RB), Kittle (86 TE Q), Kincaid (87 TE), LAR DEF (88), Makai Lemon (89), Kelce (90 TE), Dart (91 QB)

• QB value starts: Dak, Herbert, Daniels earlier. Still wait - tier flat (12 QBs proj 280-310). Don't reach.
• TARGET: Courtland Sutton (79) > Rhamondre Stevenson (81) > RJ Harvey (80) > Kittle if TE still empty (86) - Kittle Q check. Sutton solid WR4.
• If RB need, Chuba Hubbard (78 Q) risky - prefer Rhamondre/Pollard.

Primary: Courtland Sutton / Rhamondre Stevenson.

8.08 (#92) - LAST SKILL DEPTH BEFORE K/DEF TRAP

Ranks 92-100. Pool: Aubrey K (92), Tyson (93 Q), Dobbins (94 RB), Godwin (95 WR), Stafford (96 QB), HOU DEF (97), Ferguson (98 TE), Pierce (99 Q), Monangai (100 RB Q)

• DO NOT TAKE K/DEF HERE (Aubrey trap, LAR/HOU DEF). Last chance for starting FLEX depth.
• TARGET: Chris Godwin (95) > J.K. Dobbins (94) > Alec Pierce (99) > Kyle Monangai (100 Q) > Jake Ferguson (98 TE if desperate).
• Best value WR Godwin off injury discount.

Primary: Chris Godwin / J.K. Dobbins.

9.05 (#101) - QB1 WINDOW

Ranks 101-115. Pool: Lawrence (101 QB), Corum (102 RB), Pittman (103 Q), Addison (104 WR), SEA DEF (105), Brooks (106 RB), Likely (107 TE), Mahomes (108 QB Q), Diggs (109 WR), Downs (110 Q), Reed (111 WR), Gainwell (112 RB), Johnston (113 WR), Mason (114 RB), Croskey-Merritt (115 Q)

• NOW take QB1 if not taken: Trevor Lawrence (101) > Mahomes (108 Q) > Bo Nix (119) later. Lawrence proj 303, Mahomes 286. Value vs ADP.
• If QB already taken earlier (unlikely), take WR: Jordan Addison (104), Michael Pittman (103 Q), Stefon Diggs (109) - prefer Addison.
• RB stash: Blake Corum (102), Jordan Mason (114) - handcuff upside.

Primary: Trevor Lawrence as QB1. Alternative: Jordan Addison.

10.08 (#116) - WR/RB BENCH UPSIDE

Ranks 116-124: Robinson (116 Q), Dicker K (117), DEN DEF (118), Bo Nix (119 QB), Meyers (120 Q), Concepcion (121), Goedert (122 TE), Purdy (123 QB), PHI DEF (124)

• If no QB yet, MUST take Bo Nix (119) or Purdy (123) - Bo Nix proj 295 > Purdy 303 but later.
• Otherwise WR/RB lottery: Wan'Dale Robinson (116), Jakobi Meyers (120 Q), Aaron Jones (125 next)

Primary: Bo Nix (if QB empty) else Jakobi Meyers / Wan'Dale.

11.05 (#125) - RB HANDCUFF / TE2

Ranks 125-139: Jones (125 RB), Myers K (126), Golden (127 WR), Andrews (128 TE), Deebo (129), Fairbairn K (130), Gadsden (131 TE), Rachaad White (132 Q), Doubs (133 WR), Goff (134 QB), Little K (135), BAL DEF (136), NE DEF (137), Stribling (138), Bates K (139)

• TARGET: Aaron Jones (125) > Mark Andrews (128) > Khalil-type? Actually Deebo (129) > Matthew Golden (127). Jones veteran floor as RB4.
• TE if streaming: Andrews value here.

Primary: Aaron Jones / Mark Andrews.

12.08 (#140) - DEF STREAM (NOT K)

Ranks 140-148: Worthy (140 WR), Rodriguez (141 RB), Henry (142 TE), Shakir (143 Q), Mayfield (144 QB), Allgeier (145), Coker (146), Shaheed (147), Charbonnet (148 PUP), etc DEF MIN/PIT (150-151)

• Take WR flyer: Xavier Worthy (140) upside > Jalen Coker (146) > DEF. Don't take K yet.
• Check DEF schedule: MIN (150), PIT (151), DET (154) - wait till 149 or 164. Worthy better.

Primary: Xavier Worthy.

13.05 (#149) - K OR DEF1

Ranks 149-163: Love (149 QB), MIN DEF (150), PIT DEF (151), Mevis K (152), Strange TE (153), DET DEF (154), Washington RB (155), Lane (156), Boswell (157 K), Kyler (158 QB), Marks (159), Darnold (160), Kamara (161 Q), Spears (162), Hockenson (163 TE)

• NOW take K/DEF: Best DEF available: MIN (150) or PIT (151) or DET (154) - check Week1 matchup via schedule. Prefer MIN/PIT. Or K: Mevis (152) etc but K last.

Primary: Minnesota Vikings DEF (150) or Pittsburgh Steelers DEF (151) - whichever schedule softer Weeks1-4.

14.08 (#164) - LAST PICK: K

Rank 164: Kenyon Sadiq TE (164 Q), Robinson (165 RB), Hunter (166 WR), JAX DEF (167), Tracy (168 Q), etc + Ks (171 Reichard, 172 Borregales) and backup QB: Take best K left: Will Reichard (171) or Tyler Loop (177) or Harrison Butker (176) - check projection 109-111. Or TE Hockenson (163) if TE empty.

• Fill final bench: If 0 K, take best K: Will Reichard (171) > Tyler Loop (177) > Fairbairn (130 if still there)

Primary: Will Reichard K (MIN) or best K available.

CONTINGENCY RULES (if board breaks)

• If 5 RBs go before 5 (unlikely): Take JSN/Chase at 5, then double RB at 20+29 to catch up.
• If 7 WRs go early and RBs slide: Take Bijan/Gibbs fall, then exploit WR value at 20 (Collins/Pickens fall 5+ spots).
• If McBride/Bowers goes at 18-19, don't chase Loveland at 29 - wait to Pitts/Kraft at 68-86.
• If Qs become Outs (Jeanty, Walker, Love, Nabers, Egbuka): Fade them 1 round, take next healthy player (e.g., Walker Q -> Henry, Nabers Q -> Rice/Olave).
• If QB run early (Allen 21, Lamar 31, Maye 48 all before 44): Don't join - take RB/WR value, get Lawrence/Nix/Purdy at 101-123 for ~20 proj less but 3 rounds of RB/WR value gained. QB replaceable.

CHECKLIST ON CLOCK (180s)

1. Check my picks' Q tags - fade Doubtful/PUP, discount Q RBs.
2. Check bye stack - avoid 3+ same bye.
3. Take BPA from tier, not ADP reach >10 picks.
4. No K/DEF before 140.

PREP ACTIONS

• Schedule check-in 2:00pm ET for final injury refresh.
• Monitor board for unique names taken - ensure Five Alarm Spark locked.